NFL Player Projections

Rest of season, opponent-neutral: each player's per-game line × G, his team's remaining regular-season games as of the run. A player on a reserve list (IR, PUP, NFI, suspended) has G cut to the games he is expected back for, and his row says so; out for season is a 0 that means it. Components (volume × efficiency) with scoring applied as a view. Model n8-v3 · updated 6h ago.

Week: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8• Season Position: All QB RB WR TE

Scoring: PPR Half Standard DK Rank by: VORP Points ⬇ CSV

League & scoring settings — server-side, from your stored component projections; the URL is the saved config

215 players · ranked by VORP under standard scoring, 12-team league (1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1FLEX). thin prior (n) = the efficiency prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted 2023–25 dropbacks (QB) or 55 touches (RB/WR/TE), so the league average carries about half or more of the line's efficiency; ⚠ = low-sample / rookie (archetype-driven).

Replacement level (VORP is measured against these): QB12 Lamar Jackson · 187.3 pts · RB29 Josh Jacobs · 73.5 pts · WR41 KC Concepcion · 57.7 pts · TE13 Charlie Kolar · 48.6 pts

#	Player	Pos	Tm	G	Status	Pts	VORP	Tgt	Rec	RecYd	RecTD	Car
1	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	11		122.0	+64.3	101.4	71.3	853.6	6.1	2.3
2	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	10		111.4	+53.7	98.5	65.4	848.8	4.4	3.2
3	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	10		109.1	+51.4	89.0	62.2	815.1	4.6	2.5
4	Puka Nacua	WR	LA	10		104.5	+46.8	85.1	60.8	796.1	4.2	6.8
5	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	11		99.7	+42.0	85.8	58.2	710.9	4.8	1.0
6	Parker Washington	WR	JAX	11		93.9	+36.2	82.9	51.9	681.6	4.3	2.3
7	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	11		93.7	+36.0	74.8	46.5	622.4	5.2	1.0
8	Drake London	WR	ATL	10		91.2	+33.5	81.9	51.0	661.8	4.2	2.7
9	Chris Olave	WR	NO	10		84.7	+27.0	78.6	50.5	615.8	3.9	0.9
10	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	11		84.1	+26.4	75.8	47.9	646.8	3.2	1.9
11	George Pickens	WR	DAL	10		83.7	+26.0	67.2	42.6	630.6	3.4	1.1
12	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	10		82.2	+24.5	65.2	41.8	609.7	3.5	2.9
13	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	10		81.8	+24.1	69.9	47.4	627.8	3.2	3.8
14	Jaylen Waddle ⚠	WR	DEN	10		80.0	+22.3	68.9	45.1	602.0	3.3	2.6
15	Emeka Egbuka	WR	TB	10		79.0	+21.3	74.8	41.5	571.4	3.6	3.0
16	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI	10		78.5	+20.8	66.2	45.4	578.7	3.4	1.0
17	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	10		77.2	+19.5	69.1	43.7	557.1	3.6	2.1
18	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	10		76.3	+18.6	68.6	41.1	552.0	3.5	1.0
19	Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	10		76.0	+18.3	73.6	45.5	550.3	3.5	0.8
20	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	11		75.7	+18.0	57.9	36.5	558.1	3.3	1.3
21	A.J. Brown ⚠	WR	NE	10		75.4	+17.7	62.7	41.0	552.7	3.3	1.6
22	DJ Moore ⚠	WR	BUF	11		74.8	+17.1	66.7	43.3	535.7	3.5	4.4
23	Rashee Rice	WR	KC	11		72.2	+14.5	63.4	43.5	512.6	3.5	1.3
24	Carnell Tate thin prior (0 touches)	WR	TEN	10		71.3	+13.6	74.4	41.3	519.3	3.2	0.8
25	Stefon Diggs ⚠	WR	WAS	11		70.5	+12.8	68.7	49.4	528.3	2.9	1.0
26	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	10		70.3	+12.6	59.6	36.0	512.7	3.2	1.9
27	Malik Washington thin prior (43 touches)	WR	MIA	11		69.4	+11.7	73.3	48.9	493.2	3.3	9.4
28	Mike Evans ⚠	WR	SF	10		69.1	+11.4	64.6	38.6	471.1	3.7	0.9
29	Luther Burden III thin prior (30 touches)	WR	CHI	10		64.9	+7.2	55.8	38.4	495.4	2.6	6.0
30	Jalen Coker thin prior (35 touches)	WR	CAR	10		64.8	+7.2	55.5	37.5	477.1	2.9	1.1
31	Denzel Boston thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CLE	10		64.1	+6.5	66.9	37.1	467.2	2.9	0.9
32	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	11		64.0	+6.3	55.3	33.6	450.0	3.2	2.8
33	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	11		62.6	+4.9	56.9	40.9	468.3	2.6	1.2
34	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	10		62.5	+4.8	62.9	39.1	449.9	2.9	0.7
35	Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	11		59.7	+2.0	51.9	33.9	431.1	2.8	1.3
36	Christian Watson thin prior (54 touches)	WR	GB	9		59.5	+1.8	46.2	28.1	429.3	2.8	0.7
37	Josh Downs	WR	IND	10		59.5	+1.8	58.7	38.6	434.0	2.7	1.6
38	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	10		58.5	+0.8	55.3	30.8	418.7	2.8	0.9
39	Tre Tucker	WR	LV	10		58.1	+0.4	54.7	33.5	419.2	2.7	2.7
40	Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	11		58.0	+0.3	49.4	30.2	395.8	3.1	3.6
41	KC Concepcion thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CLE	10		57.7	+0.0	60.2	33.4	420.2	2.6	7.3
42	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	11		57.4	-0.3	57.7	34.9	421.9	2.5	1.2
43	Devaughn Vele thin prior (36 touches)	WR	NO	10		57.3	-0.4	52.2	34.2	416.2	2.6	0.9
44	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	10		55.8	-1.9	50.9	31.3	392.5	2.8	0.9
45	Chris Godwin Jr.	WR	TB	10		54.8	-2.9	52.1	34.5	405.4	2.4	3.3
46	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	11		54.7	-3.0	53.7	35.6	409.5	2.3	2.3
47	Caleb Douglas thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	11		53.7	-4.0	56.0	31.1	390.9	2.4	1.9
48	Wan'Dale Robinson ⚠	WR	TEN	10		52.8	-4.8	58.0	38.4	399.9	2.1	1.8
49	Ryan Flournoy thin prior (32 touches)	WR	DAL	10		50.5	-7.2	45.1	29.9	364.5	2.3	1.1
50	Kendrick Bourne thin prior (49 touches)	WR	ARI	10		50.4	-7.3	48.1	32.0	388.9	1.9	0.8
51	Matthew Golden thin prior (22 touches)	WR	GB	9		50.3	-7.4	48.2	30.8	382.4	2.0	1.5
52	Jalen Nailor thin prior (40 touches)	WR	LV	10		48.7	-9.0	41.1	25.0	339.5	2.5	1.0
53	Tre Harris thin prior (22 touches)	WR	LAC	11		48.1	-9.6	45.5	29.6	356.0	2.1	1.3
54	Keenan Allen ⚠	WR	IND	10		47.5	-10.2	56.5	36.5	341.5	2.2	0.9
55	Germie Bernard thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	10		45.2	-12.5	47.2	26.1	329.2	2.0	2.0
56	DeMario Douglas	WR	NE	10		43.8	-13.9	40.9	27.3	327.0	1.8	1.0
57	Jahan Dotson thin prior (44 touches)	WR	ATL	10		43.8	-13.9	43.6	25.8	322.1	1.9	1.0
58	Keon Coleman thin prior (47 touches)	WR	BUF	11		43.6	-14.1	39.4	24.1	309.0	2.1	1.2
59	Xavier Hutchinson thin prior (40 touches)	WR	HOU	10		42.8	-14.9	42.0	25.3	310.5	2.0	4.3
60	Dontayvion Wicks ⚠	WR	PHI	10		42.6	-15.0	40.2	24.7	301.5	2.1	0.8
61	Rashid Shaheed	WR	SEA	10		42.5	-15.2	39.5	24.4	316.7	1.8	3.1
62	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	11		41.5	-16.2	36.8	22.2	308.1	1.8	1.3
63	Omar Cooper Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		41.5	-16.2	43.3	24.0	301.8	1.9	1.1
64	Deebo Samuel Sr.	WR	SF	10		41.2	-16.5	37.9	25.4	299.0	1.9	11.3
65	Antonio Williams thin prior (0 touches)	WR	WAS	11		41.2	-16.5	43.0	23.8	299.9	1.9	0.9
66	Marvin Harrison Jr. ⚠	WR	HOU	10		40.9	-16.8	36.6	21.3	291.4	2.0	0.9
67	Kalif Raymond thin prior (30 touches)	WR	CHI	10		40.3	-17.4	38.2	26.4	302.4	1.7	1.6
68	Isaac TeSlaa thin prior (14 touches)	WR	DET	11		39.3	-18.4	32.6	20.3	264.8	2.1	1.2
69	Malachi Fields thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYG	10		38.8	-18.9	40.5	22.4	282.5	1.8	0.8
70	Jerry Jeudy	WR	CLE	10		38.3	-19.4	39.7	22.8	295.5	1.5	1.0
71	Rashod Bateman thin prior (52 touches)	WR	BAL	10		37.7	-20.0	33.3	19.9	264.1	1.9	1.0
72	Ted Hurst III thin prior (0 touches)	WR	TB	10		37.2	-20.5	38.8	21.5	271.0	1.7	1.1
73	Chris Bell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	11		35.3	-22.4	36.8	20.4	257.1	1.6	2.3
74	Dohnte Meyers thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CIN	11		34.6	-23.1	36.1	20.0	251.8	1.6	2.1
75	Konata Mumpfield thin prior (12 touches)	WR	LA	10		34.3	-23.4	33.7	20.0	244.3	1.6	1.0
76	Adonai Mitchell thin prior (54 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		33.7	-24.0	35.8	19.0	249.8	1.4	1.1
77	Laquon Treadwell thin prior (1 touches)	WR	IND	10		32.5	-25.2	31.5	19.7	236.4	1.5	0.8
78	Makai Lemon thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PHI	10		31.9	-25.8	33.3	18.4	232.2	1.4	1.6
79	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	10		30.4	-27.3	31.1	20.2	222.5	1.4	0.7
80	Reggie Virgil thin prior (0 touches)	WR	ARI	10		30.3	-27.4	31.6	17.5	220.5	1.4	1.5
81	KeAndre Lambert-Smith thin prior (6 touches)	WR	LAC	11		29.9	-27.8	28.2	17.1	213.2	1.4	2.3
82	Treylon Burks thin prior (19 touches)	WR	WAS	11		29.6	-28.1	28.9	17.0	215.5	1.3	1.0
83	Kevin Coleman Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	11		29.5	-28.2	30.8	17.1	215.1	1.3	1.5
84	Elic Ayomanor thin prior (44 touches)	WR	TEN	10		29.0	-28.7	29.7	16.4	205.2	1.4	0.8
85	Cody White thin prior (3 touches)	WR	LV	10		28.8	-28.9	24.7	15.7	210.9	1.3	0.9
86	Jordan Watkins thin prior (2 touches)	WR	SF	10		28.7	-29.0	26.4	16.7	209.9	1.3	1.3
87	Josh Cameron thin prior (0 touches)	WR	JAX	11		28.4	-29.3	29.7	16.4	207.1	1.3	1.3
88	Ja'Kobi Lane thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	10		28.4	-29.3	29.6	16.4	206.5	1.3	1.5
89	Darnell Mooney ⚠	WR	NYG	10		27.9	-29.8	27.5	15.4	211.6	1.1	3.2
90	Efton Chism III thin prior (2 touches)	WR	NE	10		27.4	-30.3	23.8	15.2	199.3	1.2	2.0
91	Jalen Royals thin prior (2 touches)	WR	KC	11		27.4	-30.3	25.9	16.3	198.7	1.2	0.9
92	Bryce Lance thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	10		27.2	-30.5	28.4	15.7	198.2	1.2	0.9
93	Jauan Jennings ⚠	WR	MIN	11		27.0	-30.7	23.6	14.9	185.0	1.4	1.1
94	Kayshon Boutte thin prior (45 touches)	WR	HOU	10		25.4	-32.2	20.4	13.2	182.3	1.2	0.8
95	Olamide Zaccheaus ⚠	WR	ATL	10		24.6	-33.1	25.0	15.7	175.3	1.2	1.1
96	Savion Williams thin prior (5 touches)	WR	GB	9		24.2	-33.4	22.1	14.6	174.7	1.1	6.7
97	Mitchell Tinsley thin prior (12 touches)	WR	CIN	11		24.1	-33.5	23.0	13.2	169.6	1.2	1.7
98	Tez Johnson thin prior (22 touches)	WR	TB	10		23.0	-34.7	20.4	12.9	158.5	1.2	3.3
99	Josh Palmer thin prior (50 touches)	WR	BUF	11		22.8	-34.9	21.3	13.1	177.6	0.8	1.5
100	Marvin Mims Jr. thin prior (48 touches)	WR	DEN	10		22.7	-35.0	20.6	13.9	165.3	1.0	3.5
101	Ben Skowronek thin prior (7 touches)	WR	PIT	10		22.7	-35.0	20.1	13.0	164.2	1.0	1.4
102	Troy Franklin	WR	DEN	10		22.5	-35.2	22.5	13.8	157.5	1.1	1.9
103	Brycen Tremayne thin prior (9 touches)	WR	CAR	10		22.0	-35.7	20.4	13.3	163.4	0.9	1.0
104	John Metchie III thin prior (41 touches)	WR	CAR	10		21.3	-36.4	21.8	14.0	154.4	1.0	1.1
105	Jaylin Noel thin prior (18 touches)	WR	HOU	10		20.2	-37.5	18.3	12.1	147.2	0.9	3.5
106	Ashton Dulin thin prior (7 touches)	WR	IND	10		20.0	-37.7	18.1	10.9	147.4	0.9	1.3
107	Dyami Brown thin prior (35 touches)	WR	WAS	11		19.9	-37.7	19.6	12.2	146.8	0.9	0.9
108	Isaiah Bond thin prior (22 touches)	WR	CLE	10		19.7	-38.0	20.0	11.2	149.2	0.8	1.4
109	Calvin Ridley	WR	TEN	10		19.6	-38.0	20.2	11.5	148.3	0.8	1.0
110	Tory Horton thin prior (11 touches)	WR	SEA	10		18.6	-39.0	16.0	10.0	125.6	1.0	1.0
111	Tim Patrick thin prior (25 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		17.8	-39.9	17.1	11.1	125.5	0.9	1.3
112	Jordan Whittington thin prior (21 touches)	WR	LA	10		17.6	-40.1	16.6	11.0	133.4	0.7	1.2
113	Tai Felton thin prior (2 touches)	WR	MIN	11		17.4	-40.3	16.2	10.4	127.4	0.8	1.2
114	Darius Cooper thin prior (6 touches)	WR	PHI	10		17.3	-40.4	16.0	10.4	127.7	0.8	0.7
115	Tank Dell thin prior (39 touches)	WR	HOU	10		16.9	-40.7	14.9	9.4	123.3	0.8	3.6
116	Devontez Walker thin prior (5 touches)	WR	BAL	10		16.4	-41.3	13.5	8.5	114.9	0.8	1.2
117	Zachariah Branch thin prior (0 touches)	WR	ATL	10		16.4	-41.3	17.1	9.5	119.4	0.7	1.9
118	Cyrus Allen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	11		16.0	-41.7	16.7	9.2	116.3	0.7	1.1
119	Kyle Williams thin prior (10 touches)	WR	NE	10		15.8	-41.8	13.6	8.2	112.4	0.8	1.0
120	KaVontae Turpin thin prior (38 touches)	WR	DAL	10		15.5	-42.2	13.8	8.8	113.8	0.7	4.4
121	Tutu Atwell thin prior (40 touches)	WR	LA	10		14.5	-43.2	13.0	8.0	110.1	0.6	1.4
122	Brandin Cooks thin prior (50 touches)	WR	SF	10		14.1	-43.6	14.8	9.2	100.6	0.7	1.2
123	Jared Wayne thin prior (1 touches)	WR	MIA	11		13.5	-44.2	12.4	7.9	98.9	0.6	0.0
124	Isaiah Williams thin prior (19 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		13.2	-44.5	13.4	8.8	96.9	0.6	2.9
125	Dont'e Thornton Jr. thin prior (15 touches)	WR	LV	10		13.1	-44.6	13.3	7.5	95.7	0.6	2.3
126	Brenen Thompson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LAC	11		12.0	-45.7	12.5	6.9	87.2	0.5	2.3
127	Jalen Tolbert thin prior (48 touches)	WR	MIA	11		12.0	-45.7	11.2	6.8	84.2	0.6	2.2
128	Travis Hunter ⚠	WR	JAX	11		11.4	-46.3	10.5	6.6	83.1	0.5	2.3
129	Myles Price thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIN	11		11.2	-46.5	10.3	6.5	81.8	0.5	1.7
130	Lil'Jordan Humphrey thin prior (30 touches)	WR	DEN	10		10.9	-46.8	10.5	6.6	78.5	0.5	1.4
131	Charlie Jones thin prior (3 touches)	WR	NYG	10		10.2	-47.5	9.5	6.0	74.7	0.5	1.2
132	Zavion Thomas thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CHI	10		10.2	-47.5	10.6	5.9	73.9	0.5	1.8
133	Chimere Dike thin prior (37 touches)	WR	TEN	10		10.2	-47.5	10.1	6.4	71.0	0.5	0.9
134	Demarcus Robinson thin prior (44 touches)	WR	SF	10		10.0	-47.6	9.7	5.8	70.7	0.5	0.0
135	Bo Melton ⚠	WR	GB	9		9.9	-47.8	9.1	5.7	72.2	0.4	0.7
136	Jonathan Mingo thin prior (32 touches)	WR	DAL	10		9.9	-47.8	10.9	6.1	72.9	0.4	1.4
137	Tay Martin thin prior (2 touches)	WR	DET	11		9.3	-48.4	8.3	5.3	67.6	0.4	1.5
138	Marquise Brown ⚠	WR	PHI	10		9.2	-48.4	8.8	5.4	65.8	0.4	3.8
139	Jacob Cowing thin prior (2 touches)	WR	SF	10		9.1	-48.6	8.3	5.2	66.9	0.4	1.7
140	Barion Brown thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	10		9.0	-48.7	9.4	5.2	65.6	0.4	2.9
141	Deion Burks thin prior (0 touches)	WR	IND	10		8.8	-48.9	9.1	5.1	63.7	0.4	3.9
142	Theo Wease Jr. thin prior (5 touches)	WR	LAC	11		8.4	-49.3	7.3	4.6	61.6	0.4	0.0
143	Jack Bech thin prior (14 touches)	WR	LV	8.1	IR · 8.1 of 10 g	8.2	-49.5	7.8	5.0	61.3	0.3	0.0
144	Malik Benson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LV	10		8.0	-49.7	8.4	4.6	58.5	0.4	1.7
145	Colbie Young thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CIN	11		8.0	-49.7	8.4	4.6	58.3	0.4	1.7
146	Chris Blair thin prior (1 touches)	WR	ATL	10		7.4	-50.3	6.8	4.3	54.2	0.3	1.1
147	David Moore thin prior (19 touches)	WR	CAR	10		7.4	-50.3	7.3	4.5	52.9	0.4	1.2
148	Andrew Armstrong thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	11		6.8	-50.9	7.1	3.9	49.5	0.3	0.0
149	Simi Fehoko thin prior (5 touches)	WR	ARI	10		6.8	-50.9	6.3	3.8	49.3	0.3	0.8
150	Davante Adams	WR	LA	2.0	IR · 2.0 of 10 g	6.7	-51.0	7.0	4.1	43.1	0.4	0.0
151	Tylan Wallace thin prior (8 touches)	WR	CLE	10		6.5	-51.2	5.7	3.6	46.7	0.3	1.6
152	LaJohntay Wester thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	10		6.0	-51.7	5.5	3.5	43.9	0.3	1.0
153	Mack Hollins thin prior (54 touches)	WR	NE	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	6.0	-51.7	6.0	3.9	44.0	0.3	0.3
154	Skyler Bell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BUF	11		6.0	-51.7	6.2	3.5	43.6	0.3	0.0
155	Jahdae Walker thin prior (5 touches)	WR	CHI	10		5.9	-51.8	5.3	3.3	42.0	0.3	1.3
156	Calvin Austin III thin prior (51 touches)	WR	NYG	10		5.9	-51.8	5.4	3.3	42.2	0.3	2.3
157	Jordyn Tyson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	10		5.9	-51.8	6.1	3.4	42.8	0.3	2.5
158	CJ Daniels thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LA	10		5.6	-52.1	5.8	3.2	40.8	0.3	2.5
159	Luke McCaffrey thin prior (15 touches)	WR	WAS	11		5.6	-52.1	4.7	3.1	40.0	0.3	1.3
160	Roman Wilson thin prior (10 touches)	WR	PIT	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	5.5	-52.2	4.9	3.1	39.2	0.3	0.0
161	Tyquan Thornton thin prior (26 touches)	WR	KC	2.5	IR · 2.5 of 11 g	5.5	-52.2	4.7	2.8	40.2	0.2	0.0
162	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	1.9	IR · 1.9 of 11 g	5.4	-52.3	4.7	3.0	38.6	0.3	0.0
163	David Sills thin prior (18 touches)	WR	TB	10		5.2	-52.5	5.3	3.2	36.7	0.3	2.2
164	DeAndre Carter thin prior (6 touches)	WR	DET	11		5.1	-52.6	5.3	3.3	37.0	0.2	2.4
165	Christian Kirk ⚠	WR	SF	10		4.8	-52.8	5.0	3.0	36.2	0.2	2.4
166	Romeo Doubs	WR	NE	2.0	IR · 2.0 of 10 g	4.8	-52.9	4.2	2.6	33.5	0.2	0.0
167	Kaden Wetjen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	10		4.6	-53.1	4.8	2.7	33.7	0.2	0.9
168	J. Michael Sturdivant thin prior (0 touches)	WR	GB	9		4.0	-53.7	4.1	2.3	28.8	0.2	0.7
169	Michael Pittman ⚠	WR	PIT	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 10 g	3.9	-53.8	3.8	2.6	28.3	0.2	0.3
170	Irvin Charles thin prior (0 touches)	WR	SEA	10		3.9	-53.8	3.6	2.2	28.3	0.2	1.3
171	Elijah Moore	WR	PHI	10		3.6	-54.1	4.0	2.4	27.3	0.1	0.0
172	Pat Bryant thin prior (24 touches)	WR	DEN	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 10 g	3.5	-54.2	3.3	2.1	25.9	0.1	0.3
173	Derius Davis thin prior (10 touches)	WR	LAC	11		3.4	-54.3	3.2	2.1	24.3	0.2	1.0
174	Elijah Sarratt thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	10		3.1	-54.5	3.3	1.8	23.0	0.1	0.0
175	Dareke Young thin prior (2 touches)	WR	LV	10		2.9	-54.8	2.7	1.7	21.6	0.1	0.0
176	Nikko Remigio thin prior (2 touches)	WR	KC	11		2.8	-54.9	2.5	1.6	20.3	0.1	0.9
177	Greg Dortch thin prior (40 touches)	WR	BUF	11		2.5	-55.2	2.4	1.6	17.4	0.1	1.2
178	Skyy Moore thin prior (12 touches)	WR	GB	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 9 g	2.5	-55.2	2.3	1.4	18.3	0.1	0.0
179	Jalen Brooks thin prior (13 touches)	WR	ARI	1.6	IR · 1.6 of 10 g	2.2	-55.5	2.1	1.3	16.3	0.1	0.0
180	Kameron Johnson thin prior (4 touches)	WR	TB	10		2.2	-55.5	2.0	1.2	15.6	0.1	0.0
181	Devin Duvernay thin prior (9 touches)	WR	ARI	10		2.1	-55.6	2.1	1.3	15.4	0.1	0.7
182	Jayden Reed thin prior (52 touches)	WR	GB	1.5	IR · 1.5 of 9 g	1.6	-56.0	1.3	0.9	11.9	0.1	0.0
183	Xavier Legette	WR	CAR	1.6	IR · 1.6 of 10 g	1.3	-56.4	1.4	0.8	9.3	0.1	0.0
184	Braxton Berrios thin prior (12 touches)	WR	NYG	10		1.2	-56.5	1.2	0.8	8.9	0.1	0.0
185	Jaylin Lane thin prior (16 touches)	WR	WAS	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 11 g	0.5	-57.2	0.5	0.3	3.7	0.0	0.0
186	Jalen McMillan thin prior (25 touches)	WR	TB	1.5	IR · 1.5 of 10 g	0.3	-57.4	0.3	0.2	2.1	0.0	0.0
187	Beaux Collins thin prior (3 touches)	WR	ATL	6.4	IR · 6.4 of 10 g	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
188	Tyrell Shavers thin prior (12 touches)	WR	BUF	4.0	PUP · 4.0 of 11 g	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
189	Chris Brazzell II thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CAR	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
190	Andrei Iosivas thin prior (52 touches)	WR	CIN	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
191	Malachi Corley thin prior (9 touches)	WR	CLE	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
192	Camden Brown thin prior (0 touches)	WR	DAL	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
193	Tom Kennedy thin prior (2 touches)	WR	DET	2.2	IR · 2.2 of 11 g	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
194	Kendrick Law thin prior (0 touches)	WR	DET	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
195	Coleman Owen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	GB	9		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
196	Jayden Higgins thin prior (34 touches)	WR	HOU	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
197	Anthony Gould thin prior (1 touches)	WR	IND	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
198	Alec Pierce	WR	IND	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
199	D.J. Montgomery thin prior (2 touches)	WR	IND	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
200	CJ Williams thin prior (0 touches)	WR	JAX	11		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
201	Jeff Caldwell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
202	Jimmy Holiday thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
203	Alex Bachman thin prior (2 touches)	WR	LA	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
204	Mason Tipton thin prior (16 touches)	WR	NO	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
205	Gunner Olszewski thin prior (7 touches)	WR	NYG	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
206	Malik McClain thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
207	Arian Smith thin prior (8 touches)	WR	NYJ	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
208	Britain Covey thin prior (6 touches)	WR	PHI	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
209	Johnny Wilson thin prior (4 touches)	WR	PHI	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
210	Cole Burgess thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
211	Jake Bobo thin prior (11 touches)	WR	SEA	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
212	De'Zhaun Stribling thin prior (0 touches)	WR	SF	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
213	Ricky Pearsall thin prior (40 touches)	WR	SF	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
214	Brandon Aiyuk thin prior (35 touches)	WR	SF	10		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
215	Van Jefferson thin prior (47 touches)	WR	WAS	11		0.0	-57.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

VORP = this player's points minus the points of the last startable player at his position (hover the VORP cell to see who). Baseline rank = teams × starters, with FLEX split RB/WR/TE 45/45/10.

Known limitations

Thin priors over-projected QBs. Efficiency comes from 2023–25, regressed toward the league average by sample size. Over Weeks 1–4, QB1s whose prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted dropbacks were projected +3.9 PPR a game too high (9 QBs; established QB1s +0.1). Those rows carry a thin prior chip. From Week 7 (model n8-v3) a QB's passing rates also read his own 2026 dropbacks, weighted against the prior's sample plus a fixed anchor, so a few snaps barely move them. On Weeks 5–6 this halved the thin-QB bias. Rushing rates and the game lines still use the prior: the game-level check of the same change failed.
Team pass volume is a 2023–25 prior too; in-season, only player shares blend toward what is observed. Blending team volume in-season was tested twice and lost to the prior both times.