NFL Live

Win probability, live spread and total, and the current drive's outcome distribution — all re-priced every play from a model fitted offline on 2020–2025 play-by-play (nfl-live-1). Every drive's prediction is locked at drive start and graded on /nfl/results.

No NFL games in progress. The monitor wakes 30 minutes before kickoff.

Next window: Thu 2026-09-17 — the monitor goes live 30 minutes before the first kickoff.

Source: ESPN's public scoreboard (unofficial, ~10–15 s latency). Model nfl-live-1 · fit report in research/nfl/live_fit.md.