College Football Game Projections
Current week plus next. Spread, total, win probability and vig-free moneylines from the fitted CFB empirical margin distribution — key numbers priced, not smoothed, and fit on college margins rather than the NFL's. Model c3-v1.6 · updated 10h ago. In-season rating blend: per-team games played — each team at w = g/(g + 4.0) on its own games, not the league's week count. 5 team(s) blended, up to 2 game(s) played → observed EPA carries up to 33%; every other team is still on its preseason prior. Play-by-play for this season comes from the CollegeFootballData API — the in-season fill, calibrated onto the release's EPA scale (research/cfb/cfbd_parity.md). The release corpus resumes the moment it publishes 2026.
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Conference:
Week 3 · 75 games
Thursday, September 17 · 1 games
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh
Thu 7:30 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Syracuse 20%
Pittsburgh 80%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pittsburgh -14.8 | Pittsburgh -10.5 8h |
| Total | 49.2 | 51.5 |
| ML | Syracuse +409 / Pittsburgh -409 | +300 / -380 |
Acrisure Stadium
Friday, September 18 · 3 games
Portland State @ Oregon
Fri 10:30 PM ET
Big Sky at Big Ten
FCS
Portland State 1%
Oregon 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oregon -40.8 | Oregon -56.5 8h |
| Total | 57.1 | 66.5 |
| ML | Portland State +9715 / Oregon -9715 | — |
Autzen Stadium
Miami @ Wake Forest
Fri 7:30 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Miami 84%
Wake Forest 16%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Miami -17.2 | Miami -20.5 8h |
| Total | 51.5 | 55.5 |
| ML | Miami -525 / Wake Forest +525 | -1650 / +950 |
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Houston @ Texas Tech
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Houston 12%
Texas Tech 88%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas Tech -20.0 | Texas Tech -7.5 8h |
| Total | 47.8 | 52.5 |
| ML | Houston +712 / Texas Tech -712 | +250 / -315 |
Jones AT&T Stadium
Saturday, September 19 · 71 games
Morning · 1
Coastal Carolina @ Delaware
Sat 11:30 AM ET
Sun Belt at Conference USA
Coastal Carolina 57%
Delaware 43%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Coastal Carolina -2.9 | Delaware -5.5 8h |
| Total | 54.8 | 57.5 |
| ML | Coastal Carolina -135 / Delaware +135 | +172 / -210 |
Delaware Stadium
Noon (12–3:30) · 26
Georgia @ Arkansas
Sat 12:00 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Georgia 77%
Arkansas 23%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia -12.5 | Georgia -25.5 8h |
| Total | 55.2 | 54.5 |
| ML | Georgia -326 / Arkansas +326 | -4500 / +1600 |
Razorback Stadium
North Carolina @ Clemson
Sat 12:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
North Carolina 18%
Clemson 82%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Clemson -15.6 | Clemson -3.5 8h |
| Total | 51.7 | 43.5 |
| ML | North Carolina +442 / Clemson -442 | +145 / -175 |
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Mercer @ Georgia Tech
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Southern at ACC
FCS
Mercer 0%
Georgia Tech 100%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia Tech -45.3 | Georgia Tech -39.5 8h |
| Total | 62.3 | 60.5 |
| ML | Mercer ≥+10000 / Georgia Tech ≤-10000 | — |
Bobby Dodd Stadium
Bowling Green @ Iowa State
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Big 12
Bowling Green 12%
Iowa State 88%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Iowa State -20.6 | Iowa State -23.5 8h |
| Total | 47.2 | 44.5 |
| ML | Bowling Green +762 / Iowa State -762 | +1400 / -4000 |
Jack Trice Stadium
Arizona State @ Kansas
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
neutral
Arizona State 57%
Kansas 43%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arizona State -2.8 | — |
| Total | 57.7 | — |
| ML | Arizona State -133 / Kansas +133 | — |
Wembley Stadium
Tulane @ Kansas State
Sat 12:00 PM ET
American Athletic at Big 12
Tulane 37%
Kansas State 63%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kansas State -5.5 | Kansas State -20.5 8h |
| Total | 50.4 | 49.5 |
| ML | Tulane +172 / Kansas State -172 | +980 / -2000 |
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Akron @ Minnesota
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Big Ten
Akron 13%
Minnesota 87%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Minnesota -19.3 | Minnesota -24.5 8h |
| Total | 47.2 | 49.5 |
| ML | Akron +661 / Minnesota -661 | +1400 / -4000 |
Huntington Bank Stadium
Kent State @ Ohio State
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Big Ten
Kent State 0%
Ohio State 100%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ohio State -45.9 | Ohio State -52.5 8h |
| Total | 51.9 | 59.5 |
| ML | Kent State ≥+10000 / Ohio State ≤-10000 | — |
Ohio Stadium
Buffalo @ Penn State
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Big Ten
Buffalo 2%
Penn State 98%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Penn State -35.7 | Penn State -40.5 8h |
| Total | 46.5 | 48.5 |
| ML | Buffalo +4497 / Penn State -4497 | — |
Beaver Stadium
North Texas @ Texas State
Sat 12:00 PM ET
American Athletic at Pac-12
North Texas 50%
Texas State 50%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas State -0.1 | Texas State -2.5 8h |
| Total | 65.1 | 63.5 |
| ML | North Texas +101 / Texas State -101 | +122 / -146 |
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Eastern Michigan @ Wisconsin
Sat 12:30 PM ET
Mid-American at Big Ten
Eastern Michigan 15%
Wisconsin 85%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wisconsin -17.9 | Wisconsin -24.5 8h |
| Total | 38.4 | 45.5 |
| ML | Eastern Michigan +563 / Wisconsin -563 | +1400 / -4000 |
Camp Randall Stadium
NC State @ Vanderbilt
Sat 12:45 PM ET
ACC at SEC
NC State 37%
Vanderbilt 63%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vanderbilt -5.2 | Vanderbilt -3.5 8h |
| Total | 54.9 | 50.5 |
| ML | NC State +168 / Vanderbilt -168 | +140 / -170 |
FirstBank Stadium
Wyoming @ Central Michigan
Sat 1:00 PM ET
Mountain West at Mid-American
Wyoming 42%
Central Michigan 58%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Central Michigan -3.1 | Central Michigan -1.5 8h |
| Total | 45.2 | 39.5 |
| ML | Wyoming +137 / Central Michigan -137 | -102 / -118 |
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Maine @ Boston College
Sat 2:00 PM ET
Coastal Athletic at ACC
FCS
Maine 7%
Boston College 93%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Boston College -25.9 | Boston College -37.5 8h |
| Total | 49.7 | 52.5 |
| ML | Maine +1416 / Boston College -1416 | — |
Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Southern Illinois @ Illinois
Sat 2:00 PM ET
MVFC at Big Ten
FCS
Southern Illinois 5%
Illinois 95%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Illinois -29.2 | Illinois -39.5 8h |
| Total | 56.0 | 53.5 |
| ML | Southern Illinois +2084 / Illinois -2084 | — |
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Temple @ Toledo
Sat 3:00 PM ET
American Athletic at Mid-American
Temple 10%
Toledo 90%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toledo -22.5 | Toledo -5.5 8h |
| Total | 48.1 | 50.5 |
| ML | Temple +951 / Toledo -951 | +168 / -205 |
Glass Bowl
Florida State @ Alabama
Sat 3:30 PM ET
ACC at SEC
Florida State 26%
Alabama 74%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Alabama -11.1 | Alabama -19.5 8h |
| Total | 51.4 | 49.5 |
| ML | Florida State +286 / Alabama -286 | +900 / -1600 |
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Wagner @ California
Sat 3:30 PM ET
NEC at ACC
FCS
Wagner 2%
California 98%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | California -37.2 | — |
| Total | 53.6 | — |
| ML | Wagner +5492 / California -5492 | — |
California Memorial Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Mid-American at Big 12
Miami (OH) 28%
Cincinnati 72%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cincinnati -9.7 | Cincinnati -14.5 8h |
| Total | 49.3 | 50.5 |
| ML | Miami (OH) +252 / Cincinnati -252 | +520 / -750 |
TQL Stadium
SMU @ Louisville
Sat 3:30 PM ET
ACC at ACC
SMU 37%
Louisville 63%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisville -5.6 | Louisville -1.5 8h |
| Total | 49.9 | 59.5 |
| ML | SMU +173 / Louisville -173 | -105 / -115 |
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Stonehill @ Massachusetts
Sat 3:30 PM ET
NEC at Mid-American
FCS
Stonehill 6%
Massachusetts 94%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Massachusetts -26.7 | Massachusetts -33.5 8h |
| Total | 53.1 | 48.5 |
| ML | Stonehill +1570 / Massachusetts -1570 | — |
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
UTEP @ Michigan
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Mountain West at Big Ten
UTEP 2%
Michigan 98%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan -35.2 | Michigan -34.5 8h |
| Total | 45.4 | 48.5 |
| ML | UTEP +4248 / Michigan -4248 | — |
Michigan Stadium
USC @ Rutgers
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
USC 73%
Rutgers 27%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | USC -10.2 | USC -23.5 8h |
| Total | 63.6 | 59.5 |
| ML | USC -265 / Rutgers +265 | -3500 / +1280 |
SHI Stadium
Kentucky @ Texas A&M
Sat 3:30 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Kentucky 15%
Texas A&M 85%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas A&M -17.7 | Texas A&M -16.5 8h |
| Total | 48.8 | 50.5 |
| ML | Kentucky +554 / Texas A&M -554 | +590 / -950 |
Kyle Field
Utah State @ Utah
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Pac-12 at Big 12
Utah State 10%
Utah 90%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Utah -21.7 | Utah -27.5 8h |
| Total | 54.4 | 56.5 |
| ML | Utah State +867 / Utah -867 | +2000 / -7000 |
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Duquesne @ Washington State
Sat 3:30 PM ET
NEC at Pac-12
FCS
Duquesne 1%
Washington State 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Washington State -40.6 | Washington State -35.5 8h |
| Total | 52.2 | 52.5 |
| ML | Duquesne +9477 / Washington State -9477 | — |
Gesa Field
Afternoon (3:30–7) · 11
Louisiana Tech @ Baylor
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Big 12
Louisiana Tech 19%
Baylor 81%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Baylor -15.2 | Baylor -18.5 8h |
| Total | 54.3 | 52.5 |
| ML | Louisiana Tech +425 / Baylor -425 | +800 / -1400 |
McLane Stadium
Stanford @ Duke
Sat 4:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Stanford 20%
Duke 80%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Duke -14.5 | Duke -9.5 8h |
| Total | 50.7 | 51.5 |
| ML | Stanford +397 / Duke -397 | +310 / -400 |
Wallace Wade Stadium
Western Kentucky @ Indiana
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Conference USA at Big Ten
Western Kentucky 5%
Indiana 95%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Indiana -28.4 | Indiana -44.5 8h |
| Total | 53.6 | 60.5 |
| ML | Western Kentucky +1916 / Indiana -1916 | — |
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Northern Iowa @ Iowa
Sat 4:00 PM ET
MVFC at Big Ten
FCS
Northern Iowa 4%
Iowa 96%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Iowa -29.6 | Iowa -40.5 8h |
| Total | 47.2 | 48.5 |
| ML | Northern Iowa +2185 / Iowa -2185 | — |
Kinnick Stadium
Ball State @ Liberty
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Conference USA
Ball State 14%
Liberty 86%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Liberty -18.6 | Liberty -14.5 8h |
| Total | 53.4 | 49.5 |
| ML | Ball State +610 / Liberty -610 | +520 / -750 |
Williams Stadium (VA)
Mississippi State @ South Carolina
Sat 4:15 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Mississippi State 31%
South Carolina 69%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | South Carolina -8.3 | South Carolina -4.0 8h |
| Total | 51.4 | 59.5 |
| ML | Mississippi State +221 / South Carolina -221 | +150 / -180 |
Williams-Brice Stadium
SE Louisiana @ UL Monroe
Sat 4:30 PM ET
Southland at Sun Belt
FCS
SE Louisiana 3%
UL Monroe 97%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UL Monroe -32.5 | UL Monroe -11.5 8h |
| Total | 53.0 | 47.5 |
| ML | SE Louisiana +3040 / UL Monroe -3040 | +400 / -550 |
Malone Stadium
Charlotte @ App State
Sat 6:00 PM ET
American Athletic at Sun Belt
Charlotte 16%
App State 84%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | App State -17.5 | App State -17.5 8h |
| Total | 51.3 | 51.5 |
| ML | Charlotte +542 / App State -542 | +650 / -1000 |
Kidd Brewer Stadium
Florida International @ Florida Atlantic
Sat 6:00 PM ET
Conference USA at American Athletic
Florida International 33%
Florida Atlantic 67%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida Atlantic -7.1 | Florida Atlantic -6.5 8h |
| Total | 50.7 | 62.5 |
| ML | Florida International +200 / Florida Atlantic -200 | +210 / -260 |
FAU Stadium
East Carolina @ Old Dominion
Sat 6:00 PM ET
American Athletic at Sun Belt
East Carolina 29%
Old Dominion 71%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Old Dominion -9.4 | Old Dominion -3.0 8h |
| Total | 49.1 | 49.5 |
| ML | East Carolina +245 / Old Dominion -245 | +124 / -148 |
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Marshall @ Missouri State
Sat 6:30 PM ET
Sun Belt at Conference USA
Marshall 53%
Missouri State 47%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Marshall -1.1 | Marshall -3.5 8h |
| Total | 52.8 | 51.5 |
| ML | Marshall -112 / Missouri State +112 | -166 / +140 |
Plaster Sports Complex
Evening (7–10) · 26
Florida @ Auburn
Sat 7:00 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Florida 34%
Auburn 66%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Auburn -6.8 | Florida -2.5 8h |
| Total | 49.1 | 53.5 |
| ML | Florida +193 / Auburn -193 | -142 / +120 |
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Georgia Southern @ Jacksonville State
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Conference USA
Georgia Southern 32%
Jacksonville State 68%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jacksonville State -7.8 | Jacksonville State -3.0 8h |
| Total | 56.5 | 52.5 |
| ML | Georgia Southern +211 / Jacksonville State -211 | +150 / -180 |
AmFirst Stadium
UT Martin @ Memphis
Sat 7:00 PM ET
OVC at American Athletic
FCS
UT Martin 1%
Memphis 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Memphis -43.9 | Memphis -34.5 8h |
| Total | 49.9 | 56.5 |
| ML | UT Martin ≥+10000 / Memphis ≤-10000 | — |
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Nevada @ Middle Tennessee
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Mountain West at Conference USA
Nevada 54%
Middle Tennessee 46%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nevada -1.5 | Nevada -3.5 8h |
| Total | 47.6 | 50.5 |
| ML | Nevada -117 / Middle Tennessee +117 | -180 / +150 |
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Troy @ Missouri
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at SEC
Troy 11%
Missouri 89%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri -21.2 | Missouri -26.5 8h |
| Total | 49.2 | 50.5 |
| ML | Troy +822 / Missouri -822 | +2000 / -6500 |
Memorial Stadium
Murray State @ Oklahoma State
Sat 7:00 PM ET
MVFC at Big 12
FCS
Murray State 11%
Oklahoma State 89%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oklahoma State -21.4 | Oklahoma State -55.5 8h |
| Total | 55.4 | 69.5 |
| ML | Murray State +835 / Oklahoma State -835 | — |
Boone Pickens Stadium
Western Michigan @ Rice
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Mid-American at American Athletic
Western Michigan 56%
Rice 44%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Western Michigan -2.3 | Western Michigan -9.5 8h |
| Total | 47.6 | 43.5 |
| ML | Western Michigan -126 / Rice +126 | -410 / +315 |
Rice Stadium
Nicholls @ Sam Houston
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Southland at Conference USA
FCS
Nicholls 3%
Sam Houston 97%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sam Houston -32.7 | Sam Houston -18.5 8h |
| Total | 54.0 | 50.5 |
| ML | Nicholls +3140 / Sam Houston -3140 | +860 / -1600 |
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Ohio @ South Alabama
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Sun Belt
Ohio 46%
South Alabama 54%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | South Alabama -1.4 | South Alabama -5.5 8h |
| Total | 55.4 | 51.5 |
| ML | Ohio +116 / South Alabama -116 | +180 / -218 |
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Delaware State @ South Florida
Sat 7:00 PM ET
MEAC at American Athletic
FCS
Delaware State 1%
South Florida 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | South Florida -42.3 | South Florida -37.5 8h |
| Total | 54.4 | 62.5 |
| ML | Delaware State ≥+10000 / South Florida ≤-10000 | — |
Raymond James Stadium
UConn @ Southern Miss
Sat 7:00 PM ET
FBS Independents at Sun Belt
UConn 65%
Southern Miss 35%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UConn -6.6 | UConn -3.0 8h |
| Total | 51.9 | 54.5 |
| ML | UConn -190 / Southern Miss +190 | -155 / +130 |
M. M. Roberts Stadium
Georgia State @ UCF
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Big 12
Georgia State 18%
UCF 82%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCF -16.2 | UCF -18.5 8h |
| Total | 53.9 | 51.5 |
| ML | Georgia State +471 / UCF -471 | +800 / -1400 |
FBC Mortgage Stadium
North Dakota @ Nebraska
Sat 7:15 PM ET
MVFC at Big Ten
FCS
North Dakota 5%
Nebraska 95%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nebraska -28.0 | Nebraska -24.5 8h |
| Total | 52.7 | 50.5 |
| ML | North Dakota +1824 / Nebraska -1824 | +1400 / -4000 |
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Eastern Washington @ Washington
Sat 7:15 PM ET
Big Sky at Big Ten
FCS
Eastern Washington 2%
Washington 98%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Washington -35.2 | Washington -42.5 8h |
| Total | 55.4 | 56.5 |
| ML | Eastern Washington +4254 / Washington -4254 | — |
Husky Stadium
BYU @ Colorado State
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Big 12 at Pac-12
BYU 89%
Colorado State 11%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | BYU -21.0 | BYU -17.5 8h |
| Total | 50.4 | 52.5 |
| ML | BYU -801 / Colorado State +801 | -1200 / +740 |
Canvas Stadium
Virginia Tech @ Maryland
Sat 7:30 PM ET
ACC at Big Ten
Virginia Tech 40%
Maryland 60%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Maryland -4.2 | Virginia Tech -3.0 8h |
| Total | 49.0 | 53.5 |
| ML | Virginia Tech +153 / Maryland -153 | -142 / +120 |
SECU Stadium
Colorado @ Northwestern
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Big 12 at Big Ten
Colorado 42%
Northwestern 58%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Northwestern -3.4 | Northwestern -3.5 8h |
| Total | 49.5 | 48.5 |
| ML | Colorado +141 / Northwestern -141 | +146 / -178 |
Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
Michigan State @ Notre Dame
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Big Ten at FBS Independents
Michigan State 1%
Notre Dame 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Notre Dame -38.8 | Notre Dame -29.5 8h |
| Total | 46.1 | 52.5 |
| ML | Michigan State +6961 / Notre Dame -6961 | +2400 / -10000 |
Notre Dame Stadium
New Mexico @ Oklahoma
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Mountain West at SEC
New Mexico 6%
Oklahoma 94%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oklahoma -26.5 | Oklahoma -22.5 8h |
| Total | 51.6 | 46.5 |
| ML | New Mexico +1529 / Oklahoma -1529 | +1280 / -3500 |
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
LSU @ Ole Miss
Sat 7:30 PM ET
SEC at SEC
LSU 32%
Ole Miss 68%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ole Miss -7.8 | LSU -2.5 8h |
| Total | 57.5 | 58.5 |
| ML | LSU +213 / Ole Miss -213 | -142 / +118 |
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
West Virginia @ Virginia
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Big 12 at ACC
neutral
West Virginia 36%
Virginia 64%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Virginia -6.0 | Virginia -8.5 3d |
| Total | 52.4 | 52.5 |
| ML | West Virginia +180 / Virginia -180 | +260 / -325 |
Duke’s Mayo Classic · Bank of America Stadium
Kennesaw State @ Tennessee
Sat 7:45 PM ET
Conference USA at SEC
Kennesaw State 3%
Tennessee 97%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tennessee -33.3 | Tennessee -35.5 8h |
| Total | 55.7 | 60.5 |
| ML | Kennesaw State +3354 / Tennessee -3354 | — |
Neyland Stadium
UAB @ Louisiana
Sat 8:00 PM ET
American Athletic at Sun Belt
UAB 30%
Louisiana 70%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisiana -9.0 | Louisiana -7.5 8h |
| Total | 55.6 | 56.5 |
| ML | UAB +237 / Louisiana -237 | +245 / -310 |
Cajun Field
Arkansas State @ TCU
Sat 8:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Big 12
Arkansas State 8%
TCU 92%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | TCU -23.7 | TCU -20.5 8h |
| Total | 58.2 | 55.5 |
| ML | Arkansas State +1100 / TCU -1100 | +810 / -1450 |
Amon G. Carter Stadium
UTSA @ Texas
Sat 8:00 PM ET
American Athletic at SEC
UTSA 9%
Texas 91%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas -22.7 | Texas -30.5 8h |
| Total | 51.9 | 58.5 |
| ML | UTSA +978 / Texas -978 | +2000 / -6500 |
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
East Texas A&M @ Tulsa
Sat 8:00 PM ET
Southland at American Athletic
FCS
East Texas A&M 2%
Tulsa 98%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tulsa -36.3 | Tulsa -41.5 8h |
| Total | 59.5 | 57.5 |
| ML | East Texas A&M +4900 / Tulsa -4900 | — |
Chapman Stadium
Late night (10+) · 7
South Dakota @ Boise State
Sat 10:00 PM ET
MVFC at Pac-12
FCS
South Dakota 4%
Boise State 96%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Boise State -31.1 | Boise State -24.5 8h |
| Total | 56.4 | 54.5 |
| ML | South Dakota +2609 / Boise State -2609 | +1400 / -4000 |
Albertsons Stadium
James Madison @ San Diego State
Sat 10:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Pac-12
James Madison 78%
San Diego State 22%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | James Madison -13.6 | San Diego State -2.5 8h |
| Total | 43.5 | 46.5 |
| ML | James Madison -364 / San Diego State +364 | +114 / -135 |
Snapdragon Stadium
Northern Illinois @ Arizona
Sat 10:30 PM ET
Mountain West at Big 12
Northern Illinois 11%
Arizona 89%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arizona -21.3 | Arizona -34.5 8h |
| Total | 48.1 | 49.5 |
| ML | Northern Illinois +827 / Arizona -827 | — |
Arizona Stadium
North Dakota State @ Sacramento State
Sat 10:30 PM ET
Mountain West at Mid-American
North Dakota State 43%
Sacramento State 57%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sacramento State -2.9 | North Dakota State -27.5 8h |
| Total | 52.3 | 51.5 |
| ML | North Dakota State +134 / Sacramento State -134 | -8000 / +2200 |
Hornet Stadium
Montana @ Oregon State
Sat 11:00 PM ET
Big Sky at Pac-12
FCS
Montana 9%
Oregon State 91%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oregon State -23.3 | Oregon State -17.5 8h |
| Total | 56.4 | 52.5 |
| ML | Montana +1042 / Oregon State -1042 | +640 / -1000 |
Reser Stadium
Fresno State @ San José State
Sat 11:00 PM ET
Pac-12 at Mountain West
Fresno State 53%
San José State 47%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fresno State -1.0 | Fresno State -6.5 8h |
| Total | 48.3 | 50.5 |
| ML | Fresno State -111 / San José State +111 | -255 / +205 |
CEFCU Stadium
Purdue @ UCLA
Sat 11:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Purdue 17%
UCLA 83%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCLA -16.7 | UCLA -14.5 8h |
| Total | 49.5 | 52.5 |
| ML | Purdue +498 / UCLA -498 | +500 / -720 |
Rose Bowl
Week 4 provisional · 71 games
Next week is shown for planning only — these ratings will move once this week's games are played.
Thursday, September 24 · 1 games
Liberty @ Coastal Carolina
Thu 7:30 PM ET
Conference USA at Sun Belt
Liberty 47%
Coastal Carolina 53%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Coastal Carolina -1.3 | — |
| Total | 55.5 | — |
| ML | Liberty +114 / Coastal Carolina -114 | — |
Brooks Stadium (SC)
Friday, September 25 · 5 games
Clemson @ California
Fri 10:30 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Clemson 74%
California 26%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Clemson -11.3 | — |
| Total | 53.3 | — |
| ML | Clemson -291 / California +291 | — |
California Memorial Stadium
Army @ Temple
Fri 4:00 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
Army 76%
Temple 24%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Army -12.1 | — |
| Total | 52.1 | — |
| ML | Army -314 / Temple +314 | — |
Lincoln Financial Field
Howard @ Rutgers
Fri 7:00 PM ET
MEAC at Big Ten
FCS
Howard 1%
Rutgers 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rutgers -39.3 | — |
| Total | 59.1 | — |
| ML | Howard +7549 / Rutgers -7549 | — |
SHI Stadium
Navy @ UAB
Fri 7:00 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
Navy 78%
UAB 22%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Navy -13.4 | — |
| Total | 56.4 | — |
| ML | Navy -355 / UAB +355 | — |
Protective Stadium
Northwestern @ Indiana
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Northwestern 7%
Indiana 93%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Indiana -24.9 | — |
| Total | 50.2 | — |
| ML | Northwestern +1265 / Indiana -1265 | — |
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Saturday, September 26 · 65 games
Morning · 2
Houston @ Georgia Southern
Sat 12:00 AM ET
Big 12 at Sun Belt
Houston 67%
Georgia Southern 33%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Houston -7.4 | — |
| Total | 53.8 | — |
| ML | Houston -205 / Georgia Southern +205 | — |
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Boise State @ Western Michigan
Sat 12:00 AM ET
Pac-12 at Mid-American
Boise State 67%
Western Michigan 33%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Boise State -7.4 | — |
| Total | 52.4 | — |
| ML | Boise State -205 / Western Michigan +205 | — |
Waldo Stadium
Noon (12–3:30) · 29
UNLV @ Akron
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Mountain West at Mid-American
UNLV 78%
Akron 22%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNLV -13.3 | — |
| Total | 44.4 | — |
| ML | UNLV -354 / Akron +354 | — |
InfoCision Stadium
Colorado @ Baylor
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Colorado 34%
Baylor 66%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Baylor -6.7 | — |
| Total | 57.9 | — |
| ML | Colorado +191 / Baylor -191 | — |
McLane Stadium
Virginia Tech @ Boston College
Sat 12:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Virginia Tech 53%
Boston College 47%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Virginia Tech -1.3 | — |
| Total | 45.7 | — |
| ML | Virginia Tech -114 / Boston College +114 | — |
Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Ball State @ Kent State
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Ball State 46%
Kent State 54%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kent State -1.6 | — |
| Total | 44.6 | — |
| ML | Ball State +118 / Kent State -118 | — |
Dix Stadium
Wake Forest @ Louisville
Sat 12:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Wake Forest 20%
Louisville 80%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisville -14.9 | — |
| Total | 49.2 | — |
| ML | Wake Forest +413 / Louisville -413 | — |
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Illinois @ Ohio State
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Illinois 6%
Ohio State 94%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ohio State -26.9 | — |
| Total | 50.4 | — |
| ML | Illinois +1608 / Ohio State -1608 | — |
Ohio Stadium
Bucknell @ Pittsburgh
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Patriot at ACC
FCS
Bucknell 1%
Pittsburgh 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pittsburgh -42.5 | — |
| Total | 49.0 | — |
| ML | Bucknell ≥+10000 / Pittsburgh ≤-10000 | — |
Acrisure Stadium
Texas @ Tennessee
Sat 12:00 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Texas 59%
Tennessee 41%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas -3.6 | Texas -6.5 10d |
| Total | 54.0 | 56.5 |
| ML | Texas -144 / Tennessee +144 | -270 / +220 |
Neyland Stadium
Sam Houston @ Texas Tech
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Conference USA at Big 12
Sam Houston 2%
Texas Tech 98%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas Tech -37.6 | — |
| Total | 46.3 | — |
| ML | Sam Houston +5868 / Texas Tech -5868 | — |
Jones AT&T Stadium
San Diego State @ Toledo
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Pac-12 at Mid-American
San Diego State 14%
Toledo 86%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toledo -18.6 | — |
| Total | 42.0 | — |
| ML | San Diego State +615 / Toledo -615 | — |
Glass Bowl
Colorado State @ UTSA
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Pac-12 at American Athletic
Colorado State 10%
UTSA 90%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UTSA -22.0 | — |
| Total | 52.8 | — |
| ML | Colorado State +894 / UTSA -894 | — |
Alamodome
South Alabama @ Kentucky
Sat 12:45 PM ET
Sun Belt at SEC
South Alabama 32%
Kentucky 68%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kentucky -7.7 | — |
| Total | 51.2 | — |
| ML | South Alabama +210 / Kentucky -210 | — |
Kroger Field
Lindenwood @ Eastern Michigan
Sat 1:00 PM ET
OVC at Mid-American
FCS
Lindenwood 5%
Eastern Michigan 95%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eastern Michigan -28.4 | — |
| Total | 45.1 | — |
| ML | Lindenwood +1896 / Eastern Michigan -1896 | — |
Rynearson Stadium
UCLA @ Maryland
Sat 1:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
UCLA 43%
Maryland 57%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Maryland -2.7 | — |
| Total | 47.9 | — |
| ML | UCLA +132 / Maryland -132 | — |
SECU Stadium
Northern Illinois @ Georgia State
Sat 2:00 PM ET
Mountain West at Sun Belt
Northern Illinois 43%
Georgia State 57%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia State -2.8 | — |
| Total | 50.7 | — |
| ML | Northern Illinois +133 / Georgia State -133 | — |
Center Parc Stadium
Notre Dame @ Purdue
Sat 2:00 PM ET
FBS Independents at Big Ten
Notre Dame 98%
Purdue 2%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Notre Dame -36.7 | — |
| Total | 46.4 | — |
| ML | Notre Dame -5153 / Purdue +5153 | — |
Ross-Ade Stadium
Central Arkansas @ Florida State
Sat 3:00 PM ET
UAC at ACC
FCS
Central Arkansas 4%
Florida State 96%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida State -31.2 | — |
| Total | 56.1 | — |
| ML | Central Arkansas +2643 / Florida State -2643 | — |
Doak Campbell Stadium
Hawai'i @ Wyoming
Sat 3:00 PM ET
Mountain West at Mountain West
Hawai'i 40%
Wyoming 60%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wyoming -3.9 | — |
| Total | 41.6 | — |
| ML | Hawai'i +148 / Wyoming -148 | — |
War Memorial Stadium
Robert Morris @ Buffalo
Sat 3:30 PM ET
NEC at Mid-American
FCS
Robert Morris 3%
Buffalo 97%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buffalo -33.1 | — |
| Total | 48.7 | — |
| ML | Robert Morris +3292 / Buffalo -3292 | — |
UB Stadium
William & Mary @ Duke
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Patriot at ACC
FCS
William & Mary 1%
Duke 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Duke -39.8 | — |
| Total | 52.8 | — |
| ML | William & Mary +8149 / Duke -8149 | — |
Wallace Wade Stadium
Ole Miss @ Florida
Sat 3:30 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Ole Miss 71%
Florida 29%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ole Miss -9.2 | — |
| Total | 55.5 | — |
| ML | Ole Miss -240 / Florida +240 | — |
FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Oklahoma @ Georgia
Sat 3:30 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Oklahoma 33%
Georgia 67%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia -7.3 | Georgia -10.0 11d |
| Total | 45.8 | 52.5 |
| ML | Oklahoma +204 / Georgia -204 | +310 / -395 |
FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start · Sanford Stadium
Utah @ Iowa State
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Utah 52%
Iowa State 48%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Utah -0.6 | — |
| Total | 50.8 | — |
| ML | Utah -106 / Iowa State +106 | — |
Jack Trice Stadium
Gardner-Webb @ Marshall
Sat 3:30 PM ET
OVC at Sun Belt
FCS
Gardner-Webb 2%
Marshall 98%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Marshall -36.9 | — |
| Total | 52.1 | — |
| ML | Gardner-Webb +5304 / Marshall -5304 | — |
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
UConn @ Miami (OH)
Sat 3:30 PM ET
FBS Independents at Mid-American
UConn 36%
Miami (OH) 64%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Miami (OH) -5.8 | — |
| Total | 48.4 | — |
| ML | UConn +177 / Miami (OH) -177 | — |
Yager Stadium
Iowa @ Michigan
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Iowa 30%
Michigan 70%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan -8.6 | — |
| Total | 41.9 | — |
| ML | Iowa +228 / Michigan -228 | — |
Michigan Stadium
New Mexico @ New Mexico State
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Mountain West at Conference USA
New Mexico 62%
New Mexico State 38%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New Mexico -5.0 | — |
| Total | 54.8 | — |
| ML | New Mexico -164 / New Mexico State +164 | — |
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Stonehill @ Ohio
Sat 3:30 PM ET
NEC at Mid-American
FCS
Stonehill 1%
Ohio 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ohio -38.6 | — |
| Total | 52.5 | — |
| ML | Stonehill +6710 / Ohio -6710 | — |
Peden Stadium
TCU @ UCF
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
TCU 57%
UCF 43%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | TCU -3.0 | — |
| Total | 54.4 | — |
| ML | TCU -135 / UCF +135 | — |
FBC Mortgage Stadium
Afternoon (3:30–7) · 11
North Carolina Central @ East Carolina
Sat 4:00 PM ET
MEAC at American Athletic
FCS
North Carolina Central 1%
East Carolina 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | East Carolina -39.6 | — |
| Total | 52.6 | — |
| ML | North Carolina Central +7878 / East Carolina -7878 | — |
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Vanderbilt @ Auburn
Sat 4:15 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Vanderbilt 40%
Auburn 60%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Auburn -4.0 | — |
| Total | 53.9 | — |
| ML | Vanderbilt +150 / Auburn -150 | — |
Jordan-Hare Stadium
South Florida @ Bowling Green
Sat 5:00 PM ET
American Athletic at Mid-American
South Florida 72%
Bowling Green 28%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | South Florida -10.2 | — |
| Total | 48.7 | — |
| ML | South Florida -263 / Bowling Green +263 | — |
Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Nebraska @ Michigan State
Sat 5:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Nebraska 66%
Michigan State 34%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nebraska -6.7 | — |
| Total | 48.9 | — |
| ML | Nebraska -192 / Michigan State +192 | — |
Spartan Stadium
Wisconsin @ Penn State
Sat 5:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Wisconsin 8%
Penn State 92%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Penn State -24.2 | — |
| Total | 44.3 | — |
| ML | Wisconsin +1162 / Penn State -1162 | — |
Beaver Stadium
Long Island University @ Florida International
Sat 6:00 PM ET
NEC at Conference USA
FCS
Long Island University 4%
Florida International 96%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida International -31.1 | — |
| Total | 49.6 | — |
| ML | Long Island University +2608 / Florida International -2608 | — |
Pitbull Stadium
James Madison @ Old Dominion
Sat 6:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
James Madison 48%
Old Dominion 52%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Old Dominion -0.8 | — |
| Total | 47.1 | — |
| ML | James Madison +109 / Old Dominion -109 | — |
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Incarnate Word @ Texas State
Sat 6:00 PM ET
Southland at Pac-12
FCS
Incarnate Word 1%
Texas State 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas State -42.8 | — |
| Total | 63.2 | — |
| ML | Incarnate Word ≥+10000 / Texas State ≤-10000 | — |
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Delaware @ Virginia
Sat 6:00 PM ET
Conference USA at ACC
Delaware 10%
Virginia 90%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Virginia -21.7 | — |
| Total | 57.0 | — |
| ML | Delaware +872 / Virginia -872 | — |
Scott Stadium
Louisiana @ Charlotte
Sat 6:30 PM ET
Sun Belt at American Athletic
Louisiana 76%
Charlotte 24%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisiana -12.3 | — |
| Total | 47.8 | — |
| ML | Louisiana -321 / Charlotte +321 | — |
Jerry Richardson Stadium
Central Michigan @ Miami
Sat 6:30 PM ET
Mid-American at ACC
Central Michigan 2%
Miami 98%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Miami -34.9 | — |
| Total | 51.9 | — |
| ML | Central Michigan +4086 / Miami -4086 | — |
Hard Rock Stadium
Evening (7–10) · 19
South Carolina @ Alabama
Sat 7:00 PM ET
SEC at SEC
South Carolina 21%
Alabama 79%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Alabama -13.9 | — |
| Total | 47.6 | — |
| ML | South Carolina +374 / Alabama -374 | — |
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Kennesaw State @ Arkansas State
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Conference USA at Sun Belt
Kennesaw State 37%
Arkansas State 63%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas State -5.2 | — |
| Total | 54.8 | — |
| ML | Kennesaw State +167 / Arkansas State -167 | — |
Centennial Bank Stadium
Kansas State @ Cincinnati
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Kansas State 53%
Cincinnati 47%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kansas State -1.2 | — |
| Total | 54.9 | — |
| ML | Kansas State -114 / Cincinnati +114 | — |
Nippert Stadium
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Conference USA at Conference USA
Middle Tennessee 15%
Jacksonville State 85%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jacksonville State -17.9 | — |
| Total | 52.9 | — |
| ML | Middle Tennessee +565 / Jacksonville State -565 | — |
AmFirst Stadium
Southern Miss @ Tulane
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at American Athletic
Southern Miss 8%
Tulane 92%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tulane -24.3 | — |
| Total | 48.2 | — |
| ML | Southern Miss +1172 / Tulane -1172 | — |
Yulman Stadium
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Oklahoma State 23%
West Virginia 77%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | West Virginia -12.6 | — |
| Total | 52.1 | — |
| ML | Oklahoma State +330 / West Virginia -330 | — |
Milan Puskar Stadium
Mercyhurst @ Western Kentucky
Sat 7:00 PM ET
NEC at Conference USA
FCS
Mercyhurst 2%
Western Kentucky 98%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Western Kentucky -36.0 | — |
| Total | 53.5 | — |
| ML | Mercyhurst +4662 / Western Kentucky -4662 | — |
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Texas A&M @ LSU
Sat 7:30 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Texas A&M 59%
LSU 41%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas A&M -3.5 | LSU -3.0 10d |
| Total | 53.3 | 56.5 |
| ML | Texas A&M -143 / LSU +143 | +130 / -155 |
Tiger Stadium (LA)
App State @ NC State
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Sun Belt at ACC
App State 17%
NC State 83%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | NC State -16.7 | — |
| Total | 55.5 | — |
| ML | App State +495 / NC State -495 | — |
Carter-Finley Stadium
Houston Christian @ North Texas
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Southland at American Athletic
FCS
Houston Christian 1%
North Texas 99%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | North Texas -44.3 | — |
| Total | 65.2 | — |
| ML | Houston Christian ≥+10000 / North Texas ≤-10000 | — |
DATCU Stadium
Oregon @ USC
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Oregon 69%
USC 31%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oregon -8.2 | — |
| Total | 59.1 | — |
| ML | Oregon -220 / USC +220 | — |
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Troy @ Utah State
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Sun Belt at Pac-12
Troy 48%
Utah State 52%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Utah State -0.7 | — |
| Total | 52.6 | — |
| ML | Troy +107 / Utah State -107 | — |
Maverik Stadium
Arizona @ Washington State
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Big 12 at Pac-12
Arizona 50%
Washington State 50%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | PK | — |
| Total | 51.7 | — |
| ML | Arizona -100 / Washington State +100 | — |
Gesa Field
Missouri @ Mississippi State
Sat 7:45 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Missouri 77%
Mississippi State 23%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri -12.7 | — |
| Total | 54.4 | — |
| ML | Missouri -333 / Mississippi State +333 | — |
Davis Wade Stadium
Tulsa @ Arkansas
Sat 8:00 PM ET
American Athletic at SEC
Tulsa 10%
Arkansas 90%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas -22.4 | — |
| Total | 57.9 | — |
| ML | Tulsa +945 / Arkansas -945 | — |
Razorback Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ UL Monroe
Sat 8:00 PM ET
American Athletic at Sun Belt
Florida Atlantic 55%
UL Monroe 45%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida Atlantic -2.1 | — |
| Total | 49.5 | — |
| ML | Florida Atlantic -124 / UL Monroe +124 | — |
Malone Stadium
Missouri State @ SMU
Sat 9:00 PM ET
Conference USA at ACC
Missouri State 10%
SMU 90%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMU -21.6 | — |
| Total | 51.6 | — |
| ML | Missouri State +860 / SMU -860 | — |
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Massachusetts @ Sacramento State
Sat 9:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Massachusetts 28%
Sacramento State 72%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sacramento State -9.7 | — |
| Total | 52.6 | — |
| ML | Massachusetts +252 / Sacramento State -252 | — |
Hornet Stadium
Oregon State @ UTEP
Sat 9:00 PM ET
Pac-12 at Mountain West
Oregon State 69%
UTEP 31%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oregon State -8.1 | — |
| Total | 49.0 | — |
| ML | Oregon State -218 / UTEP +218 | — |
Sun Bowl
Late night (10+) · 4
Rice @ Fresno State
Sat 10:00 PM ET
American Athletic at Pac-12
Rice 31%
Fresno State 69%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fresno State -8.5 | — |
| Total | 43.6 | — |
| ML | Rice +226 / Fresno State -226 | — |
Valley Children's Stadium
Air Force @ Nevada
Sat 10:30 PM ET
Mountain West at Mountain West
Air Force 64%
Nevada 36%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Air Force -5.7 | — |
| Total | 51.3 | — |
| ML | Air Force -175 / Nevada +175 | — |
Mackay Stadium
Georgia Tech @ Stanford
Sat 10:30 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Georgia Tech 77%
Stanford 23%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia Tech -12.9 | — |
| Total | 55.3 | — |
| ML | Georgia Tech -338 / Stanford +338 | — |
Stanford Stadium
Minnesota @ Washington
Sat 11:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Minnesota 17%
Washington 83%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Washington -16.5 | — |
| Total | 49.1 | — |
| ML | Minnesota +487 / Washington -487 | — |
Husky Stadium
Market columns are shown for comparison only and are never blended into the model (SPEC-CFB §5). Each is the latest line we hold that was captured before kickoff — the week's opener until a later fetch lands — with its age shown when it is more than six hours old; a game with no pregame capture reads “—”. Moneylines are vig-free fair prices derived from the model's own win probability — model-derived fair values, not betting advice. Home-field advantage is zeroed at a neutral site; FBS-vs-FCS games are projected against a fitted replacement tier and are graded like any other.