College Football Game Projections
Current week plus next. Spread, total, win probability and vig-free moneylines from the fitted CFB empirical margin distribution — key numbers priced, not smoothed, and fit on college margins rather than the NFL's. Model c3-v1.7 · updated 15h ago. In-season rating blend: per-team games played — each team at w = g/(g + 4.0) on its own games, not the league's week count. 138 team(s) blended, up to 9 game(s) played → observed EPA carries up to 69%; every other team is still on its preseason prior. Play-by-play for this season comes from the CollegeFootballData API — the in-season fill, calibrated onto the release's EPA scale (research/cfb/cfbd_parity.md). The release corpus resumes the moment it publishes 2026.
No games match — clear the filter
Conference:
Week 9 · 55 games to play · 2 final on Results
Friday, October 30 · 3 games
Tulane @ Charlotte
Fri 7:00 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
Tulane 73%
Charlotte 27%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tulane -10.6 | Tulane -8.5 6h |
| Total | 41.3 | 47.5 |
| ML | Tulane -273 / Charlotte +273 | -345 / +275 |
Jerry Richardson Stadium
Baylor @ UCF
Fri 7:30 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Baylor 46%
UCF 54%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCF -1.4 | Baylor -2.5 6h |
| Total | 48.6 | 48.5 |
| ML | Baylor +116 / UCF -116 | -132 / +110 |
FBC Mortgage Stadium
Kent State @ Sacramento State
Fri 10:30 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Kent State 60%
Sacramento State 40%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kent State -4.1 | Kent State -7.5 |
| Total | 41.0 | 46.5 |
| ML | Kent State -150 / Sacramento State +150 | -265 / +215 |
Hornet Stadium
Saturday, October 31 · 47 games
Noon (12–3:30) · 29
Boston College @ Duke
Sat 12:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Boston College 30%
Duke 70%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Duke -8.7 | Duke -7.5 |
| Total | 44.1 | 48.5 |
| ML | Boston College +229 / Duke -229 | +215 / -265 |
Wallace Wade Stadium
Wisconsin @ Iowa
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Wisconsin 48%
Iowa 52%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Iowa -0.7 | Iowa -2.5 |
| Total | 37.7 | 36.5 |
| ML | Wisconsin +108 / Iowa -108 | +114 / -135 |
Kinnick Stadium
Illinois @ Maryland
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Illinois 43%
Maryland 57%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Maryland -2.8 | Illinois -2.5 |
| Total | 56.8 | 53.5 |
| ML | Illinois +133 / Maryland -133 | -137 / +114 |
SECU Stadium
California @ NC State
Sat 12:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
California 32%
NC State 68%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | NC State -7.7 | NC State -9.5 |
| Total | 60.6 | 56.5 |
| ML | California +210 / NC State -210 | +240 / -300 |
Carter-Finley Stadium
Notre Dame @ Navy
Sat 12:00 PM ET
FBS Independents at American Athletic
neutral
Notre Dame 93%
Navy 7%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Notre Dame -25.2 | Notre Dame -30.5 |
| Total | 53.5 | 56.5 |
| ML | Notre Dame -1304 / Navy +1304 | -6500 / +2000 |
Gillette Stadium
UAB @ South Florida
Sat 12:00 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
UAB 31%
South Florida 69%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | South Florida -8.4 | South Florida -7.5 |
| Total | 45.2 | 42.5 |
| ML | UAB +224 / South Florida -224 | +245 / -300 |
Raymond James Stadium
SMU @ Syracuse
Sat 12:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
SMU 58%
Syracuse 42%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMU -3.4 | SMU -10.0 |
| Total | 54.7 | 58.5 |
| ML | SMU -141 / Syracuse +141 | -360 / +285 |
JMA Wireless Dome
Arizona @ Texas Tech
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Arizona 38%
Texas Tech 62%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas Tech -5.2 | Texas Tech -3.5 |
| Total | 47.1 | 54.5 |
| ML | Arizona +166 / Texas Tech -166 | +150 / -180 |
Jones AT&T Stadium
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Bowling Green 20%
Western Michigan 80%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Western Michigan -14.6 | Western Michigan -13.5 |
| Total | 45.8 | 44.5 |
| ML | Bowling Green +401 / Western Michigan -401 | +500 / -690 |
Waldo Stadium
Michigan @ Rutgers
Sat 12:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Michigan 79%
Rutgers 21%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan -13.8 | Michigan -16.5 |
| Total | 46.3 | 44.5 |
| ML | Michigan -371 / Rutgers +371 | -880 / +590 |
SHI Stadium
Auburn @ Ole Miss
Sat 12:45 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Auburn 24%
Ole Miss 76%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ole Miss -11.9 | Ole Miss -11.5 |
| Total | 61.5 | 57.5 |
| ML | Auburn +309 / Ole Miss -309 | +360 / -470 |
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Marshall @ Old Dominion
Sat 1:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
Marshall 43%
Old Dominion 57%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Old Dominion -2.6 | Marshall -2.5 |
| Total | 43.2 | 45.5 |
| ML | Marshall +131 / Old Dominion -131 | -142 / +120 |
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Kansas State @ Colorado
Sat 2:00 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Kansas State 38%
Colorado 62%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colorado -5.2 | Colorado -2.5 |
| Total | 49.3 | 46.5 |
| ML | Kansas State +167 / Colorado -167 | +122 / -146 |
Folsom Field
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State
Sat 2:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
Coastal Carolina 29%
Georgia State 71%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia State -9.3 | Georgia State -4.5 |
| Total | 58.6 | 55.5 |
| ML | Coastal Carolina +244 / Georgia State -244 | +152 / -182 |
Center Parc Stadium
UConn @ Air Force
Sat 3:00 PM ET
FBS Independents at Mountain West
UConn 59%
Air Force 41%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UConn -3.7 | UConn -1.5 |
| Total | 58.8 | 51.5 |
| ML | UConn -145 / Air Force +145 | -113 / -106 |
Falcon Stadium
Temple @ East Carolina
Sat 3:00 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
Temple 31%
East Carolina 69%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | East Carolina -8.6 | East Carolina -4.5 |
| Total | 51.7 | 50.5 |
| ML | Temple +228 / East Carolina -228 | +155 / -188 |
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama
Sat 3:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
Louisiana Tech 63%
South Alabama 37%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisiana Tech -5.3 | Louisiana Tech -6.5 |
| Total | 58.7 | 58.5 |
| ML | Louisiana Tech -169 / South Alabama +169 | -220 / +184 |
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Stanford @ Louisville
Sat 3:15 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Stanford 9%
Louisville 91%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisville -23.1 | Louisville -22.5 |
| Total | 55.6 | 60.5 |
| ML | Stanford +1026 / Louisville -1026 | +1000 / -2000 |
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Arizona State @ BYU
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Arizona State 15%
BYU 85%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | BYU -17.9 | BYU -16.5 |
| Total | 50.7 | 48.5 |
| ML | Arizona State +563 / BYU -563 | +525 / -750 |
LaVell Edwards Stadium
Florida @ Georgia
Sat 3:30 PM ET
SEC at SEC
neutral
Florida 32%
Georgia 68%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia -8.1 | Georgia -12.5 |
| Total | 58.7 | 56.5 |
| ML | Florida +218 / Georgia -218 | +340 / -440 |
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Minnesota @ Indiana
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Minnesota 11%
Indiana 89%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Indiana -20.9 | Indiana -20.5 |
| Total | 39.8 | 40.5 |
| ML | Minnesota +795 / Indiana -795 | +850 / -1450 |
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Florida International @ Liberty
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Conference USA at Conference USA
Florida International 19%
Liberty 81%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Liberty -15.2 | Liberty -13.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| ML | Florida International +423 / Liberty -423 | +460 / -630 |
Williams Stadium (VA)
UTEP @ North Dakota State
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Mountain West at Mountain West
UTEP 9%
North Dakota State 91%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | North Dakota State -22.6 | North Dakota State -24.5 |
| Total | 43.9 | 42.5 |
| ML | UTEP +967 / North Dakota State -967 | +1300 / -2800 |
Fargodome
Northwestern @ Oregon
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Northwestern 32%
Oregon 68%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oregon -7.7 | Oregon -3.5 |
| Total | 50.4 | 47.5 |
| ML | Northwestern +210 / Oregon -210 | +145 / -175 |
Autzen Stadium
Kansas @ TCU
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Kansas 36%
TCU 64%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | TCU -5.8 | TCU -6.5 |
| Total | 49.2 | 45.5 |
| ML | Kansas +176 / TCU -176 | +184 / -220 |
Amon G. Carter Stadium
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
Southern Miss 56%
UL Monroe 44%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Southern Miss -2.4 | Southern Miss -3.5 |
| Total | 47.9 | 55.5 |
| ML | Southern Miss -128 / UL Monroe +128 | -160 / +134 |
Malone Stadium
Colorado State @ Utah State
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Pac-12 at Pac-12
Colorado State 50%
Utah State 50%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Utah State -0.1 | Utah State -7.5 |
| Total | 54.9 | 61.5 |
| ML | Colorado State +101 / Utah State -101 | +235 / -295 |
Maverik Stadium
Utah @ Cincinnati
Sat 3:45 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Utah 66%
Cincinnati 34%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Utah -7.0 | Utah -7.0 |
| Total | 60.1 | 56.5 |
| ML | Utah -198 / Cincinnati +198 | -270 / +220 |
Nippert Stadium
Virginia @ Wake Forest
Sat 3:45 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Virginia 22%
Wake Forest 78%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wake Forest -13.7 | Wake Forest -12.5 |
| Total | 50.8 | 48.5 |
| ML | Virginia +364 / Wake Forest -364 | +390 / -520 |
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Afternoon (3:30–7) · 5
New Mexico @ San José State
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Mountain West at Mountain West
New Mexico 72%
San José State 28%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New Mexico -9.8 | New Mexico -14.5 |
| Total | 41.3 | 42.5 |
| ML | New Mexico -253 / San José State +253 | -780 / +550 |
CEFCU Stadium
South Carolina @ Oklahoma
Sat 4:15 PM ET
SEC at SEC
South Carolina 35%
Oklahoma 65%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oklahoma -6.4 | Oklahoma -3.5 |
| Total | 46.4 | 44.5 |
| ML | South Carolina +187 / Oklahoma -187 | +142 / -170 |
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Purdue @ Penn State
Sat 4:15 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Purdue 27%
Penn State 73%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Penn State -10.4 | Penn State -10.5 |
| Total | 55.3 | 54.5 |
| ML | Purdue +269 / Penn State -269 | +350 / -450 |
Beaver Stadium
Nevada @ UCLA
Sat 4:15 PM ET
Mountain West at Big Ten
Nevada 5%
UCLA 95%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCLA -28.9 | UCLA -22.5 |
| Total | 39.8 | 43.5 |
| ML | Nevada +2030 / UCLA -2030 | +1000 / -1800 |
Rose Bowl
App State @ Georgia Southern
Sat 6:30 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
App State 36%
Georgia Southern 64%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia Southern -5.7 | Georgia Southern -5.5 |
| Total | 56.3 | 57.5 |
| ML | App State +175 / Georgia Southern -175 | +180 / -218 |
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Evening (7–10) · 10
Clemson @ Florida State
Sat 7:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Clemson 43%
Florida State 57%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida State -2.6 | Florida State -6.0 |
| Total | 48.8 | 49.5 |
| ML | Clemson +131 / Florida State -131 | +180 / -218 |
Doak Campbell Stadium
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Oklahoma State 42%
Iowa State 58%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Iowa State -3.2 | Oklahoma State -9.5 |
| Total | 54.6 | 58.5 |
| ML | Oklahoma State +138 / Iowa State -138 | -345 / +275 |
Jack Trice Stadium
Washington State @ San Diego State
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Pac-12 at Pac-12
Washington State 45%
San Diego State 55%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | San Diego State -2.1 | San Diego State -2.5 |
| Total | 40.1 | 47.5 |
| ML | Washington State +124 / San Diego State -124 | +120 / -142 |
Snapdragon Stadium
Miami @ North Carolina
Sat 7:30 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Miami 77%
North Carolina 23%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Miami -12.9 | Miami -14.0 |
| Total | 58.2 | 53.5 |
| ML | Miami -339 / North Carolina +339 | -625 / +455 |
Kenan Stadium
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh
Sat 7:30 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Georgia Tech 24%
Pittsburgh 76%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pittsburgh -12.5 | Pittsburgh -7.5 |
| Total | 57.4 | 54.5 |
| ML | Georgia Tech +325 / Pittsburgh -325 | +235 / -295 |
Acrisure Stadium
Mississippi State @ Texas
Sat 7:30 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Mississippi State 27%
Texas 73%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas -10.5 | Texas -20.5 |
| Total | 48.7 | 50.5 |
| ML | Mississippi State +272 / Texas -272 | +890 / -1450 |
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Ohio State @ USC
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Ohio State 76%
USC 24%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ohio State -12.4 | Ohio State -6.5 |
| Total | 60.2 | 51.5 |
| ML | Ohio State -323 / USC +323 | -245 / +200 |
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Missouri @ Arkansas
Sat 7:45 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Missouri 78%
Arkansas 22%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri -13.5 | Missouri -10.5 |
| Total | 51.6 | 48.5 |
| ML | Missouri -359 / Arkansas +359 | -385 / +310 |
Razorback Stadium
Army @ Memphis
Sat 8:00 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
Army 28%
Memphis 72%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Memphis -9.8 | Memphis -5.5 |
| Total | 63.0 | 59.5 |
| ML | Army +253 / Memphis -253 | +184 / -220 |
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Washington @ Nebraska
Sat 8:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Washington 29%
Nebraska 71%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nebraska -9.4 | Nebraska -7.5 |
| Total | 48.1 | 50.5 |
| ML | Washington +245 / Nebraska -245 | +250 / -310 |
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Late night (10+) · 3
Texas State @ Boise State
Sat 10:00 PM ET
Pac-12 at Pac-12
Texas State 34%
Boise State 66%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Boise State -6.8 | Boise State -10.5 |
| Total | 71.2 | 63.5 |
| ML | Texas State +194 / Boise State -194 | +340 / -450 |
Albertsons Stadium
Northern Illinois @ UNLV
Sat 10:30 PM ET
Mountain West at Mountain West
Northern Illinois 11%
UNLV 89%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNLV -21.2 | UNLV -21.5 |
| Total | 46.9 | 54.5 |
| ML | Northern Illinois +816 / UNLV -816 | +1000 / -1800 |
Allegiant Stadium
Oregon State @ Fresno State
Sat 11:00 PM ET
Pac-12 at Pac-12
Oregon State 50%
Fresno State 50%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | PK | Oregon State -5.5 |
| Total | 53.7 | 58.5 |
| ML | Oregon State -100 / Fresno State +100 | -220 / +184 |
Valley Children's Stadium
Tuesday, November 3 · 2 games
Ohio @ Akron
Tue 7:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Ohio 72%
Akron 28%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ohio -9.9 | Ohio -12.5 |
| Total | 55.8 | 49.5 |
| ML | Ohio -257 / Akron +257 | -500 / +385 |
InfoCision Stadium
Buffalo @ Miami (OH)
Tue 8:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Buffalo 22%
Miami (OH) 78%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Miami (OH) -13.5 | Miami (OH) -6.5 |
| Total | 45.2 | 44.5 |
| ML | Buffalo +358 / Miami (OH) -358 | +184 / -220 |
Yager Stadium
Wednesday, November 4 · 3 games
Ball State @ Massachusetts
Wed 7:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Ball State 32%
Massachusetts 68%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Massachusetts -7.7 | Massachusetts -3.5 |
| Total | 46.1 | 48.5 |
| ML | Ball State +210 / Massachusetts -210 | +140 / -170 |
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Toledo @ Sacramento State
Wed 7:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Toledo 91%
Sacramento State 9%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toledo -22.7 | — |
| Total | 48.0 | — |
| ML | Toledo -976 / Sacramento State +976 | — |
Hornet Stadium
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan
Wed 7:30 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
neutral
Central Michigan 51%
Eastern Michigan 49%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Central Michigan -0.3 | Eastern Michigan -2.5 |
| Total | 44.2 | 45.5 |
| ML | Central Michigan -103 / Eastern Michigan +103 | +108 / -130 |
Ford Field
Week 10 provisional · 64 games
Next week is shown for planning only — these ratings will move once this week's games are played.
Thursday, November 5 · 2 games
UTSA @ Florida Atlantic
Thu 7:30 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
UTSA 63%
Florida Atlantic 37%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UTSA -5.3 | — |
| Total | 63.1 | — |
| ML | UTSA -169 / Florida Atlantic +169 | — |
FAU Stadium
James Madison @ Southern Miss
Thu 8:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
James Madison 84%
Southern Miss 16%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | James Madison -17.2 | — |
| Total | 53.7 | — |
| ML | James Madison -526 / Southern Miss +526 | — |
M. M. Roberts Stadium
Friday, November 6 · 5 games
Virginia Tech @ SMU
Fri 7:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Virginia Tech 38%
SMU 62%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMU -5.0 | SMU -7.5 |
| Total | 57.3 | 57.5 |
| ML | Virginia Tech +163 / SMU -163 | +225 / -278 |
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
South Florida @ East Carolina
Fri 7:30 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
South Florida 44%
East Carolina 56%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | East Carolina -2.5 | — |
| Total | 47.0 | — |
| ML | South Florida +129 / East Carolina -129 | — |
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Nebraska @ Illinois
Fri 8:00 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Nebraska 72%
Illinois 28%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nebraska -9.7 | — |
| Total | 57.7 | — |
| ML | Nebraska -252 / Illinois +252 | — |
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
New Mexico @ Nevada
Fri 9:00 PM ET
Mountain West at Mountain West
New Mexico 75%
Nevada 25%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New Mexico -11.4 | — |
| Total | 39.6 | — |
| ML | New Mexico -295 / Nevada +295 | — |
Mackay Stadium
TCU @ Arizona
Fri 10:15 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
TCU 38%
Arizona 62%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arizona -4.9 | — |
| Total | 47.5 | — |
| ML | TCU +163 / Arizona -163 | — |
Arizona Stadium
Saturday, November 7 · 51 games
Noon (12–3:30) · 22
Florida State @ Boston College
Sat 12:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Florida State 54%
Boston College 46%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida State -1.5 | — |
| Total | 49.9 | — |
| ML | Florida State -117 / Boston College +117 | — |
Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Texas @ Missouri
Sat 12:00 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Texas 44%
Missouri 56%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri -2.3 | Texas -3.5 |
| Total | 42.0 | 50.5 |
| ML | Texas +127 / Missouri -127 | -166 / +138 |
Memorial Stadium
Clemson @ Syracuse
Sat 12:00 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Clemson 46%
Syracuse 54%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Syracuse -1.4 | — |
| Total | 44.2 | — |
| ML | Clemson +116 / Syracuse -116 | — |
JMA Wireless Dome
Tulsa @ Tulane
Sat 12:00 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
Tulsa 48%
Tulane 52%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tulane -0.7 | — |
| Total | 43.2 | — |
| ML | Tulsa +108 / Tulane -108 | — |
Yulman Stadium
North Carolina @ UConn
Sat 12:00 PM ET
ACC at FBS Independents
North Carolina 51%
UConn 49%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | North Carolina -0.3 | — |
| Total | 53.9 | — |
| ML | North Carolina -103 / UConn +103 | — |
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
BYU @ Utah
Sat 12:00 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
BYU 49%
Utah 51%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Utah -0.5 | Utah -3.0 |
| Total | 53.5 | 48.5 |
| ML | BYU +106 / Utah -106 | +120 / -142 |
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Duke @ NC State
Sat 12:30 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Duke 53%
NC State 47%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Duke -1.2 | — |
| Total | 57.3 | — |
| ML | Duke -113 / NC State +113 | — |
Carter-Finley Stadium
Maryland @ Purdue
Sat 12:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Maryland 44%
Purdue 56%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Purdue -2.3 | — |
| Total | 56.1 | — |
| ML | Maryland +127 / Purdue -127 | — |
Ross-Ade Stadium
Rutgers @ Wisconsin
Sat 12:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Rutgers 13%
Wisconsin 87%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wisconsin -19.5 | — |
| Total | 47.0 | — |
| ML | Rutgers +675 / Wisconsin -675 | — |
Camp Randall Stadium
Arkansas @ Auburn
Sat 12:45 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Arkansas 24%
Auburn 76%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Auburn -12.0 | — |
| Total | 53.6 | — |
| ML | Arkansas +310 / Auburn -310 | — |
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Old Dominion @ Coastal Carolina
Sat 1:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
Old Dominion 43%
Coastal Carolina 57%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Coastal Carolina -2.7 | — |
| Total | 39.5 | — |
| ML | Old Dominion +132 / Coastal Carolina -132 | — |
Brooks Stadium (SC)
Georgia State @ App State
Sat 2:30 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
Georgia State 47%
App State 53%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | App State -1.2 | — |
| Total | 59.6 | — |
| ML | Georgia State +113 / App State -113 | — |
Kidd Brewer Stadium
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State
Sat 3:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
UL Monroe 27%
Arkansas State 73%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas State -10.7 | — |
| Total | 51.5 | — |
| ML | UL Monroe +275 / Arkansas State -275 | — |
Centennial Bank Stadium
Delaware @ Kennesaw State
Sat 3:00 PM ET
Conference USA at Conference USA
Delaware 38%
Kennesaw State 62%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kennesaw State -4.8 | — |
| Total | 53.2 | — |
| ML | Delaware +160 / Kennesaw State -160 | — |
Fifth Third Stadium
Texas A&M @ South Carolina
Sat 3:00 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Texas A&M 43%
South Carolina 57%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | South Carolina -2.8 | — |
| Total | 52.2 | — |
| ML | Texas A&M +133 / South Carolina -133 | — |
Williams-Brice Stadium
Marshall @ Georgia Southern
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
Marshall 28%
Georgia Southern 72%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia Southern -10.1 | — |
| Total | 59.6 | — |
| ML | Marshall +261 / Georgia Southern -261 | — |
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Alabama @ LSU
Sat 3:30 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Alabama 38%
LSU 62%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | LSU -4.8 | LSU -4.5 |
| Total | 48.0 | 52.5 |
| ML | Alabama +161 / LSU -161 | +145 / -175 |
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Conference USA at Conference USA
Western Kentucky 49%
Middle Tennessee 51%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Middle Tennessee -0.6 | — |
| Total | 51.4 | — |
| ML | Western Kentucky +106 / Middle Tennessee -106 | — |
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Temple @ Navy
Sat 3:30 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
Temple 30%
Navy 70%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Navy -8.9 | — |
| Total | 56.5 | — |
| ML | Temple +235 / Navy -235 | — |
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Oregon @ Ohio State
Sat 3:30 PM ET
Big Ten at Big Ten
Oregon 24%
Ohio State 76%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ohio State -12.3 | Ohio State -14.0 |
| Total | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| ML | Oregon +321 / Ohio State -321 | +425 / -575 |
Ohio Stadium
Charlotte @ UAB
Sat 3:30 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
Charlotte 21%
UAB 79%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UAB -13.9 | — |
| Total | 43.2 | — |
| ML | Charlotte +374 / UAB -374 | — |
Protective Stadium
Merrimack @ Wake Forest
Sat 3:30 PM ET
FCS Independents at ACC
FCS
Merrimack 0%
Wake Forest 100%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wake Forest -48.8 | — |
| Total | 54.8 | — |
| ML | Merrimack ≥+10000 / Wake Forest ≤-10000 | — |
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Afternoon (3:30–7) · 8
Missouri State @ Florida International
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Conference USA at Conference USA
Missouri State 38%
Florida International 62%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida International -5.1 | — |
| Total | 46.7 | — |
| ML | Missouri State +166 / Florida International -166 | — |
Pitbull Stadium
Rice @ North Texas
Sat 4:00 PM ET
American Athletic at American Athletic
Rice 17%
North Texas 83%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | North Texas -16.6 | — |
| Total | 60.5 | — |
| ML | Rice +492 / North Texas -492 | — |
DATCU Stadium
Northern Illinois @ San José State
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Mountain West at Mountain West
Northern Illinois 27%
San José State 73%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | San José State -10.4 | — |
| Total | 46.3 | — |
| ML | Northern Illinois +268 / San José State -268 | — |
CEFCU Stadium
Louisiana Tech @ Troy
Sat 4:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
Louisiana Tech 65%
Troy 35%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisiana Tech -6.2 | — |
| Total | 48.9 | — |
| ML | Louisiana Tech -184 / Troy +184 | — |
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State
Sat 4:15 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Vanderbilt 31%
Mississippi State 69%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mississippi State -8.2 | — |
| Total | 55.2 | — |
| ML | Vanderbilt +219 / Mississippi State -219 | — |
Davis Wade Stadium
South Alabama @ Louisiana
Sat 5:00 PM ET
Sun Belt at Sun Belt
South Alabama 36%
Louisiana 64%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisiana -6.0 | — |
| Total | 59.1 | — |
| ML | South Alabama +180 / Louisiana -180 | — |
Cajun Field
Boise State @ Colorado State
Sat 6:00 PM ET
Pac-12 at Pac-12
Boise State 73%
Colorado State 27%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Boise State -10.3 | — |
| Total | 71.3 | — |
| ML | Boise State -267 / Colorado State +267 | — |
Canvas Stadium
Kentucky @ Tennessee
Sat 6:15 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Kentucky 39%
Tennessee 61%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tennessee -4.5 | Tennessee -5.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 49.5 |
| ML | Kentucky +156 / Tennessee -156 | +190 / -235 |
Neyland Stadium
Evening (7–10) · 10
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Conference USA at Conference USA
Sam Houston 22%
Jacksonville State 78%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jacksonville State -13.5 | — |
| Total | 46.4 | — |
| ML | Sam Houston +359 / Jacksonville State -359 | — |
AmFirst Stadium
Colorado @ Arizona State
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Big 12 at Big 12
Colorado 52%
Arizona State 48%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colorado -0.9 | — |
| Total | 45.8 | — |
| ML | Colorado -109 / Arizona State +109 | — |
Mountain America Stadium
Air Force @ Army
Sat 7:30 PM ET
Mountain West at American Athletic
Air Force 37%
Army 63%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Army -5.6 | Army -5.5 |
| Total | 61.8 | 51.5 |
| ML | Air Force +174 / Army -174 | +170 / -205 |
Michie Stadium
Louisville @ Georgia Tech
Sat 7:30 PM ET
ACC at ACC
Louisville 74%
Georgia Tech 26%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisville -10.8 | — |
| Total | 60.8 | — |
| ML | Louisville -278 / Georgia Tech +278 | — |
Bobby Dodd Stadium
Miami @ Notre Dame
Sat 7:30 PM ET
ACC at FBS Independents
Miami 32%
Notre Dame 68%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Notre Dame -7.6 | Notre Dame -3.5 |
| Total | 58.5 | 55.5 |
| ML | Miami +208 / Notre Dame -208 | +142 / -172 |
Notre Dame Stadium
Georgia @ Ole Miss
Sat 7:30 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Georgia 50%
Ole Miss 50%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Georgia -0.1 | Georgia -3.0 |
| Total | 63.4 | 56.5 |
| ML | Georgia -101 / Ole Miss +101 | -155 / +130 |
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Oklahoma @ Florida
Sat 7:45 PM ET
SEC at SEC
Oklahoma 44%
Florida 56%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida -2.2 | Florida -4.0 |
| Total | 48.6 | 48.5 |
| ML | Oklahoma +125 / Florida -125 | +142 / -170 |
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Liberty @ New Mexico State
Sat 8:00 PM ET
Conference USA at Conference USA
Liberty 75%
New Mexico State 25%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Liberty -11.8 | — |
| Total | 45.4 | — |
| ML | Liberty -305 / New Mexico State +305 | — |
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Hawai'i @ UTEP
Sat 9:30 PM ET
Mountain West at Mountain West
Hawai'i 60%
UTEP 40%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawai'i -4.2 | — |
| Total | 53.3 | — |
| ML | Hawai'i -152 / UTEP +152 | — |
Sun Bowl
Fresno State @ Utah State
Sat 9:30 PM ET
Pac-12 at Pac-12
Fresno State 59%
Utah State 41%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fresno State -3.6 | — |
| Total | 40.0 | — |
| ML | Fresno State -143 / Utah State +143 | — |
Maverik Stadium
Late night (10+) · 2
Texas State @ Oregon State
Sat 10:30 PM ET
Pac-12 at Pac-12
Texas State 49%
Oregon State 51%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oregon State -0.5 | — |
| Total | 69.3 | — |
| ML | Texas State +105 / Oregon State -105 | — |
Reser Stadium
Wyoming @ UNLV
Sat 10:30 PM ET
Mountain West at Mountain West
Wyoming 20%
UNLV 80%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNLV -14.7 | — |
| Total | 43.4 | — |
| ML | Wyoming +403 / UNLV -403 | — |
Allegiant Stadium
Time TBD · 9
Iowa State @ Baylor
Sat · Time TBD
Big 12 at Big 12
Iowa State 28%
Baylor 72%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Baylor -10.2 | — |
| Total | 49.5 | — |
| ML | Iowa State +263 / Baylor -263 | — |
McLane Stadium
Cincinnati @ Houston
Sat · Time TBD
Big 12 at Big 12
Cincinnati 28%
Houston 72%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Houston -9.8 | — |
| Total | 64.5 | — |
| ML | Cincinnati +254 / Houston -254 | — |
TDECU Stadium
UCF @ Kansas
Sat · Time TBD
Big 12 at Big 12
UCF 54%
Kansas 46%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCF -1.5 | — |
| Total | 50.6 | — |
| ML | UCF -117 / Kansas +117 | — |
Memorial Stadium
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State
Sat · Time TBD
Big 12 at Big 12
Oklahoma State 43%
Kansas State 57%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kansas State -3.0 | — |
| Total | 60.0 | — |
| ML | Oklahoma State +135 / Kansas State -135 | — |
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Michigan State @ Michigan
Sat · Time TBD
Big Ten at Big Ten
Michigan State 25%
Michigan 75%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan -11.6 | Michigan -14.0 |
| Total | 37.9 | 39.5 |
| ML | Michigan State +300 / Michigan -300 | +500 / -700 |
Michigan Stadium
UCLA @ Minnesota
Sat · Time TBD
Big Ten at Big Ten
UCLA 77%
Minnesota 23%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCLA -12.6 | UCLA -6.5 |
| Total | 36.6 | 42.5 |
| ML | UCLA -329 / Minnesota +329 | -238 / +195 |
Huntington Bank Stadium
Iowa @ Northwestern
Sat · Time TBD
Big Ten at Big Ten
Iowa 38%
Northwestern 62%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Northwestern -5.0 | Northwestern -2.5 |
| Total | 49.8 | 42.5 |
| ML | Iowa +163 / Northwestern -163 | +114 / -135 |
Ryan Field
West Virginia @ Texas Tech
Sat · Time TBD
Big 12 at Big 12
West Virginia 22%
Texas Tech 78%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas Tech -13.5 | — |
| Total | 55.5 | — |
| ML | West Virginia +359 / Texas Tech -359 | — |
Jones AT&T Stadium
Penn State @ Washington
Sat · Time TBD
Big Ten at Big Ten
Penn State 44%
Washington 56%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Washington -2.3 | — |
| Total | 46.5 | — |
| ML | Penn State +127 / Washington -127 | — |
Husky Stadium
Tuesday, November 10 · 3 games
Western Michigan @ Akron
Tue 7:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Western Michigan 68%
Akron 32%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Western Michigan -7.7 | — |
| Total | 53.1 | — |
| ML | Western Michigan -210 / Akron +210 | — |
InfoCision Stadium
Kent State @ Bowling Green
Tue 7:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Kent State 49%
Bowling Green 51%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bowling Green -0.4 | — |
| Total | 40.8 | — |
| ML | Kent State +105 / Bowling Green -105 | — |
Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Ohio @ Miami (OH)
Tue 7:00 PM ET
Mid-American at Mid-American
Ohio 48%
Miami (OH) 52%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Miami (OH) -0.7 | — |
| Total | 49.2 | — |
| ML | Ohio +107 / Miami (OH) -107 | — |
Yager Stadium
Wednesday, November 11 · 3 games
Buffalo @ Ball State
Wed · Time TBD
Mid-American at Mid-American
Buffalo 38%
Ball State 62%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ball State -5.1 | — |
| Total | 48.4 | — |
| ML | Buffalo +166 / Ball State -166 | — |
Scheumann Stadium
Sacramento State @ Central Michigan
Wed · Time TBD
Mid-American at Mid-American
Sacramento State 28%
Central Michigan 72%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Central Michigan -9.9 | — |
| Total | 40.7 | — |
| ML | Sacramento State +258 / Central Michigan -258 | — |
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Massachusetts @ Toledo
Wed · Time TBD
Mid-American at Mid-American
Massachusetts 21%
Toledo 79%
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toledo -14.2 | — |
| Total | 46.2 | — |
| ML | Massachusetts +384 / Toledo -384 | — |
Glass Bowl
Market columns are shown for comparison only and are never blended into the model (SPEC-CFB §5). Each is the latest line we hold that was captured before kickoff — the week's opener until a later fetch lands — with its age shown when it is more than six hours old; a game with no pregame capture reads “—”. Moneylines are vig-free fair prices derived from the model's own win probability — model-derived fair values, not betting advice. Home-field advantage is zeroed at a neutral site; FBS-vs-FCS games are projected against a fitted replacement tier and are graded like any other.