NFL Player Projections

Week 7 — opponent-adjusted (this week's defence, home/away), availability-weighted, byes zeroed. Components (volume × efficiency) with scoring applied as a view. Model n8-v3 · updated 4d ago.

Week: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8• Season Position: All QB RB WR TE

Scoring: PPR Half Standard DK Rank by: VORP Points ⬇ CSV

League & scoring settings — server-side, from your stored component projections; the URL is the saved config

172 players · ranked by VORP under standard scoring, 12-team league (1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1FLEX). thin prior (n) = the efficiency prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted 2023–25 dropbacks (QB) or 55 touches (RB/WR/TE), so the league average carries about half or more of the line's efficiency; ⚠ = low-sample / rookie (archetype-driven). A designation like Q · 60% means the line is weighted by that play probability; BYE rows project 0 and are kept visible.

Replacement level (VORP is measured against these): QB12 Patrick Mahomes · 16.8 pts · RB29 Alvin Kamara · 7.0 pts · WR41 Kendrick Bourne · 5.6 pts · TE13 Kyle Pitts · 5.1 pts

#	Player	Pos	Tm	Opp	Status	Pts	VORP	Tgt	Rec	RecYd	RecTD	Car
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	vs KC		11.6	+6.0	9.4	6.6	86.8	0.5	0.2
2	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	vs GB		11.4	+5.9	9.1	6.4	80.1	0.6	0.1
3	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	@ PHI		9.8	+4.2	9.5	6.3	74.6	0.4	0.4
4	Drake London	WR	ATL	vs SF		9.8	+4.2	8.5	5.3	70.8	0.4	0.3
5	A.J. Brown ⚠	WR	NE	@ CHI		9.3	+3.7	8.0	5.2	68.2	0.4	0.2
6	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	vs NYG		9.2	+3.7	6.9	4.4	68.6	0.4	0.5
7	Chris Olave	WR	NO	vs PIT		9.2	+3.6	8.4	5.4	67.0	0.4	0.1
8	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	vs CIN		9.2	+3.6	7.2	4.9	70.4	0.4	0.5
9	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	@ BAL		8.9	+3.3	8.1	5.5	63.5	0.4	0.1
10	Jaylen Waddle ⚠	WR	DEN	@ ARI		8.7	+3.1	7.5	4.9	65.5	0.4	0.3
11	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	vs DEN		8.6	+3.0	7.8	4.9	62.0	0.4	0.1
12	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	vs TB		8.5	+2.9	7.3	4.4	61.3	0.4	0.1
13	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	vs IND		8.3	+2.8	7.1	4.5	64.1	0.3	0.2
14	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	@ BAL		8.2	+2.6	6.9	4.3	54.5	0.5	0.1
15	Carnell Tate thin prior (0 touches)	WR	TEN	vs CLE		7.7	+2.1	8.4	4.7	56.1	0.3	0.1
16	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	vs MIA		7.7	+2.1	7.1	4.4	55.3	0.4	0.2
17	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	@ NO		7.6	+2.0	6.8	4.1	55.4	0.3	0.2
18	George Pickens	WR	DAL	@ PHI		7.5	+2.0	6.7	4.2	56.9	0.3	0.1
19	Jalen Coker thin prior (35 touches)	WR	CAR	vs TB		7.3	+1.7	6.0	4.0	53.7	0.3	0.1
20	Luther Burden III thin prior (30 touches)	WR	CHI	vs NE		7.3	+1.7	6.0	4.1	55.6	0.3	0.8
21	Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	@ HOU		7.1	+1.5	7.5	4.6	51.1	0.3	0.1
22	Christian Watson thin prior (54 touches)	WR	GB	@ DET		7.0	+1.4	5.7	3.5	50.3	0.3	0.1
23	Denzel Boston thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CLE	@ TEN		6.9	+1.3	7.1	3.9	50.5	0.3	0.1
24	Malik Washington thin prior (43 touches)	WR	MIA	@ NYJ		6.9	+1.3	7.1	4.8	48.8	0.3	0.8
25	Makai Lemon thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PHI	vs DAL		6.9	+1.3	6.7	3.7	49.9	0.3	0.3
26	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	vs GB		6.8	+1.2	5.0	3.1	49.9	0.3	0.1
27	Chris Godwin Jr.	WR	TB	@ CAR		6.7	+1.1	6.4	4.2	49.9	0.3	0.4
28	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	vs IND		6.7	+1.1	5.5	3.3	47.1	0.3	0.2
29	Konata Mumpfield thin prior (12 touches)	WR	LA	@ LV		6.5	+0.9	6.5	3.9	46.6	0.3	0.2
30	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	@ SEA		6.5	+0.9	7.1	4.3	47.9	0.3	0.1
31	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	vs NE		6.5	+0.9	5.9	3.3	46.6	0.3	0.2
32	Devaughn Vele thin prior (36 touches)	WR	NO	vs PIT		6.4	+0.8	5.7	3.7	46.4	0.3	0.1
33	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	@ ARI		6.1	+0.5	5.5	3.4	42.9	0.3	0.1
34	KC Concepcion thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CLE	@ TEN		6.0	+0.4	6.1	3.4	43.4	0.3	0.6
35	Puka Nacua	WR	LA	@ LV	Q · 50%	5.9	+0.3	4.9	3.5	45.2	0.2	0.3
36	Josh Downs	WR	IND	@ MIN		5.8	+0.2	6.5	4.3	42.5	0.3	0.2
37	Tre Tucker	WR	LV	vs LA		5.8	+0.2	5.4	3.3	41.7	0.3	0.3
38	Matthew Golden thin prior (22 touches)	WR	GB	@ DET		5.7	+0.1	5.7	3.7	43.0	0.2	0.2
39	Wan'Dale Robinson ⚠	WR	TEN	vs CLE		5.7	+0.1	6.5	4.3	42.7	0.2	0.2
40	Christian Kirk ⚠	WR	SF	@ ATL	Q · 78%	5.6	+0.0	5.9	3.6	41.8	0.2	0.2
41	Kendrick Bourne thin prior (49 touches)	WR	ARI	vs DEN		5.6	+0.0	5.4	3.6	43.1	0.2	0.1
42	Ted Hurst III thin prior (0 touches)	WR	TB	@ CAR		5.5	-0.1	5.7	3.2	39.8	0.2	0.1
43	Caleb Douglas thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	@ NYJ		5.3	-0.3	5.4	3.0	38.5	0.2	0.2
44	Jalen Nailor thin prior (40 touches)	WR	LV	vs LA		5.3	-0.3	4.4	2.7	36.6	0.3	0.1
45	DeMario Douglas	WR	NE	@ CHI		5.3	-0.3	5.1	3.4	39.3	0.2	0.1
46	Jahan Dotson thin prior (44 touches)	WR	ATL	vs SF		5.0	-0.6	4.8	2.8	36.5	0.2	0.1
47	Omar Cooper Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYJ	vs MIA		4.9	-0.7	4.7	2.6	35.7	0.2	0.3
48	Germie Bernard thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	@ NO		4.9	-0.7	5.4	3.0	35.4	0.2	0.2
49	Rashid Shaheed	WR	SEA	vs KC		4.8	-0.8	4.4	2.7	35.5	0.2	0.5
50	Keenan Allen ⚠	WR	IND	@ MIN		4.7	-0.9	6.3	4.1	33.7	0.2	0.1
51	Marvin Harrison Jr. ⚠	WR	HOU	vs NYG		4.7	-0.9	3.9	2.3	33.2	0.2	0.2
52	Kalif Raymond thin prior (30 touches)	WR	CHI	vs NE		4.6	-1.0	4.2	2.9	34.6	0.2	0.2
53	Ryan Flournoy thin prior (32 touches)	WR	DAL	@ PHI		4.5	-1.0	4.5	3.0	32.9	0.2	0.1
54	Darius Cooper thin prior (6 touches)	WR	PHI	vs DAL		4.5	-1.1	3.9	2.5	33.5	0.2	0.1
55	Rashod Bateman thin prior (52 touches)	WR	BAL	vs CIN		4.4	-1.2	3.5	2.1	30.5	0.2	0.1
56	Jerry Jeudy	WR	CLE	@ TEN		4.2	-1.4	4.3	2.5	32.7	0.2	0.1
57	Brandin Cooks thin prior (50 touches)	WR	SF	@ ATL		4.1	-1.5	4.4	2.7	29.4	0.2	0.2
58	Adonai Mitchell thin prior (54 touches)	WR	NYJ	vs MIA		4.1	-1.5	4.0	2.1	30.4	0.2	0.3
59	Xavier Hutchinson thin prior (40 touches)	WR	HOU	vs NYG		3.9	-1.6	3.7	2.2	28.6	0.2	0.5
60	Jalen Royals thin prior (2 touches)	WR	KC	@ SEA		3.9	-1.7	4.0	2.5	28.4	0.2	0.1
61	Isaac TeSlaa thin prior (14 touches)	WR	DET	vs GB		3.9	-1.7	3.1	1.9	26.1	0.2	0.1
62	Malachi Fields thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYG	@ HOU		3.6	-1.9	4.2	2.3	26.5	0.2	0.1
63	Jordan Whittington thin prior (21 touches)	WR	LA	@ LV		3.6	-2.0	3.5	2.3	27.5	0.1	0.2
64	Jaylin Noel thin prior (18 touches)	WR	HOU	vs NYG		3.5	-2.1	3.0	2.0	25.4	0.2	0.7
65	Efton Chism III thin prior (2 touches)	WR	NE	@ CHI		3.5	-2.1	3.1	2.0	25.4	0.2	0.2
66	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	vs KC		3.4	-2.1	3.5	2.3	25.2	0.2	0.1
67	Marquise Brown ⚠	WR	PHI	vs DAL		3.4	-2.2	3.0	1.8	24.1	0.2	0.6
68	Jordan Watkins thin prior (2 touches)	WR	SF	@ ATL		3.3	-2.3	3.1	2.0	24.4	0.1	0.2
69	Tez Johnson thin prior (22 touches)	WR	TB	@ CAR		3.3	-2.3	2.9	1.8	22.7	0.2	0.3
70	Chris Bell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	@ NYJ		3.2	-2.4	3.3	1.8	23.3	0.1	0.2
71	Laquon Treadwell thin prior (1 touches)	WR	IND	@ MIN		3.2	-2.4	3.5	2.2	23.2	0.1	0.1
72	Dohnte Meyers thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CIN	@ BAL		3.2	-2.4	3.5	1.9	23.1	0.1	0.2
73	Ja'Kobi Lane thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	vs CIN		3.1	-2.5	3.0	1.7	22.8	0.1	0.2
74	Cody White thin prior (3 touches)	WR	LV	vs LA		3.1	-2.5	2.7	1.7	22.7	0.1	0.1
75	Bryce Lance thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	vs PIT		3.1	-2.5	3.2	1.8	22.6	0.1	0.1
76	Savion Williams thin prior (5 touches)	WR	GB	@ DET		3.0	-2.6	2.9	1.9	21.5	0.1	0.5
77	Kevin Coleman Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	@ NYJ		2.9	-2.6	3.0	1.7	21.4	0.1	0.2
78	Elic Ayomanor thin prior (44 touches)	WR	TEN	vs CLE		2.7	-2.9	2.9	1.6	19.0	0.1	0.1
79	Jalen Brooks thin prior (13 touches)	WR	ARI	vs DEN		2.7	-2.9	2.6	1.5	19.6	0.1	0.1
80	Cyrus Allen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	@ SEA		2.6	-3.0	3.0	1.7	19.2	0.1	0.1
81	Tutu Atwell thin prior (40 touches)	WR	LA	@ LV		2.6	-3.0	2.4	1.5	20.1	0.1	0.2
82	Darnell Mooney ⚠	WR	NYG	@ HOU		2.6	-3.0	2.9	1.6	20.0	0.1	0.3
83	Kayshon Boutte thin prior (45 touches)	WR	HOU	vs NYG		2.6	-3.0	2.0	1.3	18.6	0.1	0.0
84	Jauan Jennings ⚠	WR	MIN	vs IND		2.6	-3.0	2.1	1.3	17.6	0.1	0.1
85	Brycen Tremayne thin prior (9 touches)	WR	CAR	vs TB		2.5	-3.0	2.3	1.5	19.0	0.1	0.1
86	Zachariah Branch thin prior (0 touches)	WR	ATL	vs SF		2.5	-3.1	2.5	1.4	18.1	0.1	0.1
87	Troy Franklin	WR	DEN	@ ARI		2.5	-3.1	2.5	1.5	17.5	0.1	0.3
88	Marvin Mims Jr. thin prior (48 touches)	WR	DEN	@ ARI		2.5	-3.1	2.2	1.5	18.0	0.1	0.3
89	Ashton Dulin thin prior (7 touches)	WR	IND	@ MIN		2.1	-3.4	2.2	1.3	15.8	0.1	0.1
90	John Metchie III thin prior (41 touches)	WR	CAR	vs TB		2.1	-3.5	2.1	1.3	15.5	0.1	0.1
91	Isaiah Bond thin prior (22 touches)	WR	CLE	@ TEN		2.1	-3.5	2.1	1.2	16.2	0.1	0.2
92	Tory Horton thin prior (11 touches)	WR	SEA	vs KC		2.1	-3.5	1.8	1.1	14.2	0.1	0.1
93	Tim Patrick thin prior (25 touches)	WR	NYJ	vs MIA		2.1	-3.5	1.8	1.2	14.7	0.1	0.3
94	Kyle Williams thin prior (10 touches)	WR	NE	@ CHI		1.9	-3.6	1.7	1.0	13.8	0.1	0.1
95	Reggie Virgil thin prior (0 touches)	WR	ARI	vs DEN		1.9	-3.7	2.0	1.1	13.7	0.1	0.2
96	Devontez Walker thin prior (5 touches)	WR	BAL	vs CIN		1.9	-3.7	1.4	0.9	13.0	0.1	0.1
97	David Sills thin prior (18 touches)	WR	TB	@ CAR		1.9	-3.7	1.9	1.1	13.1	0.1	0.3
98	Tai Felton thin prior (2 touches)	WR	MIN	vs IND		1.8	-3.8	1.6	1.0	13.1	0.1	0.1
99	Isaiah Williams thin prior (19 touches)	WR	NYJ	vs MIA		1.7	-3.9	1.6	1.0	12.3	0.1	0.5
100	Jared Wayne thin prior (1 touches)	WR	MIA	@ NYJ		1.6	-4.0	1.5	0.9	11.8	0.1	0.2
101	Elijah Moore ⚠	WR	PHI	vs DAL		1.6	-4.0	1.7	1.0	12.2	0.1	0.3
102	Tank Dell thin prior (39 touches)	WR	HOU	vs NYG	Q · 78%	1.6	-4.0	1.3	0.8	11.6	0.1	0.3
103	Chimere Dike thin prior (37 touches)	WR	TEN	vs CLE		1.4	-4.1	1.5	1.0	10.2	0.1	0.1
104	Jacob Cowing thin prior (2 touches)	WR	SF	@ ATL		1.4	-4.2	1.3	0.8	10.6	0.1	0.2
105	Mitchell Tinsley thin prior (12 touches)	WR	CIN	@ BAL		1.4	-4.2	1.4	0.8	10.1	0.1	0.2
106	Brandon Aiyuk thin prior (35 touches)	WR	SF	@ ATL		1.3	-4.2	1.1	0.7	10.2	0.1	0.3
107	Colbie Young thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CIN	@ BAL		1.3	-4.3	1.5	0.8	9.7	0.1	0.2
108	Jonathan Mingo thin prior (32 touches)	WR	DAL	@ PHI		1.3	-4.3	1.6	0.9	9.6	0.1	0.2
109	Zavion Thomas thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CHI	vs NE		1.2	-4.3	1.2	0.7	9.0	0.1	0.3
110	Myles Price thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIN	vs IND		1.2	-4.3	1.1	0.7	9.0	0.1	0.2
111	Chris Blair thin prior (1 touches)	WR	ATL	vs SF		1.2	-4.4	1.1	0.7	8.9	0.1	0.1
112	Kaden Wetjen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	@ NO		1.2	-4.4	1.3	0.7	8.7	0.1	0.1
113	Lil'Jordan Humphrey thin prior (30 touches)	WR	DEN	@ ARI		1.2	-4.4	1.1	0.7	8.5	0.1	0.2
114	Charlie Jones thin prior (3 touches)	WR	NYG	@ HOU		1.1	-4.5	1.1	0.7	8.0	0.1	0.2
115	Brandon Smith thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	@ NO		1.1	-4.5	1.2	0.7	8.0	0.0	0.2
116	Dareke Young thin prior (2 touches)	WR	LV	vs LA		1.0	-4.5	0.9	0.6	7.7	0.0	0.1
117	CJ Daniels thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LA	@ LV		1.0	-4.6	1.1	0.6	7.4	0.0	0.4
118	Andrew Armstrong thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	@ SEA		0.9	-4.7	1.1	0.6	6.8	0.0	0.2
119	Tay Martin thin prior (2 touches)	WR	DET	vs GB		0.9	-4.7	0.8	0.5	6.5	0.0	0.1
120	Malik Benson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LV	vs LA		0.9	-4.7	0.9	0.5	6.3	0.0	0.2
121	Barion Brown thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	vs PIT		0.8	-4.8	0.8	0.5	5.9	0.0	0.4
122	Bo Melton ⚠	WR	GB	@ DET	Q · 72%	0.8	-4.8	0.8	0.5	5.9	0.0	0.1
123	Deion Burks thin prior (0 touches)	WR	IND	@ MIN		0.8	-4.8	1.0	0.5	5.9	0.0	0.4
124	J. Michael Sturdivant thin prior (0 touches)	WR	GB	@ DET		0.8	-4.8	0.9	0.5	5.8	0.0	0.1
125	David Moore thin prior (19 touches)	WR	CAR	vs TB		0.8	-4.8	0.7	0.5	5.6	0.0	0.2
126	Nikko Remigio thin prior (2 touches)	WR	KC	@ SEA		0.8	-4.8	0.8	0.5	5.7	0.0	0.1
127	Jahdae Walker thin prior (5 touches)	WR	CHI	vs NE		0.7	-4.8	0.6	0.4	5.3	0.0	0.2
128	Tylan Wallace thin prior (8 touches)	WR	CLE	@ TEN		0.7	-4.9	0.6	0.4	5.1	0.0	0.2
129	Cedric Tillman thin prior (43 touches)	WR	NO	vs PIT		0.7	-4.9	0.7	0.4	5.0	0.0	0.3
130	LaJohntay Wester thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	vs CIN		0.7	-4.9	0.6	0.3	4.8	0.0	0.1
131	Camden Brown thin prior (0 touches)	WR	DAL	@ PHI		0.6	-5.0	0.7	0.4	4.7	0.0	0.3
132	Brandon Johnson thin prior (6 touches)	WR	PIT	@ NO		0.6	-5.0	0.6	0.4	4.6	0.0	0.2
133	Jalin Hyatt thin prior (21 touches)	WR	NYG	@ HOU		0.6	-5.0	0.7	0.4	4.6	0.0	0.3
134	K.J. Osborn thin prior (20 touches)	WR	TEN	vs CLE		0.6	-5.0	0.6	0.4	4.4	0.0	0.2
135	DeAndre Carter thin prior (6 touches)	WR	DET	vs GB		0.6	-5.0	0.6	0.4	4.4	0.0	0.3
136	Kameron Johnson thin prior (4 touches)	WR	TB	@ CAR		0.6	-5.0	0.5	0.3	4.2	0.0	0.1
137	Irvin Charles thin prior (0 touches)	WR	SEA	vs KC		0.5	-5.1	0.5	0.3	3.7	0.0	0.2
138	Simi Fehoko thin prior (5 touches)	WR	ARI	vs DEN		0.3	-5.3	0.3	0.2	2.2	0.0	0.1
139	Britain Covey thin prior (6 touches)	WR	PHI	vs DAL		0.3	-5.3	0.3	0.2	2.2	0.0	0.1
140	Devin Duvernay thin prior (9 touches)	WR	ARI	vs DEN		0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
141	DJ Moore ⚠	WR	BUF	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
142	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
143	Keon Coleman thin prior (47 touches)	WR	BUF	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
144	Josh Palmer thin prior (50 touches)	WR	BUF	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
145	Greg Dortch thin prior (40 touches)	WR	BUF	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
146	Skyler Bell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BUF	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
147	Tyrell Shavers thin prior (12 touches)	WR	BUF	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
148	Malachi Corley thin prior (9 touches)	WR	CLE	@ TEN		0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
149	Coleman Owen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	GB	@ DET		0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
150	Parker Washington	WR	JAX	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
151	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
152	Josh Cameron thin prior (0 touches)	WR	JAX	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
153	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
154	Travis Hunter ⚠	WR	JAX	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
155	CJ Williams thin prior (0 touches)	WR	JAX	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
156	Justin Watson thin prior (22 touches)	WR	KC	@ SEA		0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
157	Alex Bachman thin prior (2 touches)	WR	LA	@ LV		0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
158	Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
159	Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
160	Tre Harris thin prior (22 touches)	WR	LAC	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
161	KeAndre Lambert-Smith thin prior (6 touches)	WR	LAC	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
162	Brenen Thompson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LAC	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
163	Theo Wease Jr. thin prior (5 touches)	WR	LAC	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
164	Derius Davis thin prior (10 touches)	WR	LAC	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
165	Malik McClain thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYJ	vs MIA		0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
166	Stefon Diggs ⚠	WR	WAS	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
167	Antonio Williams thin prior (0 touches)	WR	WAS	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
168	Treylon Burks thin prior (19 touches)	WR	WAS	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
169	Dyami Brown thin prior (35 touches)	WR	WAS	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
170	Luke McCaffrey thin prior (15 touches)	WR	WAS	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
171	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
172	Jaylin Lane thin prior (16 touches)	WR	WAS	BYE	BYE	0.0	-5.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

VORP = this player's points minus the points of the last startable player at his position (hover the VORP cell to see who). Baseline rank = teams × starters, with FLEX split RB/WR/TE 45/45/10.

Known limitations

Thin priors over-projected QBs. Efficiency comes from 2023–25, regressed toward the league average by sample size. Over Weeks 1–4, QB1s whose prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted dropbacks were projected +3.9 PPR a game too high (9 QBs; established QB1s +0.1). Those rows carry a thin prior chip. From Week 7 (model n8-v3) a QB's passing rates also read his own 2026 dropbacks, weighted against the prior's sample plus a fixed anchor, so a few snaps barely move them. On Weeks 5–6 this halved the thin-QB bias. Rushing rates and the game lines still use the prior: the game-level check of the same change failed.
Team pass volume is a 2023–25 prior too; in-season, only player shares blend toward what is observed. Blending team volume in-season was tested twice and lost to the prior both times.