NFL Player Projections

Rest of season, opponent-neutral: each player's per-game line × G, his team's remaining regular-season games as of the run. A player on a reserve list (IR, PUP, NFI, suspended) has G cut to the games he is expected back for, and his row says so; out for season is a 0 that means it. Components (volume × efficiency) with scoring applied as a view. Model n8-v3 · updated 6h ago.

Week: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8• Season Position: All QB RB WR TE

Scoring: PPR Half Standard DK Rank by: VORP Points ⬇ CSV

League & scoring settings — server-side, from your stored component projections; the URL is the saved config

215 players · ranked by VORP under half_ppr scoring, 12-team league (1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1FLEX). thin prior (n) = the efficiency prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted 2023–25 dropbacks (QB) or 55 touches (RB/WR/TE), so the league average carries about half or more of the line's efficiency; ⚠ = low-sample / rookie (archetype-driven).

Replacement level (VORP is measured against these): QB12 Lamar Jackson · 187.3 pts · RB29 Jeremiyah Love · 84.6 pts · WR41 Rome Odunze · 73.9 pts · TE13 Greg Dulcich · 64.9 pts

#	Player	Pos	Tm	G	Status	Pts	VORP	Tgt	Rec	RecYd	RecTD	Car
1	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	11		157.6	+83.7	101.4	71.3	853.6	6.1	2.3
2	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	10		144.1	+70.1	98.5	65.4	848.8	4.4	3.2
3	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	10		140.2	+66.3	89.0	62.2	815.1	4.6	2.5
4	Puka Nacua	WR	LA	10		134.9	+61.0	85.1	60.8	796.1	4.2	6.8
5	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	11		128.8	+54.9	85.8	58.2	710.9	4.8	1.0
6	Parker Washington	WR	JAX	11		119.9	+46.0	82.9	51.9	681.6	4.3	2.3
7	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	11		117.0	+43.1	74.8	46.5	622.4	5.2	1.0
8	Drake London	WR	ATL	10		116.7	+42.8	81.9	51.0	661.8	4.2	2.7
9	Chris Olave	WR	NO	10		110.0	+36.0	78.6	50.5	615.8	3.9	0.9
10	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	11		108.1	+34.2	75.8	47.9	646.8	3.2	1.9
11	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	10		105.4	+31.5	69.9	47.4	627.8	3.2	3.8
12	George Pickens	WR	DAL	10		105.0	+31.1	67.2	42.6	630.6	3.4	1.1
13	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	10		103.1	+29.2	65.2	41.8	609.7	3.5	2.9
14	Jaylen Waddle ⚠	WR	DEN	10		102.5	+28.6	68.9	45.1	602.0	3.3	2.6
15	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI	10		101.2	+27.2	66.2	45.4	578.7	3.4	1.0
16	Emeka Egbuka	WR	TB	10		99.7	+25.8	74.8	41.5	571.4	3.6	3.0
17	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	10		99.0	+25.1	69.1	43.7	557.1	3.6	2.1
18	Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	10		98.7	+24.8	73.6	45.5	550.3	3.5	0.8
19	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	10		96.9	+23.0	68.6	41.1	552.0	3.5	1.0
20	DJ Moore ⚠	WR	BUF	11		96.4	+22.5	66.7	43.3	535.7	3.5	4.4
21	A.J. Brown ⚠	WR	NE	10		95.8	+21.9	62.7	41.0	552.7	3.3	1.6
22	Stefon Diggs ⚠	WR	WAS	11		95.2	+21.3	68.7	49.4	528.3	2.9	1.0
23	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	11		94.0	+20.1	57.9	36.5	558.1	3.3	1.3
24	Rashee Rice	WR	KC	11		93.9	+20.0	63.4	43.5	512.6	3.5	1.3
25	Malik Washington thin prior (43 touches)	WR	MIA	11		93.8	+19.9	73.3	48.9	493.2	3.3	9.4
26	Carnell Tate thin prior (0 touches)	WR	TEN	10		91.9	+18.0	74.4	41.3	519.3	3.2	0.8
27	Mike Evans ⚠	WR	SF	10		88.4	+14.5	64.6	38.6	471.1	3.7	0.9
28	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	10		88.3	+14.3	59.6	36.0	512.7	3.2	1.9
29	Luther Burden III thin prior (30 touches)	WR	CHI	10		84.1	+10.2	55.8	38.4	495.4	2.6	6.0
30	Jalen Coker thin prior (35 touches)	WR	CAR	10		83.6	+9.7	55.5	37.5	477.1	2.9	1.1
31	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	11		83.1	+9.2	56.9	40.9	468.3	2.6	1.2
32	Denzel Boston thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CLE	10		82.7	+8.8	66.9	37.1	467.2	2.9	0.9
33	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	10		82.1	+8.2	62.9	39.1	449.9	2.9	0.7
34	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	11		80.7	+6.8	55.3	33.6	450.0	3.2	2.8
35	Josh Downs	WR	IND	10		78.8	+4.9	58.7	38.6	434.0	2.7	1.6
36	Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	11		76.6	+2.7	51.9	33.9	431.1	2.8	1.3
37	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	11		74.9	+1.0	57.7	34.9	421.9	2.5	1.2
38	Tre Tucker	WR	LV	10		74.9	+1.0	54.7	33.5	419.2	2.7	2.7
39	Devaughn Vele thin prior (36 touches)	WR	NO	10		74.4	+0.5	52.2	34.2	416.2	2.6	0.9
40	KC Concepcion thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CLE	10		74.4	+0.5	60.2	33.4	420.2	2.6	7.3
41	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	10		73.9	+0.0	55.3	30.8	418.7	2.8	0.9
42	Christian Watson thin prior (54 touches)	WR	GB	9		73.6	-0.3	46.2	28.1	429.3	2.8	0.7
43	Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	11		73.1	-0.8	49.4	30.2	395.8	3.1	3.6
44	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	11		72.5	-1.4	53.7	35.6	409.5	2.3	2.3
45	Chris Godwin Jr.	WR	TB	10		72.0	-1.9	52.1	34.5	405.4	2.4	3.3
46	Wan'Dale Robinson ⚠	WR	TEN	10		72.0	-1.9	58.0	38.4	399.9	2.1	1.8
47	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	10		71.5	-2.4	50.9	31.3	392.5	2.8	0.9
48	Caleb Douglas thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	11		69.2	-4.7	56.0	31.1	390.9	2.4	1.9
49	Kendrick Bourne thin prior (49 touches)	WR	ARI	10		66.4	-7.5	48.1	32.0	388.9	1.9	0.8
50	Keenan Allen ⚠	WR	IND	10		65.7	-8.2	56.5	36.5	341.5	2.2	0.9
51	Matthew Golden thin prior (22 touches)	WR	GB	9		65.7	-8.2	48.2	30.8	382.4	2.0	1.5
52	Ryan Flournoy thin prior (32 touches)	WR	DAL	10		65.4	-8.5	45.1	29.9	364.5	2.3	1.1
53	Tre Harris thin prior (22 touches)	WR	LAC	11		62.9	-11.1	45.5	29.6	356.0	2.1	1.3
54	Jalen Nailor thin prior (40 touches)	WR	LV	10		61.2	-12.7	41.1	25.0	339.5	2.5	1.0
55	Germie Bernard thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	10		58.3	-15.6	47.2	26.1	329.2	2.0	2.0
56	DeMario Douglas	WR	NE	10		57.4	-16.5	40.9	27.3	327.0	1.8	1.0
57	Jahan Dotson thin prior (44 touches)	WR	ATL	10		56.7	-17.2	43.6	25.8	322.1	1.9	1.0
58	Keon Coleman thin prior (47 touches)	WR	BUF	11		55.7	-18.2	39.4	24.1	309.0	2.1	1.2
59	Xavier Hutchinson thin prior (40 touches)	WR	HOU	10		55.4	-18.5	42.0	25.3	310.5	2.0	4.3
60	Dontayvion Wicks ⚠	WR	PHI	10		55.0	-18.9	40.2	24.7	301.5	2.1	0.8
61	Rashid Shaheed	WR	SEA	10		54.7	-19.2	39.5	24.4	316.7	1.8	3.1
62	Deebo Samuel Sr.	WR	SF	10		53.9	-20.0	37.9	25.4	299.0	1.9	11.3
63	Kalif Raymond thin prior (30 touches)	WR	CHI	10		53.5	-20.4	38.2	26.4	302.4	1.7	1.6
64	Omar Cooper Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		53.4	-20.5	43.3	24.0	301.8	1.9	1.1
65	Antonio Williams thin prior (0 touches)	WR	WAS	11		53.1	-20.8	43.0	23.8	299.9	1.9	0.9
66	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	11		52.6	-21.3	36.8	22.2	308.1	1.8	1.3
67	Marvin Harrison Jr. ⚠	WR	HOU	10		51.6	-22.3	36.6	21.3	291.4	2.0	0.9
68	Malachi Fields thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYG	10		50.0	-23.9	40.5	22.4	282.5	1.8	0.8
69	Jerry Jeudy	WR	CLE	10		49.8	-24.1	39.7	22.8	295.5	1.5	1.0
70	Isaac TeSlaa thin prior (14 touches)	WR	DET	11		49.5	-24.4	32.6	20.3	264.8	2.1	1.2
71	Ted Hurst III thin prior (0 touches)	WR	TB	10		48.0	-25.9	38.8	21.5	271.0	1.7	1.1
72	Rashod Bateman thin prior (52 touches)	WR	BAL	10		47.7	-26.2	33.3	19.9	264.1	1.9	1.0
73	Chris Bell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	11		45.5	-28.4	36.8	20.4	257.1	1.6	2.3
74	Dohnte Meyers thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CIN	11		44.6	-29.3	36.1	20.0	251.8	1.6	2.1
75	Konata Mumpfield thin prior (12 touches)	WR	LA	10		44.3	-29.6	33.7	20.0	244.3	1.6	1.0
76	Adonai Mitchell thin prior (54 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		43.2	-30.7	35.8	19.0	249.8	1.4	1.1
77	Laquon Treadwell thin prior (1 touches)	WR	IND	10		42.3	-31.6	31.5	19.7	236.4	1.5	0.8
78	Makai Lemon thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PHI	10		41.1	-32.8	33.3	18.4	232.2	1.4	1.6
79	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	10		40.4	-33.5	31.1	20.2	222.5	1.4	0.7
80	Reggie Virgil thin prior (0 touches)	WR	ARI	10		39.0	-34.9	31.6	17.5	220.5	1.4	1.5
81	KeAndre Lambert-Smith thin prior (6 touches)	WR	LAC	11		38.5	-35.5	28.2	17.1	213.2	1.4	2.3
82	Kevin Coleman Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	11		38.1	-35.8	30.8	17.1	215.1	1.3	1.5
83	Treylon Burks thin prior (19 touches)	WR	WAS	11		38.0	-35.9	28.9	17.0	215.5	1.3	1.0
84	Elic Ayomanor thin prior (44 touches)	WR	TEN	10		37.2	-36.7	29.7	16.4	205.2	1.4	0.8
85	Jordan Watkins thin prior (2 touches)	WR	SF	10		37.0	-36.9	26.4	16.7	209.9	1.3	1.3
86	Josh Cameron thin prior (0 touches)	WR	JAX	11		36.6	-37.3	29.7	16.4	207.1	1.3	1.3
87	Cody White thin prior (3 touches)	WR	LV	10		36.6	-37.3	24.7	15.7	210.9	1.3	0.9
88	Ja'Kobi Lane thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	10		36.6	-37.4	29.6	16.4	206.5	1.3	1.5
89	Darnell Mooney ⚠	WR	NYG	10		35.6	-38.3	27.5	15.4	211.6	1.1	3.2
90	Jalen Royals thin prior (2 touches)	WR	KC	11		35.5	-38.4	25.9	16.3	198.7	1.2	0.9
91	Bryce Lance thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	10		35.1	-38.8	28.4	15.7	198.2	1.2	0.9
92	Efton Chism III thin prior (2 touches)	WR	NE	10		35.0	-38.9	23.8	15.2	199.3	1.2	2.0
93	Jauan Jennings ⚠	WR	MIN	11		34.4	-39.5	23.6	14.9	185.0	1.4	1.1
94	Olamide Zaccheaus ⚠	WR	ATL	10		32.4	-41.5	25.0	15.7	175.3	1.2	1.1
95	Kayshon Boutte thin prior (45 touches)	WR	HOU	10		32.0	-41.9	20.4	13.2	182.3	1.2	0.8
96	Savion Williams thin prior (5 touches)	WR	GB	9		31.6	-42.3	22.1	14.6	174.7	1.1	6.7
97	Mitchell Tinsley thin prior (12 touches)	WR	CIN	11		30.7	-43.2	23.0	13.2	169.6	1.2	1.7
98	Marvin Mims Jr. thin prior (48 touches)	WR	DEN	10		29.7	-44.2	20.6	13.9	165.3	1.0	3.5
99	Tez Johnson thin prior (22 touches)	WR	TB	10		29.5	-44.4	20.4	12.9	158.5	1.2	3.3
100	Troy Franklin	WR	DEN	10		29.4	-44.5	22.5	13.8	157.5	1.1	1.9
101	Josh Palmer thin prior (50 touches)	WR	BUF	11		29.3	-44.6	21.3	13.1	177.6	0.8	1.5
102	Ben Skowronek thin prior (7 touches)	WR	PIT	10		29.2	-44.7	20.1	13.0	164.2	1.0	1.4
103	Brycen Tremayne thin prior (9 touches)	WR	CAR	10		28.6	-45.3	20.4	13.3	163.4	0.9	1.0
104	John Metchie III thin prior (41 touches)	WR	CAR	10		28.3	-45.6	21.8	14.0	154.4	1.0	1.1
105	Jaylin Noel thin prior (18 touches)	WR	HOU	10		26.3	-47.6	18.3	12.1	147.2	0.9	3.5
106	Dyami Brown thin prior (35 touches)	WR	WAS	11		26.0	-47.9	19.6	12.2	146.8	0.9	0.9
107	Ashton Dulin thin prior (7 touches)	WR	IND	10		25.5	-48.4	18.1	10.9	147.4	0.9	1.3
108	Calvin Ridley	WR	TEN	10		25.4	-48.5	20.2	11.5	148.3	0.8	1.0
109	Isaiah Bond thin prior (22 touches)	WR	CLE	10		25.4	-48.6	20.0	11.2	149.2	0.8	1.4
110	Tory Horton thin prior (11 touches)	WR	SEA	10		23.6	-50.3	16.0	10.0	125.6	1.0	1.0
111	Tim Patrick thin prior (25 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		23.4	-50.5	17.1	11.1	125.5	0.9	1.3
112	Jordan Whittington thin prior (21 touches)	WR	LA	10		23.1	-50.8	16.6	11.0	133.4	0.7	1.2
113	Tai Felton thin prior (2 touches)	WR	MIN	11		22.6	-51.3	16.2	10.4	127.4	0.8	1.2
114	Darius Cooper thin prior (6 touches)	WR	PHI	10		22.5	-51.4	16.0	10.4	127.7	0.8	0.7
115	Tank Dell thin prior (39 touches)	WR	HOU	10		21.6	-52.3	14.9	9.4	123.3	0.8	3.6
116	Zachariah Branch thin prior (0 touches)	WR	ATL	10		21.1	-52.8	17.1	9.5	119.4	0.7	1.9
117	Devontez Walker thin prior (5 touches)	WR	BAL	10		20.7	-53.2	13.5	8.5	114.9	0.8	1.2
118	Cyrus Allen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	11		20.6	-53.3	16.7	9.2	116.3	0.7	1.1
119	Kyle Williams thin prior (10 touches)	WR	NE	10		19.9	-54.0	13.6	8.2	112.4	0.8	1.0
120	KaVontae Turpin thin prior (38 touches)	WR	DAL	10		19.9	-54.0	13.8	8.8	113.8	0.7	4.4
121	Brandin Cooks thin prior (50 touches)	WR	SF	10		18.6	-55.3	14.8	9.2	100.6	0.7	1.2
122	Tutu Atwell thin prior (40 touches)	WR	LA	10		18.5	-55.4	13.0	8.0	110.1	0.6	1.4
123	Isaiah Williams thin prior (19 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		17.5	-56.4	13.4	8.8	96.9	0.6	2.9
124	Jared Wayne thin prior (1 touches)	WR	MIA	11		17.5	-56.4	12.4	7.9	98.9	0.6	0.0
125	Dont'e Thornton Jr. thin prior (15 touches)	WR	LV	10		16.8	-57.1	13.3	7.5	95.7	0.6	2.3
126	Brenen Thompson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LAC	11		15.4	-58.5	12.5	6.9	87.2	0.5	2.3
127	Jalen Tolbert thin prior (48 touches)	WR	MIA	11		15.4	-58.5	11.2	6.8	84.2	0.6	2.2
128	Travis Hunter ⚠	WR	JAX	11		14.7	-59.2	10.5	6.6	83.1	0.5	2.3
129	Myles Price thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIN	11		14.5	-59.4	10.3	6.5	81.8	0.5	1.7
130	Lil'Jordan Humphrey thin prior (30 touches)	WR	DEN	10		14.2	-59.7	10.5	6.6	78.5	0.5	1.4
131	Chimere Dike thin prior (37 touches)	WR	TEN	10		13.4	-60.5	10.1	6.4	71.0	0.5	0.9
132	Charlie Jones thin prior (3 touches)	WR	NYG	10		13.2	-60.7	9.5	6.0	74.7	0.5	1.2
133	Zavion Thomas thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CHI	10		13.1	-60.8	10.6	5.9	73.9	0.5	1.8
134	Demarcus Robinson thin prior (44 touches)	WR	SF	10		13.0	-61.0	9.7	5.8	70.7	0.5	0.0
135	Jonathan Mingo thin prior (32 touches)	WR	DAL	10		12.9	-61.0	10.9	6.1	72.9	0.4	1.4
136	Bo Melton ⚠	WR	GB	9		12.8	-61.1	9.1	5.7	72.2	0.4	0.7
137	Marquise Brown ⚠	WR	PHI	10		12.0	-61.9	8.8	5.4	65.8	0.4	3.8
138	Tay Martin thin prior (2 touches)	WR	DET	11		11.9	-62.0	8.3	5.3	67.6	0.4	1.5
139	Jacob Cowing thin prior (2 touches)	WR	SF	10		11.7	-62.2	8.3	5.2	66.9	0.4	1.7
140	Barion Brown thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	10		11.6	-62.3	9.4	5.2	65.6	0.4	2.9
141	Deion Burks thin prior (0 touches)	WR	IND	10		11.3	-62.6	9.1	5.1	63.7	0.4	3.9
142	Theo Wease Jr. thin prior (5 touches)	WR	LAC	11		10.7	-63.2	7.3	4.6	61.6	0.4	0.0
143	Jack Bech thin prior (14 touches)	WR	LV	8.1	IR · 8.1 of 10 g	10.7	-63.2	7.8	5.0	61.3	0.3	0.0
144	Malik Benson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LV	10		10.3	-63.6	8.4	4.6	58.5	0.4	1.7
145	Colbie Young thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CIN	11		10.3	-63.6	8.4	4.6	58.3	0.4	1.7
146	David Moore thin prior (19 touches)	WR	CAR	10		9.7	-64.2	7.3	4.5	52.9	0.4	1.2
147	Chris Blair thin prior (1 touches)	WR	ATL	10		9.6	-64.3	6.8	4.3	54.2	0.3	1.1
148	Andrew Armstrong thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	11		8.8	-65.2	7.1	3.9	49.5	0.3	0.0
149	Simi Fehoko thin prior (5 touches)	WR	ARI	10		8.7	-65.2	6.3	3.8	49.3	0.3	0.8
150	Davante Adams	WR	LA	2.0	IR · 2.0 of 10 g	8.7	-65.2	7.0	4.1	43.1	0.4	0.0
151	Tylan Wallace thin prior (8 touches)	WR	CLE	10		8.2	-65.7	5.7	3.6	46.7	0.3	1.6
152	Mack Hollins thin prior (54 touches)	WR	NE	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	7.9	-66.0	6.0	3.9	44.0	0.3	0.3
153	LaJohntay Wester thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	10		7.8	-66.1	5.5	3.5	43.9	0.3	1.0
154	Skyler Bell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BUF	11		7.7	-66.2	6.2	3.5	43.6	0.3	0.0
155	Jahdae Walker thin prior (5 touches)	WR	CHI	10		7.6	-66.3	5.3	3.3	42.0	0.3	1.3
156	Jordyn Tyson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	10		7.6	-66.3	6.1	3.4	42.8	0.3	2.5
157	Calvin Austin III thin prior (51 touches)	WR	NYG	10		7.5	-66.4	5.4	3.3	42.2	0.3	2.3
158	CJ Daniels thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LA	10		7.2	-66.7	5.8	3.2	40.8	0.3	2.5
159	Luke McCaffrey thin prior (15 touches)	WR	WAS	11		7.1	-66.8	4.7	3.1	40.0	0.3	1.3
160	Roman Wilson thin prior (10 touches)	WR	PIT	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	7.0	-66.9	4.9	3.1	39.2	0.3	0.0
161	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	1.9	IR · 1.9 of 11 g	6.9	-67.0	4.7	3.0	38.6	0.3	0.0
162	Tyquan Thornton thin prior (26 touches)	WR	KC	2.5	IR · 2.5 of 11 g	6.8	-67.1	4.7	2.8	40.2	0.2	0.0
163	David Sills thin prior (18 touches)	WR	TB	10		6.8	-67.2	5.3	3.2	36.7	0.3	2.2
164	DeAndre Carter thin prior (6 touches)	WR	DET	11		6.7	-67.2	5.3	3.3	37.0	0.2	2.4
165	Christian Kirk ⚠	WR	SF	10		6.4	-67.5	5.0	3.0	36.2	0.2	2.4
166	Romeo Doubs	WR	NE	2.0	IR · 2.0 of 10 g	6.1	-67.8	4.2	2.6	33.5	0.2	0.0
167	Kaden Wetjen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	10		6.0	-68.0	4.8	2.7	33.7	0.2	0.9
168	Michael Pittman ⚠	WR	PIT	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 10 g	5.2	-68.7	3.8	2.6	28.3	0.2	0.3
169	J. Michael Sturdivant thin prior (0 touches)	WR	GB	9		5.1	-68.8	4.1	2.3	28.8	0.2	0.7
170	Irvin Charles thin prior (0 touches)	WR	SEA	10		5.0	-68.9	3.6	2.2	28.3	0.2	1.3
171	Elijah Moore	WR	PHI	10		4.8	-69.1	4.0	2.4	27.3	0.1	0.0
172	Pat Bryant thin prior (24 touches)	WR	DEN	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 10 g	4.5	-69.4	3.3	2.1	25.9	0.1	0.3
173	Derius Davis thin prior (10 touches)	WR	LAC	11		4.5	-69.5	3.2	2.1	24.3	0.2	1.0
174	Elijah Sarratt thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	10		4.1	-69.8	3.3	1.8	23.0	0.1	0.0
175	Dareke Young thin prior (2 touches)	WR	LV	10		3.8	-70.1	2.7	1.7	21.6	0.1	0.0
176	Nikko Remigio thin prior (2 touches)	WR	KC	11		3.5	-70.4	2.5	1.6	20.3	0.1	0.9
177	Greg Dortch thin prior (40 touches)	WR	BUF	11		3.3	-70.6	2.4	1.6	17.4	0.1	1.2
178	Skyy Moore thin prior (12 touches)	WR	GB	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 9 g	3.2	-70.7	2.3	1.4	18.3	0.1	0.0
179	Jalen Brooks thin prior (13 touches)	WR	ARI	1.6	IR · 1.6 of 10 g	2.9	-71.0	2.1	1.3	16.3	0.1	0.0
180	Kameron Johnson thin prior (4 touches)	WR	TB	10		2.8	-71.1	2.0	1.2	15.6	0.1	0.0
181	Devin Duvernay thin prior (9 touches)	WR	ARI	10		2.8	-71.2	2.1	1.3	15.4	0.1	0.7
182	Jayden Reed thin prior (52 touches)	WR	GB	1.5	IR · 1.5 of 9 g	2.1	-71.8	1.3	0.9	11.9	0.1	0.0
183	Xavier Legette	WR	CAR	1.6	IR · 1.6 of 10 g	1.7	-72.2	1.4	0.8	9.3	0.1	0.0
184	Braxton Berrios thin prior (12 touches)	WR	NYG	10		1.6	-72.3	1.2	0.8	8.9	0.1	0.0
185	Jaylin Lane thin prior (16 touches)	WR	WAS	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 11 g	0.6	-73.3	0.5	0.3	3.7	0.0	0.0
186	Jalen McMillan thin prior (25 touches)	WR	TB	1.5	IR · 1.5 of 10 g	0.4	-73.5	0.3	0.2	2.1	0.0	0.0
187	Beaux Collins thin prior (3 touches)	WR	ATL	6.4	IR · 6.4 of 10 g	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
188	Tyrell Shavers thin prior (12 touches)	WR	BUF	4.0	PUP · 4.0 of 11 g	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
189	Chris Brazzell II thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CAR	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
190	Andrei Iosivas thin prior (52 touches)	WR	CIN	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
191	Malachi Corley thin prior (9 touches)	WR	CLE	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
192	Camden Brown thin prior (0 touches)	WR	DAL	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
193	Tom Kennedy thin prior (2 touches)	WR	DET	2.2	IR · 2.2 of 11 g	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
194	Kendrick Law thin prior (0 touches)	WR	DET	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
195	Coleman Owen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	GB	9		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
196	Jayden Higgins thin prior (34 touches)	WR	HOU	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
197	Anthony Gould thin prior (1 touches)	WR	IND	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
198	Alec Pierce	WR	IND	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
199	D.J. Montgomery thin prior (2 touches)	WR	IND	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
200	CJ Williams thin prior (0 touches)	WR	JAX	11		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
201	Jeff Caldwell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
202	Jimmy Holiday thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
203	Alex Bachman thin prior (2 touches)	WR	LA	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
204	Mason Tipton thin prior (16 touches)	WR	NO	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
205	Gunner Olszewski thin prior (7 touches)	WR	NYG	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
206	Malik McClain thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
207	Arian Smith thin prior (8 touches)	WR	NYJ	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
208	Britain Covey thin prior (6 touches)	WR	PHI	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
209	Johnny Wilson thin prior (4 touches)	WR	PHI	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
210	Cole Burgess thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
211	Jake Bobo thin prior (11 touches)	WR	SEA	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
212	De'Zhaun Stribling thin prior (0 touches)	WR	SF	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
213	Ricky Pearsall thin prior (40 touches)	WR	SF	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
214	Brandon Aiyuk thin prior (35 touches)	WR	SF	10		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
215	Van Jefferson thin prior (47 touches)	WR	WAS	11		0.0	-73.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

VORP = this player's points minus the points of the last startable player at his position (hover the VORP cell to see who). Baseline rank = teams × starters, with FLEX split RB/WR/TE 45/45/10.

Known limitations

Thin priors over-projected QBs. Efficiency comes from 2023–25, regressed toward the league average by sample size. Over Weeks 1–4, QB1s whose prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted dropbacks were projected +3.9 PPR a game too high (9 QBs; established QB1s +0.1). Those rows carry a thin prior chip. From Week 7 (model n8-v3) a QB's passing rates also read his own 2026 dropbacks, weighted against the prior's sample plus a fixed anchor, so a few snaps barely move them. On Weeks 5–6 this halved the thin-QB bias. Rushing rates and the game lines still use the prior: the game-level check of the same change failed.
Team pass volume is a 2023–25 prior too; in-season, only player shares blend toward what is observed. Blending team volume in-season was tested twice and lost to the prior both times.