NFL Player Projections

Rest of season, opponent-neutral: each player's per-game line × G, his team's remaining regular-season games as of the run. A player on a reserve list (IR, PUP, NFI, suspended) has G cut to the games he is expected back for, and his row says so; out for season is a 0 that means it. Components (volume × efficiency) with scoring applied as a view. Model n8-v3 · updated 6h ago.

Week: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8• Season Position: All QB RB WR TE

Scoring: PPR Half Standard DK Rank by: VORP Points ⬇ CSV

League & scoring settings — server-side, from your stored component projections; the URL is the saved config

215 players · ranked by VORP under dk_classic scoring, 12-team league (1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1FLEX). thin prior (n) = the efficiency prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted 2023–25 dropbacks (QB) or 55 touches (RB/WR/TE), so the league average carries about half or more of the line's efficiency; ⚠ = low-sample / rookie (archetype-driven).

Replacement level (VORP is measured against these): QB12 Lamar Jackson · 187.8 pts · RB29 Josh Jacobs · 93.9 pts · WR41 KC Concepcion · 91.1 pts · TE13 Greg Dulcich · 81.5 pts

#	Player	Pos	Tm	G	Status	Pts	VORP	Tgt	Rec	RecYd	RecTD	Car
1	Amon-Ra St. Brown	WR	DET	11		193.2	+102.2	101.4	71.3	853.6	6.1	2.3
2	CeeDee Lamb	WR	DAL	10		176.7	+85.7	98.5	65.4	848.8	4.4	3.2
3	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	WR	SEA	10		171.3	+80.2	89.0	62.2	815.1	4.6	2.5
4	Puka Nacua	WR	LA	10		165.4	+74.3	85.1	60.8	796.1	4.2	6.8
5	Ja'Marr Chase	WR	CIN	11		157.9	+66.9	85.8	58.2	710.9	4.8	1.0
6	Parker Washington	WR	JAX	11		145.9	+54.8	82.9	51.9	681.6	4.3	2.3
7	Drake London	WR	ATL	10		142.2	+51.2	81.9	51.0	661.8	4.2	2.7
8	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN	11		140.2	+49.1	74.8	46.5	622.4	5.2	1.0
9	Chris Olave	WR	NO	10		135.2	+44.1	78.6	50.5	615.8	3.9	0.9
10	Justin Jefferson	WR	MIN	11		132.1	+41.0	75.8	47.9	646.8	3.2	1.9
11	Zay Flowers	WR	BAL	10		129.1	+38.0	69.9	47.4	627.8	3.2	3.8
12	George Pickens	WR	DAL	10		126.3	+35.2	67.2	42.6	630.6	3.4	1.1
13	Jaylen Waddle ⚠	WR	DEN	10		125.0	+34.0	68.9	45.1	602.0	3.3	2.6
14	Nico Collins	WR	HOU	10		124.0	+32.9	65.2	41.8	609.7	3.5	2.9
15	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI	10		123.8	+32.8	66.2	45.4	578.7	3.4	1.0
16	Malik Nabers	WR	NYG	10		121.4	+30.4	73.6	45.5	550.3	3.5	0.8
17	Michael Wilson	WR	ARI	10		120.9	+29.8	69.1	43.7	557.1	3.6	2.1
18	Emeka Egbuka	WR	TB	10		120.5	+29.4	74.8	41.5	571.4	3.6	3.0
19	Stefon Diggs ⚠	WR	WAS	11		119.9	+28.8	68.7	49.4	528.3	2.9	1.0
20	Malik Washington thin prior (43 touches)	WR	MIA	11		118.3	+27.2	73.3	48.9	493.2	3.3	9.4
21	DJ Moore ⚠	WR	BUF	11		118.1	+27.0	66.7	43.3	535.7	3.5	4.4
22	Tetairoa McMillan	WR	CAR	10		117.4	+26.4	68.6	41.1	552.0	3.5	1.0
23	A.J. Brown ⚠	WR	NE	10		116.3	+25.2	62.7	41.0	552.7	3.3	1.6
24	Rashee Rice	WR	KC	11		115.7	+24.6	63.4	43.5	512.6	3.5	1.3
25	Carnell Tate thin prior (0 touches)	WR	TEN	10		112.5	+21.5	74.4	41.3	519.3	3.2	0.8
26	Jameson Williams	WR	DET	11		112.2	+21.1	57.9	36.5	558.1	3.3	1.3
27	Mike Evans ⚠	WR	SF	10		107.8	+16.7	64.6	38.6	471.1	3.7	0.9
28	DK Metcalf	WR	PIT	10		106.3	+15.2	59.6	36.0	512.7	3.2	1.9
29	Khalil Shakir	WR	BUF	11		103.5	+12.4	56.9	40.9	468.3	2.6	1.2
30	Luther Burden III thin prior (30 touches)	WR	CHI	10		103.3	+12.2	55.8	38.4	495.4	2.6	6.0
31	Jalen Coker thin prior (35 touches)	WR	CAR	10		102.3	+11.2	55.5	37.5	477.1	2.9	1.1
32	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ	10		101.6	+10.5	62.9	39.1	449.9	2.9	0.7
33	Denzel Boston thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CLE	10		101.2	+10.2	66.9	37.1	467.2	2.9	0.9
34	Josh Downs	WR	IND	10		98.0	+7.0	58.7	38.6	434.0	2.7	1.6
35	Jordan Addison	WR	MIN	11		97.5	+6.4	55.3	33.6	450.0	3.2	2.8
36	Ladd McConkey	WR	LAC	11		93.5	+2.5	51.9	33.9	431.1	2.8	1.3
37	Xavier Worthy	WR	KC	11		92.3	+1.3	57.7	34.9	421.9	2.5	1.2
38	Tre Tucker	WR	LV	10		91.6	+0.6	54.7	33.5	419.2	2.7	2.7
39	Devaughn Vele thin prior (36 touches)	WR	NO	10		91.5	+0.4	52.2	34.2	416.2	2.6	0.9
40	Wan'Dale Robinson ⚠	WR	TEN	10		91.2	+0.1	58.0	38.4	399.9	2.1	1.8
41	KC Concepcion thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CLE	10		91.1	+0.0	60.2	33.4	420.2	2.6	7.3
42	Jakobi Meyers	WR	JAX	11		90.3	-0.8	53.7	35.6	409.5	2.3	2.3
43	Chris Godwin Jr.	WR	TB	10		89.3	-1.8	52.1	34.5	405.4	2.4	3.3
44	Rome Odunze	WR	CHI	10		89.3	-1.8	55.3	30.8	418.7	2.8	0.9
45	Quentin Johnston	WR	LAC	11		88.2	-2.9	49.4	30.2	395.8	3.1	3.6
46	Christian Watson thin prior (54 touches)	WR	GB	9		87.7	-3.4	46.2	28.1	429.3	2.8	0.7
47	Courtland Sutton	WR	DEN	10		87.1	-4.0	50.9	31.3	392.5	2.8	0.9
48	Caleb Douglas thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	11		84.7	-6.3	56.0	31.1	390.9	2.4	1.9
49	Keenan Allen ⚠	WR	IND	10		84.0	-7.1	56.5	36.5	341.5	2.2	0.9
50	Kendrick Bourne thin prior (49 touches)	WR	ARI	10		82.4	-8.7	48.1	32.0	388.9	1.9	0.8
51	Matthew Golden thin prior (22 touches)	WR	GB	9		81.1	-9.9	48.2	30.8	382.4	2.0	1.5
52	Ryan Flournoy thin prior (32 touches)	WR	DAL	10		80.4	-10.7	45.1	29.9	364.5	2.3	1.1
53	Tre Harris thin prior (22 touches)	WR	LAC	11		77.7	-13.4	45.5	29.6	356.0	2.1	1.3
54	Jalen Nailor thin prior (40 touches)	WR	LV	10		73.7	-17.4	41.1	25.0	339.5	2.5	1.0
55	Germie Bernard thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	10		71.3	-19.7	47.2	26.1	329.2	2.0	2.0
56	DeMario Douglas	WR	NE	10		71.1	-20.0	40.9	27.3	327.0	1.8	1.0
57	Jahan Dotson thin prior (44 touches)	WR	ATL	10		69.6	-21.5	43.6	25.8	322.1	1.9	1.0
58	Xavier Hutchinson thin prior (40 touches)	WR	HOU	10		68.0	-23.1	42.0	25.3	310.5	2.0	4.3
59	Keon Coleman thin prior (47 touches)	WR	BUF	11		67.8	-23.3	39.4	24.1	309.0	2.1	1.2
60	Dontayvion Wicks ⚠	WR	PHI	10		67.4	-23.7	40.2	24.7	301.5	2.1	0.8
61	Rashid Shaheed	WR	SEA	10		66.9	-24.1	39.5	24.4	316.7	1.8	3.1
62	Kalif Raymond thin prior (30 touches)	WR	CHI	10		66.7	-24.4	38.2	26.4	302.4	1.7	1.6
63	Deebo Samuel Sr.	WR	SF	10		66.6	-24.5	37.9	25.4	299.0	1.9	11.3
64	Omar Cooper Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		65.4	-25.6	43.3	24.0	301.8	1.9	1.1
65	Antonio Williams thin prior (0 touches)	WR	WAS	11		65.0	-26.1	43.0	23.8	299.9	1.9	0.9
66	Brian Thomas Jr.	WR	JAX	11		63.7	-27.4	36.8	22.2	308.1	1.8	1.3
67	Marvin Harrison Jr. ⚠	WR	HOU	10		62.2	-28.8	36.6	21.3	291.4	2.0	0.9
68	Malachi Fields thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYG	10		61.2	-29.8	40.5	22.4	282.5	1.8	0.8
69	Jerry Jeudy	WR	CLE	10		61.2	-29.9	39.7	22.8	295.5	1.5	1.0
70	Isaac TeSlaa thin prior (14 touches)	WR	DET	11		59.6	-31.4	32.6	20.3	264.8	2.1	1.2
71	Ted Hurst III thin prior (0 touches)	WR	TB	10		58.7	-32.3	38.8	21.5	271.0	1.7	1.1
72	Rashod Bateman thin prior (52 touches)	WR	BAL	10		57.6	-33.5	33.3	19.9	264.1	1.9	1.0
73	Chris Bell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	11		55.7	-35.4	36.8	20.4	257.1	1.6	2.3
74	Dohnte Meyers thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CIN	11		54.6	-36.5	36.1	20.0	251.8	1.6	2.1
75	Konata Mumpfield thin prior (12 touches)	WR	LA	10		54.3	-36.8	33.7	20.0	244.3	1.6	1.0
76	Adonai Mitchell thin prior (54 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		52.7	-38.4	35.8	19.0	249.8	1.4	1.1
77	Laquon Treadwell thin prior (1 touches)	WR	IND	10		52.2	-38.9	31.5	19.7	236.4	1.5	0.8
78	Cooper Kupp	WR	SEA	10		50.5	-40.5	31.1	20.2	222.5	1.4	0.7
79	Makai Lemon thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PHI	10		50.3	-40.8	33.3	18.4	232.2	1.4	1.6
80	Reggie Virgil thin prior (0 touches)	WR	ARI	10		47.8	-43.3	31.6	17.5	220.5	1.4	1.5
81	KeAndre Lambert-Smith thin prior (6 touches)	WR	LAC	11		47.0	-44.1	28.2	17.1	213.2	1.4	2.3
82	Kevin Coleman Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIA	11		46.6	-44.5	30.8	17.1	215.1	1.3	1.5
83	Treylon Burks thin prior (19 touches)	WR	WAS	11		46.6	-44.5	28.9	17.0	215.5	1.3	1.0
84	Elic Ayomanor thin prior (44 touches)	WR	TEN	10		45.4	-45.7	29.7	16.4	205.2	1.4	0.8
85	Jordan Watkins thin prior (2 touches)	WR	SF	10		45.4	-45.7	26.4	16.7	209.9	1.3	1.3
86	Josh Cameron thin prior (0 touches)	WR	JAX	11		44.9	-46.2	29.7	16.4	207.1	1.3	1.3
87	Ja'Kobi Lane thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	10		44.8	-46.3	29.6	16.4	206.5	1.3	1.5
88	Cody White thin prior (3 touches)	WR	LV	10		44.5	-46.6	24.7	15.7	210.9	1.3	0.9
89	Jalen Royals thin prior (2 touches)	WR	KC	11		43.7	-47.4	25.9	16.3	198.7	1.2	0.9
90	Darnell Mooney ⚠	WR	NYG	10		43.4	-47.7	27.5	15.4	211.6	1.1	3.2
91	Bryce Lance thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	10		43.0	-48.1	28.4	15.7	198.2	1.2	0.9
92	Efton Chism III thin prior (2 touches)	WR	NE	10		42.7	-48.4	23.8	15.2	199.3	1.2	2.0
93	Jauan Jennings ⚠	WR	MIN	11		41.9	-49.2	23.6	14.9	185.0	1.4	1.1
94	Olamide Zaccheaus ⚠	WR	ATL	10		40.3	-50.8	25.0	15.7	175.3	1.2	1.1
95	Savion Williams thin prior (5 touches)	WR	GB	9		38.9	-52.2	22.1	14.6	174.7	1.1	6.7
96	Kayshon Boutte thin prior (45 touches)	WR	HOU	10		38.6	-52.4	20.4	13.2	182.3	1.2	0.8
97	Mitchell Tinsley thin prior (12 touches)	WR	CIN	11		37.3	-53.8	23.0	13.2	169.6	1.2	1.7
98	Marvin Mims Jr. thin prior (48 touches)	WR	DEN	10		36.7	-54.4	20.6	13.9	165.3	1.0	3.5
99	Troy Franklin	WR	DEN	10		36.3	-54.8	22.5	13.8	157.5	1.1	1.9
100	Tez Johnson thin prior (22 touches)	WR	TB	10		36.0	-55.1	20.4	12.9	158.5	1.2	3.3
101	Josh Palmer thin prior (50 touches)	WR	BUF	11		35.9	-55.2	21.3	13.1	177.6	0.8	1.5
102	Ben Skowronek thin prior (7 touches)	WR	PIT	10		35.6	-55.4	20.1	13.0	164.2	1.0	1.4
103	John Metchie III thin prior (41 touches)	WR	CAR	10		35.3	-55.8	21.8	14.0	154.4	1.0	1.1
104	Brycen Tremayne thin prior (9 touches)	WR	CAR	10		35.3	-55.8	20.4	13.3	163.4	0.9	1.0
105	Jaylin Noel thin prior (18 touches)	WR	HOU	10		32.3	-58.7	18.3	12.1	147.2	0.9	3.5
106	Dyami Brown thin prior (35 touches)	WR	WAS	11		32.1	-59.0	19.6	12.2	146.8	0.9	0.9
107	Calvin Ridley	WR	TEN	10		31.1	-59.9	20.2	11.5	148.3	0.8	1.0
108	Isaiah Bond thin prior (22 touches)	WR	CLE	10		31.0	-60.1	20.0	11.2	149.2	0.8	1.4
109	Ashton Dulin thin prior (7 touches)	WR	IND	10		30.9	-60.2	18.1	10.9	147.4	0.9	1.3
110	Tim Patrick thin prior (25 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		28.9	-62.1	17.1	11.1	125.5	0.9	1.3
111	Tory Horton thin prior (11 touches)	WR	SEA	10		28.6	-62.4	16.0	10.0	125.6	1.0	1.0
112	Jordan Whittington thin prior (21 touches)	WR	LA	10		28.6	-62.5	16.6	11.0	133.4	0.7	1.2
113	Tai Felton thin prior (2 touches)	WR	MIN	11		27.8	-63.3	16.2	10.4	127.4	0.8	1.2
114	Darius Cooper thin prior (6 touches)	WR	PHI	10		27.7	-63.4	16.0	10.4	127.7	0.8	0.7
115	Tank Dell thin prior (39 touches)	WR	HOU	10		26.4	-64.7	14.9	9.4	123.3	0.8	3.6
116	Zachariah Branch thin prior (0 touches)	WR	ATL	10		25.9	-65.2	17.1	9.5	119.4	0.7	1.9
117	Cyrus Allen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	11		25.2	-65.9	16.7	9.2	116.3	0.7	1.1
118	Devontez Walker thin prior (5 touches)	WR	BAL	10		25.0	-66.1	13.5	8.5	114.9	0.8	1.2
119	KaVontae Turpin thin prior (38 touches)	WR	DAL	10		24.3	-66.8	13.8	8.8	113.8	0.7	4.4
120	Kyle Williams thin prior (10 touches)	WR	NE	10		24.1	-67.0	13.6	8.2	112.4	0.8	1.0
121	Brandin Cooks thin prior (50 touches)	WR	SF	10		23.2	-67.8	14.8	9.2	100.6	0.7	1.2
122	Tutu Atwell thin prior (40 touches)	WR	LA	10		22.5	-68.6	13.0	8.0	110.1	0.6	1.4
123	Isaiah Williams thin prior (19 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		21.9	-69.1	13.4	8.8	96.9	0.6	2.9
124	Jared Wayne thin prior (1 touches)	WR	MIA	11		21.4	-69.6	12.4	7.9	98.9	0.6	0.0
125	Dont'e Thornton Jr. thin prior (15 touches)	WR	LV	10		20.6	-70.5	13.3	7.5	95.7	0.6	2.3
126	Brenen Thompson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LAC	11		18.9	-72.2	12.5	6.9	87.2	0.5	2.3
127	Jalen Tolbert thin prior (48 touches)	WR	MIA	11		18.8	-72.3	11.2	6.8	84.2	0.6	2.2
128	Travis Hunter ⚠	WR	JAX	11		18.0	-73.1	10.5	6.6	83.1	0.5	2.3
129	Myles Price thin prior (0 touches)	WR	MIN	11		17.7	-73.3	10.3	6.5	81.8	0.5	1.7
130	Lil'Jordan Humphrey thin prior (30 touches)	WR	DEN	10		17.5	-73.6	10.5	6.6	78.5	0.5	1.4
131	Chimere Dike thin prior (37 touches)	WR	TEN	10		16.6	-74.5	10.1	6.4	71.0	0.5	0.9
132	Charlie Jones thin prior (3 touches)	WR	NYG	10		16.3	-74.8	9.5	6.0	74.7	0.5	1.2
133	Zavion Thomas thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CHI	10		16.0	-75.0	10.6	5.9	73.9	0.5	1.8
134	Jonathan Mingo thin prior (32 touches)	WR	DAL	10		15.9	-75.1	10.9	6.1	72.9	0.4	1.4
135	Demarcus Robinson thin prior (44 touches)	WR	SF	10		15.9	-75.2	9.7	5.8	70.7	0.5	0.0
136	Bo Melton ⚠	WR	GB	9		15.7	-75.4	9.1	5.7	72.2	0.4	0.7
137	Marquise Brown ⚠	WR	PHI	10		14.7	-76.4	8.8	5.4	65.8	0.4	3.8
138	Tay Martin thin prior (2 touches)	WR	DET	11		14.6	-76.5	8.3	5.3	67.6	0.4	1.5
139	Jacob Cowing thin prior (2 touches)	WR	SF	10		14.3	-76.8	8.3	5.2	66.9	0.4	1.7
140	Barion Brown thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	10		14.2	-76.9	9.4	5.2	65.6	0.4	2.9
141	Deion Burks thin prior (0 touches)	WR	IND	10		13.8	-77.3	9.1	5.1	63.7	0.4	3.9
142	Jack Bech thin prior (14 touches)	WR	LV	8.1	IR · 8.1 of 10 g	13.2	-77.9	7.8	5.0	61.3	0.3	0.0
143	Theo Wease Jr. thin prior (5 touches)	WR	LAC	11		13.0	-78.1	7.3	4.6	61.6	0.4	0.0
144	Malik Benson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LV	10		12.7	-78.4	8.4	4.6	58.5	0.4	1.7
145	Colbie Young thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CIN	11		12.6	-78.4	8.4	4.6	58.3	0.4	1.7
146	David Moore thin prior (19 touches)	WR	CAR	10		11.9	-79.2	7.3	4.5	52.9	0.4	1.2
147	Chris Blair thin prior (1 touches)	WR	ATL	10		11.7	-79.4	6.8	4.3	54.2	0.3	1.1
148	Andrew Armstrong thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	11		10.7	-80.3	7.1	3.9	49.5	0.3	0.0
149	Davante Adams	WR	LA	2.0	IR · 2.0 of 10 g	10.7	-80.4	7.0	4.1	43.1	0.4	0.0
150	Simi Fehoko thin prior (5 touches)	WR	ARI	10		10.6	-80.5	6.3	3.8	49.3	0.3	0.8
151	Tylan Wallace thin prior (8 touches)	WR	CLE	10		10.1	-81.0	5.7	3.6	46.7	0.3	1.6
152	Mack Hollins thin prior (54 touches)	WR	NE	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	9.9	-81.2	6.0	3.9	44.0	0.3	0.3
153	LaJohntay Wester thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	10		9.5	-81.6	5.5	3.5	43.9	0.3	1.0
154	Skyler Bell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BUF	11		9.4	-81.6	6.2	3.5	43.6	0.3	0.0
155	Jordyn Tyson thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NO	10		9.3	-81.8	6.1	3.4	42.8	0.3	2.5
156	Jahdae Walker thin prior (5 touches)	WR	CHI	10		9.2	-81.8	5.3	3.3	42.0	0.3	1.3
157	Calvin Austin III thin prior (51 touches)	WR	NYG	10		9.2	-81.9	5.4	3.3	42.2	0.3	2.3
158	CJ Daniels thin prior (0 touches)	WR	LA	10		8.8	-82.2	5.8	3.2	40.8	0.3	2.5
159	Luke McCaffrey thin prior (15 touches)	WR	WAS	11		8.7	-82.4	4.7	3.1	40.0	0.3	1.3
160	Roman Wilson thin prior (10 touches)	WR	PIT	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	8.5	-82.5	4.9	3.1	39.2	0.3	0.0
161	Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	1.9	IR · 1.9 of 11 g	8.4	-82.6	4.7	3.0	38.6	0.3	0.0
162	DeAndre Carter thin prior (6 touches)	WR	DET	11		8.4	-82.7	5.3	3.3	37.0	0.2	2.4
163	David Sills thin prior (18 touches)	WR	TB	10		8.3	-82.7	5.3	3.2	36.7	0.3	2.2
164	Tyquan Thornton thin prior (26 touches)	WR	KC	2.5	IR · 2.5 of 11 g	8.2	-82.8	4.7	2.8	40.2	0.2	0.0
165	Christian Kirk ⚠	WR	SF	10		7.9	-83.2	5.0	3.0	36.2	0.2	2.4
166	Romeo Doubs	WR	NE	2.0	IR · 2.0 of 10 g	7.4	-83.6	4.2	2.6	33.5	0.2	0.0
167	Kaden Wetjen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	10		7.3	-83.8	4.8	2.7	33.7	0.2	0.9
168	Michael Pittman ⚠	WR	PIT	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 10 g	6.5	-84.6	3.8	2.6	28.3	0.2	0.3
169	J. Michael Sturdivant thin prior (0 touches)	WR	GB	9		6.2	-84.8	4.1	2.3	28.8	0.2	0.7
170	Irvin Charles thin prior (0 touches)	WR	SEA	10		6.1	-84.9	3.6	2.2	28.3	0.2	1.3
171	Elijah Moore	WR	PHI	10		6.0	-85.0	4.0	2.4	27.3	0.1	0.0
172	Pat Bryant thin prior (24 touches)	WR	DEN	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 10 g	5.5	-85.5	3.3	2.1	25.9	0.1	0.3
173	Derius Davis thin prior (10 touches)	WR	LAC	11		5.5	-85.5	3.2	2.1	24.3	0.2	1.0
174	Elijah Sarratt thin prior (0 touches)	WR	BAL	10		5.0	-86.1	3.3	1.8	23.0	0.1	0.0
175	Dareke Young thin prior (2 touches)	WR	LV	10		4.6	-86.5	2.7	1.7	21.6	0.1	0.0
176	Nikko Remigio thin prior (2 touches)	WR	KC	11		4.3	-86.7	2.5	1.6	20.3	0.1	0.9
177	Greg Dortch thin prior (40 touches)	WR	BUF	11		4.1	-86.9	2.4	1.6	17.4	0.1	1.2
178	Skyy Moore thin prior (12 touches)	WR	GB	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 9 g	3.9	-87.2	2.3	1.4	18.3	0.1	0.0
179	Jalen Brooks thin prior (13 touches)	WR	ARI	1.6	IR · 1.6 of 10 g	3.5	-87.6	2.1	1.3	16.3	0.1	0.0
180	Devin Duvernay thin prior (9 touches)	WR	ARI	10		3.4	-87.7	2.1	1.3	15.4	0.1	0.7
181	Kameron Johnson thin prior (4 touches)	WR	TB	10		3.4	-87.7	2.0	1.2	15.6	0.1	0.0
182	Jayden Reed thin prior (52 touches)	WR	GB	1.5	IR · 1.5 of 9 g	2.6	-88.5	1.3	0.9	11.9	0.1	0.0
183	Xavier Legette	WR	CAR	1.6	IR · 1.6 of 10 g	2.1	-88.9	1.4	0.8	9.3	0.1	0.0
184	Braxton Berrios thin prior (12 touches)	WR	NYG	10		2.0	-89.0	1.2	0.8	8.9	0.1	0.0
185	Jaylin Lane thin prior (16 touches)	WR	WAS	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 11 g	0.8	-90.3	0.5	0.3	3.7	0.0	0.0
186	Jalen McMillan thin prior (25 touches)	WR	TB	1.5	IR · 1.5 of 10 g	0.5	-90.6	0.3	0.2	2.1	0.0	0.0
187	Beaux Collins thin prior (3 touches)	WR	ATL	6.4	IR · 6.4 of 10 g	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
188	Tyrell Shavers thin prior (12 touches)	WR	BUF	4.0	PUP · 4.0 of 11 g	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
189	Chris Brazzell II thin prior (0 touches)	WR	CAR	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
190	Andrei Iosivas thin prior (52 touches)	WR	CIN	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
191	Malachi Corley thin prior (9 touches)	WR	CLE	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
192	Camden Brown thin prior (0 touches)	WR	DAL	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
193	Tom Kennedy thin prior (2 touches)	WR	DET	2.2	IR · 2.2 of 11 g	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
194	Kendrick Law thin prior (0 touches)	WR	DET	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
195	Coleman Owen thin prior (0 touches)	WR	GB	9		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
196	Jayden Higgins thin prior (34 touches)	WR	HOU	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
197	Anthony Gould thin prior (1 touches)	WR	IND	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
198	Alec Pierce	WR	IND	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
199	D.J. Montgomery thin prior (2 touches)	WR	IND	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
200	CJ Williams thin prior (0 touches)	WR	JAX	11		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
201	Jeff Caldwell thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
202	Jimmy Holiday thin prior (0 touches)	WR	KC	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
203	Alex Bachman thin prior (2 touches)	WR	LA	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
204	Mason Tipton thin prior (16 touches)	WR	NO	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
205	Gunner Olszewski thin prior (7 touches)	WR	NYG	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
206	Malik McClain thin prior (0 touches)	WR	NYJ	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
207	Arian Smith thin prior (8 touches)	WR	NYJ	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
208	Britain Covey thin prior (6 touches)	WR	PHI	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
209	Johnny Wilson thin prior (4 touches)	WR	PHI	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
210	Cole Burgess thin prior (0 touches)	WR	PIT	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
211	Jake Bobo thin prior (11 touches)	WR	SEA	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
212	De'Zhaun Stribling thin prior (0 touches)	WR	SF	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
213	Ricky Pearsall thin prior (40 touches)	WR	SF	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
214	Brandon Aiyuk thin prior (35 touches)	WR	SF	10		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
215	Van Jefferson thin prior (47 touches)	WR	WAS	11		0.0	-91.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

VORP = this player's points minus the points of the last startable player at his position (hover the VORP cell to see who). Baseline rank = teams × starters, with FLEX split RB/WR/TE 45/45/10.

Known limitations

Thin priors over-projected QBs. Efficiency comes from 2023–25, regressed toward the league average by sample size. Over Weeks 1–4, QB1s whose prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted dropbacks were projected +3.9 PPR a game too high (9 QBs; established QB1s +0.1). Those rows carry a thin prior chip. From Week 7 (model n8-v3) a QB's passing rates also read his own 2026 dropbacks, weighted against the prior's sample plus a fixed anchor, so a few snaps barely move them. On Weeks 5–6 this halved the thin-QB bias. Rushing rates and the game lines still use the prior: the game-level check of the same change failed.
Team pass volume is a 2023–25 prior too; in-season, only player shares blend toward what is observed. Blending team volume in-season was tested twice and lost to the prior both times.