NFL Player Projections

Rest of season, opponent-neutral: each player's per-game line × G, his team's remaining regular-season games as of the run. A player on a reserve list (IR, PUP, NFI, suspended) has G cut to the games he is expected back for, and his row says so; out for season is a 0 that means it. Components (volume × efficiency) with scoring applied as a view. Model n8-v3 · updated 6h ago.

Week: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8• Season Position: All QB RB WR TE

Scoring: PPR Half Standard DK Rank by: VORP Points ⬇ CSV

League & scoring settings — server-side, from your stored component projections; the URL is the saved config

144 players · ranked by VORP under half_ppr scoring, 12-team league (1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1FLEX). thin prior (n) = the efficiency prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted 2023–25 dropbacks (QB) or 55 touches (RB/WR/TE), so the league average carries about half or more of the line's efficiency; ⚠ = low-sample / rookie (archetype-driven).

Replacement level (VORP is measured against these): QB12 Lamar Jackson · 187.3 pts · RB29 Jeremiyah Love · 84.6 pts · WR41 Rome Odunze · 73.9 pts · TE13 Greg Dulcich · 64.9 pts

#	Player	Pos	Tm	G	Status	Pts	VORP	Tgt	Rec	RecYd	RecTD
1	Trey McBride	TE	ARI	10		109.7	+44.8	78.2	58.1	583.8	3.7
2	Isaiah Likely thin prior (43 touches)	TE	NYG	10		93.7	+28.8	62.5	45.6	495.5	3.6
3	Brock Bowers	TE	LV	10		86.3	+21.4	60.6	44.3	453.6	3.1
4	Sam LaPorta	TE	DET	11		85.3	+20.4	55.4	40.9	449.2	3.3
5	George Kittle	TE	SF	10		83.2	+18.3	51.8	40.0	444.3	3.1
6	Brenton Strange thin prior (48 touches)	TE	JAX	11		82.1	+17.2	56.7	41.8	442.4	2.8
7	Travis Kelce	TE	KC	11		76.1	+11.2	61.8	44.8	394.8	2.4
8	T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN	11		72.4	+7.5	53.8	39.3	386.6	2.4
9	Dalton Kincaid	TE	BUF	11		72.3	+7.4	49.3	35.7	392.4	2.5
10	Colston Loveland thin prior (41 touches)	TE	CHI	10		68.6	+3.7	49.3	35.2	357.9	2.5
11	Dalton Schultz	TE	HOU	10		67.8	+2.9	51.1	36.6	364.0	2.2
12	Tyler Warren	TE	IND	10		66.5	+1.6	49.8	34.8	356.1	2.2
13	Greg Dulcich thin prior (21 touches)	TE	MIA	11		64.9	+0.0	46.1	33.2	353.6	2.2
14	Charlie Kolar thin prior (13 touches)	TE	LAC	11		64.1	-0.8	43.3	31.2	338.7	2.4
15	Harold Fannin Jr. thin prior (54 touches)	TE	CLE	10		63.3	-1.6	49.3	34.3	320.3	2.4
16	Juwan Johnson	TE	NO	10		62.7	-2.2	43.9	32.0	345.5	2.0
17	Kyle Pitts	TE	ATL	10		62.5	-2.4	44.7	31.3	341.6	2.1
18	Cade Otton	TE	TB	10		62.5	-2.4	47.2	33.6	334.8	2.0
19	Mark Andrews	TE	BAL	10		61.5	-3.4	41.3	29.9	300.9	2.7
20	Dallas Goedert	TE	PHI	10		57.6	-7.3	39.0	28.7	284.9	2.5
21	Chig Okonkwo ⚠	TE	WAS	11		56.7	-8.2	43.2	31.0	307.1	1.8
22	Tucker Kraft thin prior (51 touches)	TE	GB	9		54.5	-10.4	33.3	24.1	291.7	2.2
23	Jake Ferguson	TE	DAL	10		54.5	-10.4	40.9	30.2	268.9	2.1
24	Hunter Henry	TE	NE	10		53.0	-11.9	38.7	27.0	275.9	2.0
25	Mike Gesicki thin prior (55 touches)	TE	CIN	11		52.9	-12.0	39.5	28.4	280.4	1.8
26	AJ Barner thin prior (45 touches)	TE	SEA	10		51.8	-13.2	35.7	26.6	256.0	2.1
27	Tyler Higbee thin prior (36 touches)	TE	LA	10		49.6	-15.3	37.1	26.1	251.7	1.9
28	Pat Freiermuth	TE	PIT	10		45.6	-19.3	30.2	22.7	237.2	1.8
29	Tommy Tremble thin prior (34 touches)	TE	CAR	10		44.9	-20.1	32.3	23.3	228.9	1.7
30	Mason Taylor thin prior (32 touches)	TE	NYJ	10		43.9	-21.0	36.4	25.6	224.1	1.5
31	Michael Mayer thin prior (43 touches)	TE	LV	10		41.9	-23.1	32.2	22.6	221.8	1.4
32	Gunnar Helm thin prior (28 touches)	TE	TEN	10		41.2	-23.7	30.6	22.9	211.1	1.4
33	Oronde Gadsden II thin prior (34 touches)	TE	LAC	11		41.1	-23.8	29.8	21.3	224.4	1.3
34	Evan Engram	TE	DEN	10		39.2	-25.7	33.0	23.8	203.4	1.2
35	Darnell Washington thin prior (31 touches)	TE	PIT	10		39.1	-25.8	27.9	20.2	213.0	1.3
36	Darren Waller thin prior (32 touches)	TE	CAR	10		32.5	-32.4	24.5	17.5	160.4	1.3
37	Will Mallory thin prior (8 touches)	TE	IND	10		31.2	-33.7	22.8	16.2	166.3	1.1
38	Colby Parkinson thin prior (50 touches)	TE	LA	10		31.1	-33.9	21.5	15.4	152.6	1.3
39	Noah Gray thin prior (41 touches)	TE	KC	11		30.7	-34.2	22.7	15.9	160.5	1.1
40	Kenyon Sadiq thin prior (0 touches)	TE	NYJ	10		30.5	-34.5	24.8	15.7	159.6	1.1
41	Noah Fant thin prior (48 touches)	TE	NO	10		27.6	-37.3	19.6	14.7	147.7	0.9
42	Dawson Knox thin prior (42 touches)	TE	BUF	11		26.7	-38.2	18.5	13.1	141.8	1.0
43	Drew Sample thin prior (22 touches)	TE	CIN	11		26.6	-38.4	19.6	14.7	132.2	1.0
44	Foster Moreau thin prior (23 touches)	TE	HOU	10		25.6	-39.3	17.7	12.9	134.5	1.0
45	Gavin Bartholomew thin prior (0 touches)	TE	MIN	11		25.1	-39.9	19.8	13.0	131.4	0.9
46	Theo Johnson thin prior (50 touches)	TE	NYG	10		24.7	-40.2	17.9	12.0	130.5	0.9
47	Elijah Higgins thin prior (30 touches)	TE	ARI	10		23.3	-41.6	16.6	12.5	124.7	0.8
48	Brevyn Spann-Ford thin prior (11 touches)	TE	DAL	10		23.1	-41.9	16.7	11.9	120.5	0.8
49	Eli Raridon thin prior (0 touches)	TE	NE	10		23.0	-41.9	18.7	11.9	120.4	0.8
50	Daniel Bellinger thin prior (24 touches)	TE	TEN	10		22.4	-42.5	15.2	11.3	122.6	0.8
51	Nate Boerkircher thin prior (0 touches)	TE	JAX	11		22.3	-42.6	18.2	11.5	116.8	0.8
52	Adam Trautman thin prior (25 touches)	TE	DEN	10		20.6	-44.3	14.4	10.4	107.4	0.8
53	Austin Hooper thin prior (37 touches)	TE	ATL	10		20.1	-44.8	14.5	10.9	106.1	0.7
54	Payne Durham thin prior (8 touches)	TE	TB	10		19.1	-45.8	13.8	9.7	99.6	0.7
55	Will Kacmarek thin prior (0 touches)	TE	MIA	11		18.2	-46.7	14.8	9.4	95.2	0.7
56	Brock Wright thin prior (19 touches)	TE	DET	11		17.9	-47.0	13.0	9.4	88.8	0.7
57	Charlie Woerner thin prior (9 touches)	TE	ATL	10		17.7	-47.2	13.1	9.6	91.9	0.6
58	Blake Whiteheart thin prior (6 touches)	TE	CLE	10		16.5	-48.4	12.3	8.6	84.9	0.6
59	Davis Allen thin prior (23 touches)	TE	LA	10		16.3	-48.6	11.9	8.5	82.2	0.6
60	Jeremy Ruckert thin prior (27 touches)	TE	NYJ	10		15.1	-49.8	11.6	8.4	77.8	0.5
61	Josh Cuevas thin prior (0 touches)	TE	BAL	10		14.9	-50.0	12.1	7.7	77.9	0.5
62	Sam Roush thin prior (0 touches)	TE	CHI	10		14.3	-50.6	11.7	7.4	75.0	0.5
63	Ben Sinnott thin prior (8 touches)	TE	WAS	11		14.2	-50.7	10.1	7.5	73.1	0.5
64	Matthew Hibner thin prior (0 touches)	TE	BAL	10		14.0	-50.9	11.4	7.2	73.3	0.5
65	Mitchell Evans thin prior (12 touches)	TE	CAR	10		13.9	-51.0	10.5	7.7	69.8	0.5
66	John Bates thin prior (18 touches)	TE	WAS	11		13.8	-51.1	10.3	7.3	72.1	0.5
67	Mark Redman thin prior (0 touches)	TE	GB	9		13.0	-51.9	10.6	6.7	68.2	0.5
68	Nate Adkins thin prior (11 touches)	TE	DEN	10		12.9	-52.0	9.2	6.6	64.6	0.5
69	Johnny Mundt thin prior (22 touches)	TE	PHI	10		12.2	-52.7	9.7	6.7	62.7	0.4
70	Mo Alie-Cox thin prior (21 touches)	TE	IND	10		12.2	-52.7	9.4	6.5	61.9	0.5
71	Luke Schoonmaker thin prior (25 touches)	TE	DAL	10		12.0	-53.0	9.1	6.3	62.5	0.4
72	Luke Farrell thin prior (15 touches)	TE	SF	10		11.7	-53.2	8.4	6.2	59.5	0.4
73	Eric Saubert thin prior (8 touches)	TE	SEA	10		11.3	-53.6	8.7	6.3	57.3	0.4
74	Teagan Quitoriano thin prior (1 touches)	TE	ARI	10		10.0	-54.9	7.2	5.2	52.7	0.4
75	Ian Thomas thin prior (10 touches)	TE	LV	10		10.0	-54.9	7.2	5.4	52.5	0.3
76	Tyler Conklin thin prior (44 touches)	TE	DET	11		9.8	-55.1	7.5	5.3	52.2	0.3
77	Cam Grandy thin prior (2 touches)	TE	CIN	11		9.8	-55.1	7.1	5.2	50.9	0.4
78	Jake Briningstool thin prior (0 touches)	TE	KC	11		9.1	-55.9	7.4	4.7	47.4	0.3
79	Ben Yurosek thin prior (2 touches)	TE	MIN	11		8.8	-56.1	6.5	4.7	45.9	0.3
80	Tanner Koziol thin prior (0 touches)	TE	JAX	11		8.7	-56.2	7.1	4.5	45.6	0.3
81	Oscar Delp thin prior (0 touches)	TE	NO	10		8.2	-56.7	6.7	4.2	42.8	0.3
82	Seydou Traore thin prior (0 touches)	TE	MIA	11		7.8	-57.1	6.3	4.0	40.7	0.3
83	Robert Tonyan thin prior (4 touches)	TE	PIT	10		7.8	-57.2	6.0	4.3	39.9	0.3
84	Cade Stover thin prior (15 touches)	TE	HOU	10		7.6	-57.3	5.7	4.1	39.5	0.3
85	Jackson Hawes thin prior (10 touches)	TE	BUF	11		7.6	-57.4	5.1	3.8	39.1	0.3
86	Nick Kallerup thin prior (0 touches)	TE	SEA	10		7.4	-57.5	5.4	3.8	38.9	0.3
87	Hayden Rucci thin prior (0 touches)	TE	LAC	11		7.3	-57.6	5.3	3.8	38.5	0.3
88	David Martin-Robinson thin prior (4 touches)	TE	TEN	10		7.3	-57.6	5.3	3.8	37.7	0.3
89	Jonnu Smith	TE	GB	9		7.0	-57.9	5.2	3.8	35.0	0.3
90	Andrew Ogletree thin prior (11 touches)	TE	IND	10		7.0	-58.0	5.0	3.5	35.8	0.3
91	Jelani Woods thin prior (2 touches)	TE	NYJ	10		6.9	-58.0	5.0	3.6	36.0	0.3
92	Josh Whyle thin prior (17 touches)	TE	GB	9		6.2	-58.7	4.5	3.3	31.9	0.2
93	Eli Stowers thin prior (0 touches)	TE	PHI	10		6.2	-58.7	5.0	3.2	32.4	0.2
94	Ko Kieft thin prior (1 touches)	TE	TB	10		5.2	-59.7	3.7	2.7	26.9	0.2
95	Colson Yankoff thin prior (2 touches)	TE	WAS	11		5.0	-59.9	3.6	2.6	26.2	0.2
96	Cole Kmet	TE	CHI	1.7	IR · 1.7 of 10 g	4.5	-60.4	3.1	2.3	23.6	0.2
97	Quintin Morris thin prior (8 touches)	TE	JAX	11		4.4	-60.5	3.2	2.2	22.5	0.2
98	Erick All thin prior (7 touches)	TE	CIN	1.9	IR · 1.9 of 11 g	3.6	-61.3	2.6	1.9	19.0	0.1
99	Brevin Jordan thin prior (5 touches)	TE	HOU	10		3.4	-61.5	2.4	1.8	18.1	0.1
100	Brayden Willis thin prior (1 touches)	TE	SF	10		3.4	-61.5	2.5	1.7	17.7	0.1
101	Nick Muse thin prior (0 touches)	TE	ATL	10		3.3	-61.6	2.4	1.7	17.3	0.1
102	Cameron Latu thin prior (0 touches)	TE	NE	10		3.1	-61.8	2.2	1.6	16.2	0.1
103	Jackson Meeks thin prior (0 touches)	TE	DET	11		2.7	-62.2	2.2	1.2	15.4	0.1
104	Terrance Ferguson thin prior (12 touches)	TE	LA	1.5	IR · 1.5 of 10 g	2.7	-62.2	2.0	1.3	14.2	0.1
105	Tanner Hudson thin prior (29 touches)	TE	CIN	2.2	IR · 2.2 of 11 g	2.1	-62.8	1.6	1.2	10.8	0.1
106	Kylen Granson thin prior (24 touches)	TE	TEN	10		2.1	-62.8	1.6	1.1	11.5	0.1
107	Josh Oliver thin prior (24 touches)	TE	MIN	1.6	IR · 1.6 of 11 g	2.1	-62.8	1.4	1.0	10.4	0.1
108	Marlin Klein thin prior (0 touches)	TE	HOU	10		1.9	-63.0	1.6	1.0	10.0	0.1
109	Pharaoh Brown thin prior (8 touches)	TE	IND	10		1.9	-63.0	1.4	1.0	9.9	0.1
110	Thomas Fidone II thin prior (0 touches)	TE	NYG	10		1.8	-63.1	1.3	0.9	9.4	0.1
111	Bauer Sharp thin prior (0 touches)	TE	TB	10		1.4	-63.5	1.1	0.7	7.1	0.0
112	Treyton Welch thin prior (0 touches)	TE	NO	10		1.2	-63.7	1.0	0.6	6.6	0.0
113	Elijah Arroyo thin prior (13 touches)	TE	SEA	2.0	IR · 2.0 of 10 g	0.9	-64.0	0.7	0.5	4.5	0.0
114	Durham Smythe thin prior (17 touches)	TE	BAL	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	0.7	-64.2	0.6	0.4	3.9	0.0
115	Hunter Long thin prior (11 touches)	TE	ARI	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	0.6	-64.3	0.5	0.3	3.3	0.0
116	Tip Reiman thin prior (5 touches)	TE	ARI	3.5	PUP · 3.5 of 10 g	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
117	Nick Vannett thin prior (6 touches)	TE	BAL	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
118	Keleki Latu thin prior (2 touches)	TE	BUF	11		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
119	Feleipe Franks thin prior (1 touches)	TE	CAR	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
120	Ja'Tavion Sanders thin prior (30 touches)	TE	CAR	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
121	Hayden Large thin prior (0 touches)	TE	CHI	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
122	Nikola Kalinic thin prior (0 touches)	TE	CHI	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
123	Jack Endries thin prior (0 touches)	TE	CIN	11		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
124	Joe Royer thin prior (0 touches)	TE	CLE	0	RESERVE · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
125	Princeton Fant thin prior (0 touches)	TE	DAL	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
126	Dallen Bentley thin prior (0 touches)	TE	DEN	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
127	Caleb Lohner thin prior (0 touches)	TE	DEN	6.5	IR · 6.5 of 10 g	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
128	Luke Musgrave thin prior (28 touches)	TE	GB	3.7	PUP · 3.7 of 9 g	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
129	Thomas Yassmin thin prior (0 touches)	TE	GB	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
130	Carson Towt thin prior (0 touches)	TE	IND	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
131	Jared Wiley thin prior (1 touches)	TE	KC	11		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
132	John Michael Gyllenborg thin prior (0 touches)	TE	KC	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
133	Max Klare thin prior (0 touches)	TE	LA	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
134	David Njoku	TE	LAC	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
135	Carter Runyon thin prior (0 touches)	TE	LV	6.3	IR · 6.3 of 10 g	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
136	Justin Joly thin prior (0 touches)	TE	MIA	11		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
137	Cole Turner thin prior (3 touches)	TE	MIA	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
138	Tanner Arkin thin prior (0 touches)	TE	NE	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
139	Julian Hill thin prior (18 touches)	TE	NE	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
140	Moliki Matavao thin prior (1 touches)	TE	NO	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
141	Andrew Beck ⚠	TE	NYJ	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
142	Grant Calcaterra thin prior (16 touches)	TE	PHI	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
143	Jake Tonges thin prior (23 touches)	TE	SF	10		0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
144	Jaren Kanak thin prior (0 touches)	TE	TEN	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-64.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

VORP = this player's points minus the points of the last startable player at his position (hover the VORP cell to see who). Baseline rank = teams × starters, with FLEX split RB/WR/TE 45/45/10.

Known limitations

Thin priors over-projected QBs. Efficiency comes from 2023–25, regressed toward the league average by sample size. Over Weeks 1–4, QB1s whose prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted dropbacks were projected +3.9 PPR a game too high (9 QBs; established QB1s +0.1). Those rows carry a thin prior chip. From Week 7 (model n8-v3) a QB's passing rates also read his own 2026 dropbacks, weighted against the prior's sample plus a fixed anchor, so a few snaps barely move them. On Weeks 5–6 this halved the thin-QB bias. Rushing rates and the game lines still use the prior: the game-level check of the same change failed.
Team pass volume is a 2023–25 prior too; in-season, only player shares blend toward what is observed. Blending team volume in-season was tested twice and lost to the prior both times.