NFL Player Projections
Week 2 — opponent-adjusted (this week's defence, home/away), availability-weighted, byes zeroed. Components (volume × efficiency) with scoring applied as a view. Model n8-v2 · updated 39d ago.
League & scoring settings — server-side, from your stored component projections; the URL is the saved config
115 players · ranked by VORP under dk_classic scoring, 12-team league (1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1FLEX). thin prior (n) = the efficiency prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted 2023–25 dropbacks (QB) or 55 touches (RB/WR/TE), so the league average carries about half or more of the line's efficiency; ⚠ = low-sample / rookie (archetype-driven). A designation like Q · 60% means the line is weighted by that play probability; BYE rows project 0 and are kept visible.
Replacement level (VORP is measured against these): QB12 Baker Mayfield · 17.9 pts · RB29 Omarion Hampton · 10.4 pts · WR41 KC Concepcion · 9.6 pts · TE13 Cade Otton · 8.5 pts
| # | Player | Pos | Tm | Opp | Status | Pts | VORP | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | RecTD | Car | RuYd | RuTD | PaAtt | PaYd | PaTD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | vs SEA | 14.0 | +5.5 | 7.9 | 5.9 | 58.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2 | Michael Mayer thin prior (43 touches) | TE | LV | @ LAC | 11.0 | +2.5 | 6.9 | 4.9 | 44.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 3 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | vs CIN | 10.8 | +2.3 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 47.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 4 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | vs IND | 10.3 | +1.9 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 42.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 5 | George Kittle | TE | SF | vs MIA | 9.4 | +1.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 41.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 6 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | vs WAS | 9.3 | +0.8 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 37.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 7 | Isaiah Likely thin prior (43 touches) | TE | NYG | @ LA | 9.3 | +0.8 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 38.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 8 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | vs NO | 9.0 | +0.5 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 35.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 9 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | @ BUF | 8.9 | +0.4 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 36.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 10 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | vs DET | 8.7 | +0.2 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 37.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 11 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | @ TEN | 8.6 | +0.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 34.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 12 | Tucker Kraft thin prior (51 touches) | TE | GB | @ NYJ | 8.5 | +0.1 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 37.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 13 | Cade Otton | TE | TB | vs CLE | 8.5 | +0.0 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 35.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 14 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | @ BAL | 8.1 | -0.4 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 34.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 15 | Mike Gesicki thin prior (55 touches) | TE | CIN | @ HOU | 8.0 | -0.5 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 31.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 16 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | vs CAR | 7.9 | -0.6 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 35.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 17 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | @ CHI | 7.9 | -0.6 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 32.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 18 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | vs PIT | 7.7 | -0.7 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 32.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 19 | Brenton Strange thin prior (48 touches) | TE | JAX | @ DEN | 7.7 | -0.8 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 31.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 20 | Charlie Kolar thin prior (13 touches) | TE | LAC | vs LV | 7.5 | -1.0 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 32.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 21 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | @ KC | 7.4 | -1.0 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 30.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 22 | Tommy Tremble thin prior (34 touches) | TE | CAR | @ ATL | 7.3 | -1.1 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 29.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 23 | Colby Parkinson thin prior (50 touches) | TE | LA | vs NYG | 7.3 | -1.2 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 29.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 24 | Harold Fannin Jr. thin prior (54 touches) | TE | CLE | @ TB | 7.1 | -1.4 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 28.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 25 | Evan Engram | TE | DEN | vs JAX | 6.8 | -1.6 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 27.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 26 | Mason Taylor thin prior (32 touches) | TE | NYJ | vs GB | 6.7 | -1.8 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 27.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 27 | AJ Barner thin prior (45 touches) | TE | SEA | @ ARI | 6.7 | -1.8 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 26.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 28 | Gunnar Helm thin prior (28 touches) | TE | TEN | vs PHI | 6.5 | -1.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 26.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 29 | John Bates thin prior (18 touches) | TE | WAS | @ DAL | 6.5 | -2.0 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 26.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 30 | Colston Loveland thin prior (41 touches) | TE | CHI | vs MIN | 6.4 | -2.1 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 26.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 31 | Greg Dulcich thin prior (21 touches) | TE | MIA | @ SF | 6.3 | -2.2 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 26.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 32 | Darnell Washington thin prior (31 touches) | TE | PIT | @ NE | 5.7 | -2.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 24.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 33 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | @ NE | 4.9 | -3.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 20.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 34 | Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | vs MIN | 4.7 | -3.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 19.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 35 | David Njoku ⚠ | TE | LAC | vs LV | 4.3 | -4.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 17.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 36 | Josh Oliver thin prior (24 touches) | TE | MIN | @ CHI | 4.0 | -4.5 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 15.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 37 | Noah Fant thin prior (48 touches) | TE | NO | @ BAL | 3.9 | -4.6 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 16.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 38 | Adam Trautman thin prior (25 touches) | TE | DEN | vs JAX | 3.6 | -4.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 15.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 39 | Brevyn Spann-Ford thin prior (11 touches) | TE | DAL | vs WAS | 3.4 | -5.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 15.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 40 | Kenyon Sadiq thin prior (0 touches) | TE | NYJ | vs GB | 3.4 | -5.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 14.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 41 | Tyler Higbee thin prior (36 touches) | TE | LA | vs NYG | 3.4 | -5.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 14.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 42 | Foster Moreau thin prior (23 touches) | TE | HOU | vs CIN | 3.4 | -5.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 14.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 43 | Noah Gray thin prior (41 touches) | TE | KC | vs IND | 3.2 | -5.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 13.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 44 | Drew Sample thin prior (22 touches) | TE | CIN | @ HOU | 3.2 | -5.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 12.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 45 | Dawson Knox thin prior (42 touches) | TE | BUF | vs DET | 3.1 | -5.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 13.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 46 | Theo Johnson thin prior (50 touches) | TE | NYG | @ LA | 3.0 | -5.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 12.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 47 | Jonnu Smith ⚠ | TE | GB | @ NYJ | 2.9 | -5.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 11.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 48 | Elijah Higgins thin prior (30 touches) | TE | ARI | vs SEA | 2.8 | -5.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 12.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 49 | Luke Farrell thin prior (15 touches) | TE | SF | vs MIA | 2.7 | -5.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 11.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 50 | Payne Durham thin prior (8 touches) | TE | TB | vs CLE | 2.7 | -5.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 11.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 51 | Blake Whiteheart thin prior (6 touches) | TE | CLE | @ TB | 2.7 | -5.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 10.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 52 | Mitchell Evans thin prior (12 touches) | TE | CAR | @ ATL | 2.7 | -5.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 10.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 53 | Ben Sinnott thin prior (8 touches) | TE | WAS | @ DAL | 2.6 | -5.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 10.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 54 | Mo Alie-Cox thin prior (21 touches) | TE | IND | @ KC | 2.5 | -6.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 9.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 55 | Nate Boerkircher thin prior (0 touches) | TE | JAX | @ DEN | 2.5 | -6.0 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 10.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 56 | Charlie Woerner thin prior (9 touches) | TE | ATL | vs CAR | 2.5 | -6.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 10.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 57 | Daniel Bellinger thin prior (24 touches) | TE | TEN | vs PHI | 2.4 | -6.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 10.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 58 | Oronde Gadsden II thin prior (34 touches) | TE | LAC | vs LV | 2.4 | -6.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 10.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 59 | Ian Thomas thin prior (10 touches) | TE | LV | @ LAC | 2.4 | -6.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 9.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 60 | Durham Smythe thin prior (17 touches) | TE | BAL | vs NO | 2.3 | -6.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 9.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 61 | Brock Wright thin prior (19 touches) | TE | DET | @ BUF | 2.2 | -6.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 62 | Johnny Mundt thin prior (22 touches) | TE | PHI | @ TEN | 2.2 | -6.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 9.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 63 | Eli Raridon thin prior (0 touches) | TE | NE | vs PIT | 2.2 | -6.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 9.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 64 | Will Kacmarek thin prior (0 touches) | TE | MIA | @ SF | 2.2 | -6.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 9.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 65 | Eric Saubert thin prior (8 touches) | TE | SEA | @ ARI | 2.0 | -6.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 66 | Luke Schoonmaker thin prior (25 touches) | TE | DAL | vs WAS | 1.8 | -6.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 67 | Jeremy Ruckert thin prior (27 touches) | TE | NYJ | vs GB | 1.7 | -6.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 68 | Darren Waller thin prior (32 touches) | TE | CAR | @ ATL | 1.5 | -7.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 69 | Quintin Morris thin prior (8 touches) | TE | JAX | @ DEN | 1.4 | -7.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 70 | Terrance Ferguson thin prior (12 touches) | TE | LA | vs NYG | 1.4 | -7.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 71 | Jake Briningstool thin prior (0 touches) | TE | KC | vs IND | 1.3 | -7.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 72 | Andrew Ogletree thin prior (11 touches) | TE | IND | @ KC | 1.2 | -7.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 73 | Marlin Klein thin prior (0 touches) | TE | HOU | vs CIN | 1.2 | -7.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 74 | Erick All thin prior (7 touches) | TE | CIN | @ HOU | 1.1 | -7.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 75 | Ko Kieft thin prior (1 touches) | TE | TB | vs CLE | 1.1 | -7.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 76 | Jackson Hawes thin prior (10 touches) | TE | BUF | vs DET | 1.1 | -7.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 77 | Josh Whyle thin prior (17 touches) | TE | GB | @ NYJ | 1.1 | -7.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 78 | Austin Hooper thin prior (37 touches) | TE | ATL | vs CAR | 1.1 | -7.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 79 | Cameron Latu thin prior (0 touches) | TE | NE | vs PIT | 1.1 | -7.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 80 | Brayden Willis thin prior (1 touches) | TE | SF | vs MIA | 1.1 | -7.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 81 | Matthew Hibner thin prior (0 touches) | TE | BAL | vs NO | 1.1 | -7.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 82 | Elijah Arroyo thin prior (13 touches) | TE | SEA | @ ARI | 1.0 | -7.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 83 | Tyler Conklin thin prior (44 touches) | TE | DET | @ BUF | 1.0 | -7.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 84 | Sam Roush thin prior (0 touches) | TE | CHI | vs MIN | 1.0 | -7.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 85 | E.J. Jenkins thin prior (1 touches) | TE | PHI | @ TEN | 1.0 | -7.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 86 | Robert Tonyan thin prior (4 touches) | TE | PIT | @ NE | 1.0 | -7.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 87 | Oscar Delp thin prior (0 touches) | TE | NO | @ BAL | 0.9 | -7.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 88 | Seydou Traore thin prior (0 touches) | TE | MIA | @ SF | 0.9 | -7.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 89 | David Martin-Robinson thin prior (4 touches) | TE | TEN | vs PHI | 0.9 | -7.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 90 | Nate Adkins thin prior (11 touches) | TE | DEN | vs JAX | 0.9 | -7.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 91 | Gavin Bartholomew thin prior (0 touches) | TE | MIN | @ CHI | 0.9 | -7.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 92 | Hunter Long thin prior (11 touches) | TE | ARI | vs SEA | 0.9 | -7.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 93 | Carsen Ryan thin prior (0 touches) | TE | CLE | @ TB | 0.8 | -7.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 94 | Colson Yankoff thin prior (2 touches) | TE | WAS | @ DAL | 0.8 | -7.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 95 | Davis Allen thin prior (23 touches) | TE | LA | vs NYG | 0.4 | -8.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 96 | Cade Stover thin prior (15 touches) | TE | HOU | vs CIN | 0.3 | -8.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 97 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | @ LAC | D · 2% | 0.2 | -8.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 98 | Nick Muse thin prior (0 touches) | TE | ATL | vs CAR | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 99 | Josh Cuevas thin prior (0 touches) | TE | BAL | vs NO | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 100 | Keleki Latu thin prior (2 touches) | TE | BUF | vs DET | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 101 | Feleipe Franks thin prior (1 touches) | TE | CAR | @ ATL | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 102 | Jack Endries thin prior (0 touches) | TE | CIN | @ HOU | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 103 | Dallen Bentley thin prior (0 touches) | TE | DEN | vs JAX | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 104 | Jackson Meeks thin prior (0 touches) | TE | DET | @ BUF | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 105 | Mark Redman thin prior (0 touches) | TE | GB | @ NYJ | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 106 | Jared Wiley thin prior (1 touches) | TE | KC | vs IND | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 107 | Max Klare thin prior (0 touches) | TE | LA | vs NYG | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 108 | Chris Myarick thin prior (0 touches) | TE | LV | @ LAC | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 109 | Justin Joly thin prior (0 touches) | TE | MIA | @ SF | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 110 | Treyton Welch thin prior (0 touches) | TE | NO | @ BAL | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 111 | Thomas Fidone II thin prior (0 touches) | TE | NYG | @ LA | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 112 | Andrew Beck ⚠ | TE | NYJ | vs GB | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 113 | Jelani Woods thin prior (2 touches) | TE | NYJ | vs GB | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 114 | Nick Kallerup thin prior (0 touches) | TE | SEA | @ ARI | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 115 | Bauer Sharp thin prior (0 touches) | TE | TB | vs CLE | 0.0 | -8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
VORP = this player's points minus the points of the last startable player at his position (hover the VORP cell to see who). Baseline rank = teams × starters, with FLEX split RB/WR/TE 45/45/10.
Known limitations
- Thin priors over-projected QBs. Efficiency comes from 2023–25, regressed toward the league average by sample size. Over Weeks 1–4, QB1s whose prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted dropbacks were projected +3.9 PPR a game too high (9 QBs; established QB1s +0.1). Those rows carry a thin prior chip. From Week 7 (model n8-v3) a QB's passing rates also read his own 2026 dropbacks, weighted against the prior's sample plus a fixed anchor, so a few snaps barely move them. On Weeks 5–6 this halved the thin-QB bias. Rushing rates and the game lines still use the prior: the game-level check of the same change failed.
- Team pass volume is a 2023–25 prior too; in-season, only player shares blend toward what is observed. Blending team volume in-season was tested twice and lost to the prior both times.