NFL Player Projections

Rest of season, opponent-neutral: each player's per-game line × G, his team's remaining regular-season games as of the run. A player on a reserve list (IR, PUP, NFI, suspended) has G cut to the games he is expected back for, and his row says so; out for season is a 0 that means it. Components (volume × efficiency) with scoring applied as a view. Model n8-v3 · updated 6h ago.

Week: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8• Season Position: All QB RB WR TE

Scoring: PPR Half Standard DK Rank by: VORP Points ⬇ CSV

League & scoring settings — server-side, from your stored component projections; the URL is the saved config

133 players · ranked by VORP under half_ppr scoring, 12-team league (1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1FLEX). thin prior (n) = the efficiency prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted 2023–25 dropbacks (QB) or 55 touches (RB/WR/TE), so the league average carries about half or more of the line's efficiency; ⚠ = low-sample / rookie (archetype-driven).

Replacement level (VORP is measured against these): QB12 Lamar Jackson · 187.3 pts · RB29 Jeremiyah Love · 84.6 pts · WR41 Rome Odunze · 73.9 pts · TE13 Greg Dulcich · 64.9 pts

#	Player	Pos	Tm	G	Status	Pts	VORP	Tgt	Rec	RecYd	RecTD	Car	RuYd	RuTD
1	Jahmyr Gibbs	RB	DET	11		238.0	+153.4	54.3	43.3	346.4	2.1	210.8	1090.3	10.3
2	Bijan Robinson	RB	ATL	10		171.7	+87.1	46.5	36.0	312.0	1.5	168.7	831.5	5.3
3	James Cook	RB	BUF	11		168.8	+84.2	27.7	22.3	176.2	1.0	192.2	929.1	7.3
4	Kenneth Walker III ⚠	RB	KC	11		155.4	+70.8	43.5	35.4	271.6	1.1	168.9	729.7	5.2
5	Jonathan Taylor	RB	IND	10		152.2	+67.6	30.5	23.8	179.2	0.9	165.1	761.7	6.9
6	Chase Brown	RB	CIN	11		144.9	+60.3	49.1	39.1	273.3	2.0	144.6	627.4	4.1
7	Kyren Williams	RB	LA	10		139.6	+55.0	37.9	29.0	207.2	1.4	141.0	642.3	5.5
8	Bhayshul Tuten thin prior (42 touches)	RB	JAX	11		129.0	+44.4	31.0	24.0	182.3	1.1	144.7	595.7	5.6
9	Javonte Williams	RB	DAL	10		125.3	+40.8	30.4	23.0	144.2	0.9	151.1	650.3	5.0
10	Derrick Henry	RB	BAL	10		120.0	+35.4	17.5	13.7	85.2	0.4	172.2	683.8	5.9
11	Bucky Irving	RB	TB	10		119.1	+34.5	34.0	28.0	226.5	1.2	130.4	566.0	3.3
12	Jaylen Warren	RB	PIT	10		117.5	+33.0	33.6	27.4	195.6	0.9	137.2	590.5	3.5
13	Christian McCaffrey	RB	SF	10		115.8	+31.2	47.2	37.3	265.4	1.6	115.5	417.1	3.3
14	Ashton Jeanty	RB	LV	10		112.2	+27.6	40.9	31.6	219.9	1.6	122.7	472.2	3.0
15	Chuba Hubbard	RB	CAR	10		108.1	+23.5	26.9	21.4	140.0	0.9	138.5	571.7	3.6
16	D'Andre Swift	RB	CHI	10		105.6	+21.0	32.0	24.6	188.0	0.8	114.0	495.2	3.5
17	Ollie Gordon II thin prior (35 touches)	RB	MIA	11		101.7	+17.1	25.6	20.1	144.2	0.8	126.7	472.3	4.2
18	Omarion Hampton	RB	LAC	11		101.3	+16.7	23.6	19.3	134.7	0.7	119.4	518.8	3.7
19	Breece Hall	RB	NYJ	10		100.6	+16.0	28.1	21.7	179.5	0.9	115.2	509.4	2.8
20	Cam Skattebo thin prior (50 touches)	RB	NYG	10		98.0	+13.4	22.0	17.0	133.2	0.8	112.0	477.5	4.1
21	Tony Pollard	RB	TEN	10		97.7	+13.1	24.7	19.3	116.5	0.5	144.7	557.0	3.2
22	Quinshon Judkins	RB	CLE	10		95.3	+10.7	31.8	24.4	175.9	0.8	107.1	409.1	3.3
23	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	NE	10		93.2	+8.6	27.9	22.3	162.9	0.8	102.9	413.0	3.5
24	David Montgomery ⚠	RB	HOU	10		92.4	+7.8	20.5	16.5	116.2	0.5	109.7	435.7	4.6
25	Zach Charbonnet	RB	SEA	10		87.1	+2.5	26.5	21.2	159.5	0.7	81.6	343.8	3.7
26	Rachaad White ⚠	RB	WAS	11		85.3	+0.7	28.8	24.2	170.1	1.0	89.6	363.1	2.4
27	J.K. Dobbins	RB	DEN	10		85.1	+0.6	18.5	14.7	91.7	0.5	103.9	462.4	3.3
28	Jordan Mason	RB	MIN	11		84.6	+0.0	23.4	18.6	127.2	0.6	91.5	425.1	2.9
29	Jeremiyah Love thin prior (0 touches)	RB	ARI	10		84.6	+0.0	26.0	18.0	132.7	0.7	109.0	411.4	3.0
30	Josh Jacobs	RB	GB	9		83.4	-1.2	25.3	19.9	148.2	0.7	88.7	343.8	3.6
31	Aaron Jones	RB	MIN	11		76.7	-7.9	28.4	21.7	126.8	0.7	111.9	379.6	2.0
32	Alvin Kamara	RB	NO	10		74.6	-10.0	37.0	29.7	177.3	0.8	81.5	275.8	1.7
33	Keaton Mitchell thin prior (43 touches)	RB	LAC	11		72.7	-11.9	22.8	17.8	137.9	0.7	67.9	348.2	2.0
34	Braelon Allen thin prior (37 touches)	RB	NYJ	10		70.3	-14.2	20.5	15.8	117.8	0.6	80.5	328.7	2.5
35	Saquon Barkley	RB	PHI	10		67.3	-17.3	18.6	14.1	94.9	0.6	82.6	342.0	2.2
36	Blake Corum	RB	LA	10		67.2	-17.4	14.3	10.9	78.4	0.4	79.0	365.7	2.5
37	Woody Marks	RB	HOU	10		65.9	-18.7	18.4	13.9	106.5	0.7	86.7	333.0	1.9
38	Rico Dowdle ⚠	RB	PIT	10		65.8	-18.8	22.0	17.3	120.4	0.7	73.9	314.4	1.7
39	Emanuel Wilson ⚠	RB	SEA	10		64.9	-19.7	12.1	9.6	66.6	0.3	86.4	364.7	2.5
40	TreVeyon Henderson	RB	NE	10		64.3	-20.2	10.9	8.7	62.7	0.3	72.2	351.1	2.9
41	RJ Harvey	RB	DEN	10		63.1	-21.5	32.3	25.6	194.7	1.3	36.5	147.4	1.4
42	Kendre Miller thin prior (43 touches)	RB	NO	10		63.1	-21.5	16.0	12.7	96.5	0.5	74.3	314.1	2.2
43	Kyle Monangai	RB	CHI	10		62.8	-21.8	13.3	9.8	77.3	0.4	74.7	342.7	2.3
44	Brian Robinson ⚠	RB	ATL	10		62.0	-22.6	12.5	9.8	71.7	0.4	80.2	335.3	2.5
45	Chris Rodriguez Jr. ⚠	RB	JAX	11		61.8	-22.8	9.4	7.4	54.5	0.3	77.1	337.0	2.9
46	Tyler Allgeier ⚠	RB	ARI	10		58.9	-25.7	17.2	13.9	104.0	0.5	63.5	254.9	2.2
47	Kenny Gainwell ⚠	RB	TB	10		57.8	-26.8	22.6	18.4	125.9	0.6	52.9	227.5	1.7
48	Tyler Goodson thin prior (17 touches)	RB	DAL	10		56.9	-27.7	14.3	11.1	79.1	0.4	67.5	292.8	2.0
49	Tyjae Spears	RB	TEN	10		53.3	-31.3	25.0	20.4	145.3	0.6	40.6	170.8	1.3
50	MarShawn Lloyd thin prior (2 touches)	RB	GB	9		52.4	-32.2	12.4	9.7	73.0	0.4	62.1	268.0	1.9
51	Jonah Coleman thin prior (0 touches)	RB	DEN	10		50.9	-33.7	15.4	10.6	78.3	0.4	66.1	249.5	1.8
52	Kaelon Black thin prior (0 touches)	RB	SF	10		48.8	-35.8	9.5	6.6	48.5	0.3	73.3	276.6	2.0
53	Ty Johnson thin prior (43 touches)	RB	BUF	11		48.0	-36.6	24.7	19.0	151.4	0.9	32.1	125.5	1.0
54	Samaje Perine	RB	CIN	11		46.8	-37.8	16.8	13.5	89.9	0.4	55.4	208.2	1.5
55	Jaydon Blue thin prior (19 touches)	RB	PHI	10		45.5	-39.1	11.4	8.9	65.8	0.3	56.2	228.3	1.7
56	Kimani Vidal	RB	LAC	11		45.2	-39.4	17.2	13.2	103.5	0.6	43.6	184.9	1.1
57	Trevor Etienne thin prior (10 touches)	RB	CAR	10		44.6	-40.0	13.0	10.2	74.5	0.4	49.4	215.0	1.4
58	Sione Vaki thin prior (2 touches)	RB	DET	11		43.8	-40.8	11.2	8.8	67.5	0.3	50.1	215.9	1.6
59	Travis Etienne ⚠	RB	NO	10		43.2	-41.4	17.1	13.0	96.0	0.6	40.9	164.0	1.2
60	Emmett Johnson thin prior (0 touches)	RB	KC	11		42.4	-42.2	18.4	12.7	93.7	0.5	44.4	167.6	1.2
61	Justice Hill thin prior (40 touches)	RB	BAL	10		41.8	-42.8	18.1	14.2	99.6	0.5	36.7	149.1	1.2
62	Devin Singletary	RB	NYG	10		41.6	-43.0	15.9	13.0	84.6	0.4	46.6	167.5	1.3
63	Mike Washington Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	RB	LV	10		39.9	-44.7	9.4	6.5	47.8	0.3	56.9	214.7	1.5
64	Dylan Sampson thin prior (32 touches)	RB	CLE	10		38.3	-46.3	14.3	11.4	86.7	0.5	41.1	152.0	1.0
65	Jaylen Wright	RB	MIA	11		38.1	-46.5	8.1	6.1	45.4	0.2	52.0	214.2	1.4
66	Seth McGowan thin prior (0 touches)	RB	IND	10		35.4	-49.2	9.1	6.2	46.1	0.2	49.1	185.5	1.3
67	Bam Knight thin prior (42 touches)	RB	ARI	10		33.7	-50.9	10.1	7.7	58.1	0.3	36.9	145.3	1.3
68	Austin Ekeler	RB	WAS	11		33.5	-51.1	13.7	10.6	72.8	0.3	38.3	132.9	1.0
69	Roschon Johnson thin prior (34 touches)	RB	CHI	10		33.1	-51.5	13.1	10.4	75.7	0.4	28.4	117.7	1.1
70	Pierre Strong thin prior (20 touches)	RB	GB	9		31.7	-52.9	13.0	10.0	70.4	0.4	31.1	128.1	0.8
71	George Holani thin prior (12 touches)	RB	SEA	10		30.9	-53.7	13.1	10.3	74.1	0.4	27.7	111.9	0.9
72	Tyrone Tracy Jr.	RB	NYG	10		29.5	-55.1	9.1	6.9	51.5	0.3	34.8	145.7	0.8
73	Corey Kiner thin prior (6 touches)	RB	NE	10		27.5	-57.0	3.4	2.6	19.9	0.1	38.3	169.5	1.2
74	Sean Tucker	RB	TB	10		26.2	-58.4	3.7	2.9	21.8	0.1	31.9	138.1	1.4
75	Kaytron Allen thin prior (0 touches)	RB	MIA	11		22.6	-62.0	3.6	2.5	18.4	0.1	35.5	134.1	1.0
76	Jeremy McNichols thin prior (38 touches)	RB	WAS	11		22.6	-62.0	5.1	4.0	25.0	0.1	31.6	121.9	0.9
77	Jaleel McLaughlin ⚠	RB	CLE	10		22.5	-62.1	9.0	7.2	47.4	0.3	20.4	93.1	0.5
78	CJ Donaldson thin prior (0 touches)	RB	NO	10		20.8	-63.8	7.3	5.0	37.2	0.2	25.1	94.9	0.7
79	Emari Demercado thin prior (41 touches)	RB	HOU	10		20.6	-64.0	3.8	2.9	20.5	0.1	24.2	127.8	0.7
80	Ray Davis	RB	BUF	11		20.2	-64.3	6.4	5.1	39.3	0.3	21.5	90.5	0.5
81	Jadarian Price thin prior (0 touches)	RB	SEA	8.1	IR · 8.1 of 10 g	19.6	-65.0	6.9	4.8	35.2	0.2	23.5	88.8	0.6
82	Isaiah Davis thin prior (30 touches)	RB	NYJ	10		19.3	-65.3	7.5	5.8	45.5	0.2	15.9	77.0	0.5
83	Kaleb Johnson thin prior (14 touches)	RB	GB	9		19.0	-65.6	3.6	2.8	20.6	0.1	27.0	105.7	0.8
84	Jaydn Ott thin prior (0 touches)	RB	KC	11		18.8	-65.8	6.4	4.4	32.8	0.2	22.9	86.4	0.6
85	AJ Dillon thin prior (42 touches)	RB	CAR	10		18.7	-65.9	5.0	3.9	28.4	0.1	24.9	95.0	0.6
86	LeQuint Allen Jr. thin prior (12 touches)	RB	JAX	11		18.6	-66.0	9.2	7.3	52.6	0.3	13.6	57.9	0.4
87	DJ Giddens thin prior (13 touches)	RB	IND	10		17.7	-66.9	5.7	4.3	32.2	0.2	19.5	81.3	0.5
88	Audric Estimé thin prior (46 touches)	RB	CLE	10		16.5	-68.1	4.6	3.7	27.8	0.1	18.7	79.3	0.5
89	Demond Claiborne thin prior (0 touches)	RB	MIN	11		15.3	-69.3	5.6	3.9	28.5	0.1	18.0	67.8	0.5
90	Jordan James thin prior (0 touches)	RB	SF	10		14.1	-70.5	3.7	2.7	19.7	0.1	18.1	72.2	0.5
91	Ameer Abdullah thin prior (30 touches)	RB	JAX	11		13.4	-71.2	6.4	5.2	28.4	0.2	14.4	50.1	0.4
92	Jacory Croskey-Merritt	RB	WAS	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 11 g	13.4	-71.2	2.0	1.6	11.9	0.1	16.5	75.3	0.6
93	Anthony Tyus III thin prior (0 touches)	RB	CAR	10		13.2	-71.3	3.5	2.4	17.8	0.1	18.2	68.5	0.5
94	Tahj Brooks thin prior (8 touches)	RB	CIN	11		13.2	-71.4	3.6	2.8	21.1	0.1	15.3	64.0	0.5
95	Velus Jones Jr. thin prior (2 touches)	RB	SEA	10		12.8	-71.8	4.2	2.7	33.1	0.2	11.3	48.5	0.3
96	Dylan Laube thin prior (4 touches)	RB	LV	10		12.3	-72.2	4.8	3.8	27.2	0.1	12.2	48.7	0.4
97	Travis Homer thin prior (2 touches)	RB	PIT	10		12.1	-72.5	2.4	1.9	12.9	0.1	16.7	67.1	0.5
98	Isaac Guerendo thin prior (25 touches)	RB	SF	10		11.5	-73.0	4.9	3.9	29.6	0.1	8.9	40.2	0.3
99	Nicholas Singleton thin prior (0 touches)	RB	TEN	10		11.4	-73.2	3.6	2.5	18.4	0.1	14.4	54.5	0.4
100	Dean Connors thin prior (0 touches)	RB	LA	10		10.9	-73.7	3.3	2.3	17.0	0.1	14.2	53.4	0.4
101	Rasheen Ali thin prior (6 touches)	RB	BAL	10		10.2	-74.3	1.8	1.4	10.8	0.1	13.5	57.5	0.4
102	Jacob Saylors thin prior (1 touches)	RB	DET	11		10.2	-74.4	2.6	2.1	15.3	0.1	11.8	50.7	0.4
103	Evan Hull thin prior (10 touches)	RB	ARI	10		9.8	-74.8	5.7	4.5	32.9	0.2	5.6	22.6	0.2
104	Julius Chestnut thin prior (12 touches)	RB	TEN	10		8.0	-76.6	2.4	1.8	13.4	0.1	9.0	38.5	0.3
105	Dameon Pierce thin prior (48 touches)	RB	PHI	1.7	IR · 1.7 of 10 g	7.6	-77.0	1.6	1.3	9.2	0.0	10.0	41.2	0.3
106	Tank Bigsby	RB	PHI	2.4	IR · 2.4 of 10 g	7.5	-77.1	1.6	1.2	9.1	0.0	8.7	40.3	0.3
107	Dare Ogunbowale thin prior (16 touches)	RB	HOU	10		7.2	-77.4	4.9	3.7	22.4	0.1	5.4	17.1	0.1
108	Zavier Scott thin prior (16 touches)	RB	CHI	10		6.5	-78.1	3.5	2.8	20.0	0.1	4.5	18.2	0.1
109	Lew Nichols III thin prior (0 touches)	RB	PIT	10		6.2	-78.3	2.4	1.9	13.9	0.1	5.6	24.6	0.2
110	Adam Randall thin prior (0 touches)	RB	BAL	6.3	IR · 6.3 of 10 g	5.7	-78.9	2.9	2.0	14.9	0.1	5.1	19.2	0.1
111	Will Shipley thin prior (16 touches)	RB	PHI	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	5.4	-79.2	2.2	1.7	12.6	0.1	5.1	20.9	0.1
112	Kene Nwangwu thin prior (8 touches)	RB	NYJ	10		5.0	-79.6	2.9	2.2	15.7	0.1	3.2	12.9	0.1
113	Raheim Sanders thin prior (14 touches)	RB	CLE	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 10 g	4.7	-79.9	3.1	2.4	18.2	0.1	1.9	7.9	0.1
114	Michael Carter	RB	TEN	10		4.6	-80.0	1.9	1.5	10.6	0.0	4.6	18.5	0.1
115	Chris Brooks thin prior (28 touches)	RB	GB	2.3	IR · 2.3 of 9 g	4.0	-80.6	0.9	0.7	5.2	0.0	4.9	21.5	0.1
116	Tyler Badie thin prior (16 touches)	RB	DEN	2.0	IR · 2.0 of 10 g	3.3	-81.3	2.1	1.6	11.2	0.1	1.8	7.8	0.1
117	Brashard Smith thin prior (22 touches)	RB	KC	2.2	IR · 2.2 of 11 g	2.0	-82.6	1.3	1.0	7.0	0.0	1.1	4.5	0.0
118	James Conner	RB	ARI	6.2	IR · 6.2 of 10 g	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
119	Trey Benson thin prior (33 touches)	RB	ARI	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
120	Trey Sermon thin prior (24 touches)	RB	ATL	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
121	Jonathon Brooks thin prior (3 touches)	RB	CAR	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
122	Brittain Brown thin prior (2 touches)	RB	CHI	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
123	Malik Davis thin prior (26 touches)	RB	DAL	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
124	Isiah Pacheco	RB	DET	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
125	British Brooks thin prior (9 touches)	RB	HOU	10		0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
126	Ronnie Rivers thin prior (18 touches)	RB	LA	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
127	Chris Collier thin prior (2 touches)	RB	LV	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
128	De'Von Achane	RB	MIA	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
129	Myles Montgomery thin prior (0 touches)	RB	NE	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
130	Ty Chandler thin prior (46 touches)	RB	NO	10		0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
131	Chip Trayanum thin prior (0 touches)	RB	NYJ	0	IR · out for season	0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
132	Eli Heidenreich thin prior (0 touches)	RB	PIT	10		0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
133	Robert Henry Jr. thin prior (0 touches)	RB	SEA	10		0.0	-84.6	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

VORP = this player's points minus the points of the last startable player at his position (hover the VORP cell to see who). Baseline rank = teams × starters, with FLEX split RB/WR/TE 45/45/10.

Known limitations

Thin priors over-projected QBs. Efficiency comes from 2023–25, regressed toward the league average by sample size. Over Weeks 1–4, QB1s whose prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted dropbacks were projected +3.9 PPR a game too high (9 QBs; established QB1s +0.1). Those rows carry a thin prior chip. From Week 7 (model n8-v3) a QB's passing rates also read his own 2026 dropbacks, weighted against the prior's sample plus a fixed anchor, so a few snaps barely move them. On Weeks 5–6 this halved the thin-QB bias. Rushing rates and the game lines still use the prior: the game-level check of the same change failed.
Team pass volume is a 2023–25 prior too; in-season, only player shares blend toward what is observed. Blending team volume in-season was tested twice and lost to the prior both times.