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NFL Player Projections

Week 7 — opponent-adjusted (this week's defence, home/away), availability-weighted, byes zeroed. Components (volume × efficiency) with scoring applied as a view. Model n8-v3 · updated 4d ago.

Week: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8• Season Position: All QB RB WR TE
Scoring: PPR Half Standard DK Rank by: VORP Points ⬇ CSV
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66 players · ranked by VORP under ppr scoring, 12-team league (1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1FLEX). thin prior (n) = the efficiency prior rests on fewer than 150 weighted 2023–25 dropbacks (QB) or 55 touches (RB/WR/TE), so the league average carries about half or more of the line's efficiency; ⚠ = low-sample / rookie (archetype-driven). A designation like Q · 60% means the line is weighted by that play probability; BYE rows project 0 and are kept visible.

Replacement level (VORP is measured against these): QB12 Patrick Mahomes · 16.8 pts · RB29 Ollie Gordon II · 9.7 pts · WR41 Tre Tucker · 9.1 pts · TE13 Kyle Pitts · 8.3 pts

#PlayerPosTm OppStatus PtsVORP TgtRecRecYdRecTDCarRuYdRuTDPaAttPaYdPaTDINT
1 Brock Purdy QB SF @ ATL 20.8 +4.1 0.00.00.00.03.816.20.332.1260.12.00.7
2 Jared Goff QB DET vs GB 20.0 +3.3 0.00.00.00.02.07.30.133.8275.12.00.5
3 C.J. Stroud QB HOU vs NYG 19.1 +2.3 0.00.00.00.03.416.50.233.9267.01.50.5
4 Joe Burrow QB CIN @ BAL 19.0 +2.2 0.00.00.00.02.49.30.136.8249.72.00.6
5 Drake Maye QB NE @ CHI 18.6 +1.9 0.00.00.00.04.019.20.230.9238.91.70.8
6 Caleb Williams QB CHI vs NE 18.6 +1.8 0.00.00.00.04.623.40.332.9239.31.40.5
7 Deshaun Watson thin prior (112 dropbacks) QB CLE @ TEN 18.6 +1.8 0.00.00.00.04.721.00.335.0238.21.40.5
8 Geno Smith QB NYJ vs MIA 17.7 +0.9 0.00.00.00.03.515.00.232.4252.41.40.7
9 Tyler Shough QB NO vs PIT 17.3 +0.6 0.00.00.00.03.113.60.234.0229.81.60.7
10 Michael Penix Jr. QB ATL vs SF 17.2 +0.5 0.00.00.00.01.98.40.132.2255.61.50.5
11 Matthew Stafford QB LA @ LV 17.1 +0.4 0.00.00.00.01.95.60.134.1243.71.70.6
12 Patrick Mahomes QB KC @ SEA 16.8 +0.0 0.00.00.00.02.612.40.134.8234.01.50.7
13 Dak Prescott QB DAL @ PHI 16.7 -0.1 0.00.00.00.02.710.20.236.2236.01.50.7
14 Bo Nix QB DEN @ ARI 16.5 -0.3 0.00.00.00.03.615.70.233.9215.71.40.6
15 Sam Darnold QB SEA vs KC 16.5 -0.3 0.00.00.00.01.66.30.131.6244.61.61.0
16 Kirk Cousins QB LV vs LA 16.4 -0.4 0.00.00.00.01.86.20.132.9233.71.70.8
17 Baker Mayfield QB TB @ CAR Q · 47% 16.4 -0.4 0.00.00.00.01.57.90.133.1234.61.60.7
18 Bryce Young QB CAR vs TB 16.0 -0.8 0.00.00.00.02.09.20.131.8224.31.50.6
19 Jacoby Brissett QB ARI vs DEN 15.9 -0.9 0.00.00.00.02.812.50.234.8218.11.40.8
20 Kyler Murray QB MIN vs IND 15.7 -1.1 0.00.00.00.02.715.20.231.5226.31.20.6
21 Tyler Huntley thin prior (90 dropbacks) QB BAL vs CIN 15.6 -1.2 0.00.00.00.03.518.30.227.5193.71.20.3
22 Jordan Love QB GB @ DET 15.1 -1.7 0.00.00.00.01.97.70.130.1213.31.40.6
23 Malik Willis thin prior (39 dropbacks) QB MIA @ NYJ 14.9 -1.9 0.00.00.00.04.119.10.331.4222.20.80.8
24 J.J. McCarthy thin prior (135 dropbacks) QB NYG @ HOU 14.2 -2.6 0.00.00.00.02.39.30.232.1212.91.31.2
25 Tanner McKee thin prior (37 dropbacks) QB PHI vs DAL 13.9 -2.9 0.00.00.00.02.410.60.229.7192.41.10.4
26 Aaron Rodgers QB PIT @ NO 13.5 -3.3 0.00.00.00.01.76.40.131.2185.61.40.6
27 Cam Ward QB TEN vs CLE 12.6 -4.2 0.00.00.00.02.611.50.232.0184.90.90.7
28 Daniel Jones QB IND @ MIN 12.0 -4.8 0.00.00.00.02.28.60.132.0189.90.90.8
29 Jalon Daniels thin prior (0 dropbacks) QB TB @ CAR 3.1 -13.7 0.00.00.00.04.116.20.30.00.00.00.0
30 Jameis Winston thin prior (140 dropbacks) QB NYG @ HOU 1.3 -15.5 0.00.00.00.01.76.40.10.00.00.00.0
31 Tyson Bagent thin prior (32 dropbacks) QB CHI vs NE 1.1 -15.7 0.00.00.00.01.35.60.10.00.00.00.0
32 Carson Wentz thin prior (106 dropbacks) QB MIN vs IND 1.1 -15.7 0.00.00.00.01.35.60.10.00.00.00.0
33 Davis Mills thin prior (103 dropbacks) QB HOU vs NYG 0.8 -16.0 0.00.00.00.00.84.00.10.00.00.00.0
34 Spencer Rattler QB NO vs PIT 0.7 -16.1 0.00.00.00.00.84.20.10.00.00.00.0
35 Anthony Richardson thin prior (103 dropbacks) QB IND @ MIN 0.6 -16.1 0.00.00.00.00.83.50.10.00.00.00.0
36 Cade Klubnik thin prior (0 dropbacks) QB NYJ vs MIA 0.6 -16.2 0.00.00.00.00.83.20.10.00.00.00.0
37 Mason Rudolph thin prior (115 dropbacks) QB PIT @ NO 0.6 -16.2 0.00.00.00.00.83.30.10.00.00.00.0
38 Joe Milton III thin prior (21 dropbacks) QB PHI vs DAL 0.6 -16.2 0.00.00.00.00.63.10.00.00.00.00.0
39 Kenny Pickett thin prior (110 dropbacks) QB CAR vs TB 0.6 -16.2 0.00.00.00.00.82.90.00.00.00.00.0
40 Mac Jones QB SF @ ATL 0.6 -16.2 0.00.00.00.00.83.00.00.00.00.00.0
41 Tyrod Taylor thin prior (120 dropbacks) QB GB @ DET 0.5 -16.2 0.00.00.00.00.73.00.00.00.00.00.0
42 Tommy DeVito thin prior (58 dropbacks) QB NE @ CHI 0.5 -16.2 0.00.00.00.00.72.90.00.00.00.00.0
43 Joe Fagnano thin prior (0 dropbacks) QB BAL vs CIN 0.5 -16.2 0.00.00.00.00.72.80.00.00.00.00.0
44 Sam Howell thin prior (141 dropbacks) QB DAL @ PHI 0.5 -16.3 0.00.00.00.00.62.60.00.00.00.00.0
45 Jarrett Stidham thin prior (15 dropbacks) QB DEN @ ARI 0.5 -16.3 0.00.00.00.00.62.50.00.00.00.00.0
46 Fernando Mendoza thin prior (0 dropbacks) QB LV vs LA 0.5 -16.3 0.00.00.00.00.62.50.00.00.00.00.0
47 Joshua Dobbs thin prior (109 dropbacks) QB DET vs GB 0.5 -16.3 0.00.00.00.00.52.40.00.00.00.00.0
48 Kyle McCord thin prior (0 dropbacks) QB MIA @ NYJ 0.5 -16.3 0.00.00.00.00.62.40.00.00.00.00.0
49 Gardner Minshew QB ARI vs DEN 0.4 -16.3 0.00.00.00.00.62.20.00.00.00.00.0
50 Stetson Bennett thin prior (0 dropbacks) QB LA @ LV 0.4 -16.3 0.00.00.00.00.62.30.00.00.00.00.0
51 Jalen Milroe thin prior (2 dropbacks) QB SEA vs KC 0.4 -16.4 0.00.00.00.00.52.20.00.00.00.00.0
52 Shedeur Sanders thin prior (118 dropbacks) QB CLE @ TEN 0.4 -16.4 0.00.00.00.00.52.20.00.00.00.00.0
53 Mitchell Trubisky thin prior (48 dropbacks) QB TEN vs CLE 0.4 -16.4 0.00.00.00.00.51.90.00.00.00.00.0
54 Justin Fields QB KC @ SEA 0.3 -16.4 0.00.00.00.00.42.00.00.00.00.00.0
55 Tua Tagovailoa QB ATL vs SF 0.3 -16.5 0.00.00.00.00.51.90.00.00.00.00.0
56 Joe Flacco QB CIN @ BAL 0.3 -16.5 0.00.00.00.00.41.50.00.00.00.00.0
57 Josh Allen QB BUF BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
58 Kyle Allen thin prior (4 dropbacks) QB BUF BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
59 Trevor Lawrence QB JAX BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
60 Quinn Ewers thin prior (46 dropbacks) QB JAX BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
61 Justin Herbert QB LAC BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
62 DJ Uiagalelei thin prior (0 dropbacks) QB LAC BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
63 Trey Lance thin prior (45 dropbacks) QB LAC BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
64 Jayden Daniels QB WAS BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
65 Marcus Mariota thin prior (141 dropbacks) QB WAS BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
66 Athan Kaliakmanis thin prior (0 dropbacks) QB WAS BYE BYE 0.0 -16.8 0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

VORP = this player's points minus the points of the last startable player at his position (hover the VORP cell to see who). Baseline rank = teams × starters, with FLEX split RB/WR/TE 45/45/10.

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