NFL Player Projections
Week 1 — opponent-adjusted (this week's defence, home/away), availability-weighted, byes zeroed. Components (volume × efficiency) with scoring applied as a view. Model n8-v2 · updated 1d ago.
League & scoring settings — server-side, from your stored component projections; the URL is the saved config
68 players · ranked by VORP under half_ppr scoring, 12-team league (1QB/2RB/3WR/1TE/1FLEX). ⚠ = low-sample / rookie (archetype-driven). A designation like Q · 60% means the line is weighted by that play probability; BYE rows project 0 and are kept visible.
Replacement level (VORP is measured against these): QB12 Patrick Mahomes · 17.1 pts · RB29 Ashton Jeanty · 9.2 pts · WR41 Jordan Addison · 8.0 pts · TE13 Colby Parkinson · 6.5 pts
| # | Player | Pos | Tm | Opp | Status | Pts | VORP | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | RecTD | Car | RuYd | RuTD | PaAtt | PaYd | PaTD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | vs WAS | 20.6 | +3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 23.6 | 0.4 | 29.7 | 242.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | |
| 2 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | vs TB | 20.3 | +3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.2 | 0.1 | 36.8 | 274.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | |
| 3 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | vs ARI | 19.0 | +1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.6 | 0.2 | 33.1 | 259.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | |
| 4 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | vs NO | 19.0 | +1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 6.7 | 0.1 | 33.8 | 267.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | |
| 5 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | @ NYG | 18.8 | +1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 10.5 | 0.2 | 36.2 | 263.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | |
| 6 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | vs SF | 18.6 | +1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 0.1 | 34.1 | 258.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | |
| 7 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | @ IND | 18.6 | +1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 22.2 | 0.2 | 27.5 | 220.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | |
| 8 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | @ CIN | 18.4 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 14.1 | 0.2 | 33.1 | 241.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | |
| 9 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | @ HOU | 17.6 | +0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 19.0 | 0.4 | 30.9 | 213.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | |
| 10 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | vs NE | 17.6 | +0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 0.1 | 31.6 | 262.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | |
| 11 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | @ LA | 17.1 | +0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 0.1 | 32.1 | 241.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | |
| 12 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | vs DEN | 17.1 | +0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 12.4 | 0.1 | 34.8 | 241.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | |
| 13 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | @ LV | 16.9 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 0.1 | 31.4 | 243.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | |
| 14 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | vs BUF | 16.9 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 10.1 | 0.1 | 33.9 | 249.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | |
| 15 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | vs CLE | 16.9 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.8 | 0.2 | 33.4 | 227.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 | |
| 16 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | vs DAL | 16.8 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 11.9 | 0.2 | 32.1 | 229.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | |
| 17 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | @ CAR | 16.6 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.2 | 0.2 | 32.9 | 223.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | |
| 18 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | @ SEA | 16.6 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 13.0 | 0.2 | 30.9 | 226.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | |
| 19 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | vs MIA | 16.2 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 6.5 | 0.1 | 32.9 | 245.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | |
| 20 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | @ KC | 16.1 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 14.5 | 0.2 | 33.9 | 211.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | |
| 21 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | vs GB | 15.7 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 12.3 | 0.2 | 31.5 | 224.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | |
| 22 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | @ TEN | 15.3 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 7.6 | 0.1 | 32.4 | 235.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | |
| 23 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | vs BAL | 15.3 | -1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 0.1 | 32.0 | 233.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | |
| 24 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | @ PHI | 15.2 | -1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 15.9 | 0.2 | 30.8 | 199.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | |
| 25 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | @ JAX | 15.2 | -1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 9.7 | 0.1 | 35.0 | 220.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | |
| 26 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | vs ATL | 15.1 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 0.1 | 31.2 | 207.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | |
| 27 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | vs CHI | 15.0 | -2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 10.5 | 0.2 | 31.8 | 209.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | |
| 28 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | @ LAC | 14.9 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 34.8 | 220.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | |
| 29 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | @ DET | 14.8 | -2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 0.1 | 34.0 | 230.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | |
| 30 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | vs NYJ | 14.6 | -2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 0.1 | 32.0 | 219.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | |
| 31 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | @ MIN | 14.4 | -2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 30.1 | 200.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | |
| 32 | Cooper Rush | QB | ATL | @ PIT | 13.3 | -3.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 7.2 | 0.1 | 32.2 | 200.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | |
| 33 | Anthony Richardson | QB | IND | vs BAL | 0.8 | -16.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 34 | Marcus Mariota | QB | WAS | @ PHI | 0.7 | -16.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 35 | Sam Howell | QB | DAL | @ NYG | 0.6 | -16.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 36 | Shedeur Sanders | QB | CLE | @ JAX | 0.6 | -16.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 37 | Spencer Rattler | QB | NO | @ DET | 0.6 | -16.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 38 | Case Keenum ⚠ | QB | CHI | @ CAR | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 39 | Jarrett Stidham ⚠ | QB | DEN | @ KC | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 40 | Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | @ IND | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 41 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | vs DAL | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 42 | Trey Lance | QB | LAC | vs ARI | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 43 | Andy Dalton | QB | PHI | vs WAS | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 44 | Joshua Dobbs | QB | DET | vs NO | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 45 | Davis Mills | QB | HOU | vs BUF | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 46 | Nick Mullens | QB | JAX | vs CLE | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 47 | Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | vs GB | 0.5 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 48 | Jalon Daniels ⚠ | QB | TB | @ CIN | 0.4 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 49 | Stetson Bennett ⚠ | QB | LA | vs SF | 0.4 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 50 | Mason Rudolph | QB | PIT | vs ATL | 0.4 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 51 | Kenny Pickett | QB | CAR | vs CHI | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 52 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | GB | @ MIN | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 53 | Tommy DeVito | QB | NE | @ SEA | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 54 | Kyle Allen ⚠ | QB | BUF | @ HOU | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 55 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | TEN | vs NYJ | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 56 | Justin Fields | QB | KC | vs DEN | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 57 | Kyle McCord ⚠ | QB | MIA | @ LV | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 58 | Jack Strand ⚠ | QB | ATL | @ PIT | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 59 | Fernando Mendoza ⚠ | QB | LV | vs MIA | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 60 | Mac Jones | QB | SF | @ LA | 0.4 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 61 | Cade Klubnik ⚠ | QB | NYJ | @ TEN | 0.3 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 62 | Drew Lock | QB | SEA | vs NE | 0.3 | -16.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 63 | Joe Flacco | QB | CIN | vs TB | 0.3 | -16.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 64 | Gardner Minshew | QB | ARI | @ LAC | 0.3 | -16.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 65 | Skylar Thompson ⚠ | QB | BAL | @ IND | 0.0 | -17.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 66 | Dillon Gabriel | QB | CLE | @ JAX | 0.0 | -17.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 67 | Graham Mertz ⚠ | QB | HOU | vs BUF | 0.0 | -17.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 68 | Matthew Caldwell ⚠ | QB | LA | vs SF | 0.0 | -17.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
VORP = this player's points minus the points of the last startable player at his position (hover the VORP cell to see who). Baseline rank = teams × starters, with FLEX split RB/WR/TE 45/45/10.